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73 SE 455th St
C+ Composite 64.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$73,500

73 SE 455th St · Cross City, FL 32680
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2007 1.10 ac lot Est $93k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in the heart of Old Town! Situated on 1.1 acres, this handyman special is full of potential for the right buyer with a vision. Whether you're looking for a fixer-upper, investment property, weekend getaway, or a place to create your own slice of country living, this property offers plenty of room to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful setting with space for boats, RVs, animals, gardens, or additional storage buildings. With no shortage of possibilities, this property is ready for someone to bring it back to life. Conveniently located just a short drive to the Suwannee River, Gulf access, and nearby springs, this is your chance to own acreage in Old Florida at an affordab

Key facts

  • 1.1 acres
  • Space for animals
  • Space for gardens

Tags

1.1 ACRESSPACE FOR BOATSSPACE FOR RVSSPACE FOR ANIMALSSPACE FOR GARDENSSHORT DRIVE TO SUWANNEE RIVER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed with eXp Realty LLC

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water (private)
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Located in Old Town Hammock subdivision
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Level, irregular-shaped lot; Located on a 1.1-acre lot; Directions: Leaving Cross City, turn right on 55A, then left on SE 97th Ave; house is at the end

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Carpet and vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($573/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $69k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Cross City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#412 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Old Town Elementary School (math 73% / reading 58%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 456 students, 80% FRL); Ruth Rains Middle School (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 431 students, 76% FRL); Dixie County High School (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 714 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($508 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,300 (5.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.78%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,324
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 SE 460th St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (-4%) 8mo $90,000 $101 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$43,077
Equity at exit
$66,215
10-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$124,474
Equity at exit
$142,794

Cash invested: $20,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32680

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$693 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$385
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,004/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$146
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $633
Max offer price $73,500
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $89 -5% $69 +0% $48 +5% $27 +10% $6
Rent -10% $-7 -5% $20 +0% $48 +5% $75 +10% $103
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $66 base $48 +0.5pp $29 +1.0pp $9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,375
Closing costs
$2,205
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
88 SE 411th St Unit 7 Cross City, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 15d 1 0.81mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $73,500 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $73,500 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $73,500 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,500 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $73,500 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $73,500 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $73,500 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $73,500 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-12
    listed $73,500 Active 13 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,004 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,004 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,316
− Mortgage interest
−$4,117
− Property taxes
−$1,004
− Insurance
−$368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$665
− Management
−$665
− Depreciation
−$2,138
Taxable loss
−$641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$154
After-tax cash flow
$727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dixie
NCES district ID
1200450
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,799
Composite
42.18/100
National rank
#3290
State rank
#36 of 73 in FL

Livability — Cross City

Score
70/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#7340

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,445

Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,122 people
By 2030
14,521 · -4.0%
By 2040
13,503 · -10.7%
By 2050
12,671 · -16.2%
By 2075
10,857 · -28.2%
By 2100
8,344 · -44.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dixie

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.22%
Current HPI
424.0037
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $73,500 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+21.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,004 · +223.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…