109 Woodhill Ln · Lake, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Back on the market! Welcome to your perfect retreat in the sought-after gated community of The Hideout in Wayne County, Pennsylvania! This beautifully updated and meticulously maintained ranch-style home offers the ideal blend of comfort, charm, and year-round recreation. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this inviting home boasts an open-concept layout designed for easy living and entertaining. The spacious living room showcases a stunning cathedral ceiling, creating a bright and airy atmosphere that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining area. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or the perfect weekend getaway, this home offers the best of both worlds.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Clubhouse
- Private lake
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 4.2% in Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Evergreen El Sch (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Western Wayne Ms (math 21% / reading 61%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 411 students, 57% FRL); Western Wayne Hs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 545 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 573 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 29d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,577/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $225k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.66%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $246,666
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -8.78%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Ridgeview Dr Unit 1621 Ridgeview Drive | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (+2%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $219 | 84 |
| 63 Ridgeview Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+8%) | 4mo | $223,000 | $204 | 73 |
| 11 Meadowview Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 948 (-6%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $200 | 52 |
| 114 Woodview Ter | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,122 (+11%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $169 | 49 |
| 355 Lakeview Dr W | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+12%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $205 | 48 |
| 16 N Gate Ct S | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+10%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $211 | 44 |
| 1267 Brookfield Rd | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,134 (+12%) | 10mo | $232,160 | $205 | 44 |
| 8 Boulder Ct | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,093 (+8%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $188 | 41 |
| 19 Boulder Ct | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+2%) | 22mo | $220,000 | $214 | 37 |
| 12 Grandview Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 940 (-7%) | 18mo | $239,900 | $255 | 36 |
| 45 Brentwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+14%) | 18mo | $229,000 | $199 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $211,656
- Equity at exit
- $202,698
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.78×
- Total profit
- $553,141
- Equity at exit
- $437,126
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.6 mo (28%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $252,750 ($231/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 93 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 18436
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 573
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,577 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$751
- Net cashflow
- $1,400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,527 | -5% $1,463 | +0% $1,400 | +5% $1,336 | +10% $1,272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,117 | -5% $1,258 | +0% $1,400 | +5% $1,541 | +10% $1,682 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,513 | -0.5pp $1,457 | base $1,400 | +0.5pp $1,341 | +1.0pp $1,282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2174 Lakeview Dr E Lake Ariel, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1390 | $4,500 | $3.24 | 28d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1148 Golf Park Dr Lake Ariel, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $2,900 | $2.40 | 165d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3308 Northgate Rd Lot 3308 Lake Ariel, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,200 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Community amenities include clubhouse, park, tennis courts, restaurant, pool, playground, lake, golf, gated access, fitness center, and fishing
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connected (200 amps or less)Cable availablePhone available
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne levelBuilt in 1972Shingle roofEntry on private paved road
- Construction
- T1-11 sidingFoundation details: see remarks
- Exterior features
- Front yardSloped-up lotOther exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric ovenMicrowaveDishwasherRefrigeratorBreakfast bar
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom plus two additional bedrooms)
- Flooring
- HardwoodTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling
- Baseboard heatingWood heatingFireplace insertElectric heatingWindow unit cooling
- Interior features
- Open floor planCathedral ceilingsBreakfast barChandelierWood-burning fireplace in family room (1 fireplace)
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer includedUtility room
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-07days on market $225,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $225,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $225,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $225,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $225,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $225,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $225,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $225,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $225,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $225,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $225,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $225,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $225,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $225,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $225,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $225,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $225,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $225,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $225,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $225,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $225,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $225,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $225,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $225,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $225,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $225,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $225,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $225,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,691 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- +$864/yr (+$72/mo · 47.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,920
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$1,828
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,434
- − Management
- −$3,434
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $13,951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,348
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This well-maintained ranch-style home in a gated community offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed for optimal resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Trim bushes and trees — Improves landscaping and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Wayne SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226070
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,358
- Composite
- 43.65/100
- National rank
- #2964
- State rank
- #165 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Hideout, PA
- County
- Wayne · 47,924 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,225
- Household income
- $73,209
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.95%
- Current HPI
- 331.9645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+204.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $225,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-13 Pending — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-09 Listed $235,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-03-29 Relisted — PWMLS
- 2025-03-17 Pending — PWMLS
- 2025-03-08 Listed $239,000 PWMLS
- 2000-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1990-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,828 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…