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2675 Gessner Dr Multi-family
D+ Composite 49.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$3,399,999

2675 Gessner Dr · Houston, TX 77080
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,036 sqft · MultiFamily · 137 Days on market
Built 1981 2.08 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Property Overview: 19 units- 13:2/2- and 6: 3/2-bedroom apartments for sale in the desirable Spring Branch neighborhood. These apartments feature a new and fresh timeless design, spacious living areas, and top-tier location. Perfect for investors looking for an updated property and a solid investment opportunity. Available Units: 2-Bedroom 2 baths Apartments: Spacious and well-designed, ideal for or professionals looking for extra space. Size: 1,036 sq ft 3-Bedroom Apartments: Perfect for growing families or those in need of more space, with oversized bedrooms and high-end finishes with vinyl wood floors and quartz countertops found throughout the units. Size: 1,271 sq ft Apartment Features: -New roofs throughout complex -New Exterior building paint -New parking lot striping -Newly done landscaping -Individual hot water heaters and HVAC systems Stylish Kitchens: High-quality cabinetry, premium countertops, and energy-efficient appliances

Key facts

  • New roofs
  • 2.08 acre lot
  • Built 1981

Tags

NEW ROOFSNEW EXTERIOR BUILDING PAINTNEW PARKING LOT STRIPINGNEWLY DONE LANDSCAPINGINDIVIDUAL HOT WATER HEATERSENERGY EFFICIENT APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $3.40M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($42k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($34k rent vs $3.40M).
  • Recommended offer: $2.99M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Spring Branch ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #215 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $34,162/mo this rent would consume 660% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2296% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $24k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $102k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.99M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,991,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.40%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-428,180
Equity at exit
$506,951
10-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-471,332
Equity at exit
$293,970

Cash invested: $952,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77080

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
160.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$34,162 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$17,830
Tax est. 1.5%
$4,250 /mo · $51,000/yr
Insurance
$1,417
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$7,174
Net cashflow
$3,491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $29,743
Max offer price $3,399,999
Occupancy floor 85%

19-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (19 units) $34,162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$850,000
Closing costs
$102,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2681 Gessner Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1036 $1,400 $1.35 43d 1 0.03mi
10100 Kempwood Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 886 $1,574 $1.78 1d 28 0.30mi
9999 Kempwood Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 932 $1,552 $1.66 43d 31 0.31mi
10105 Kempwood Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,224 $1.32 2d 24 0.32mi
10005 Kempwood Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,213 $1.10 43d 1 0.41mi
10010 Kempwood Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $2,053 $2.72 43d 41 0.41mi
10000 Hammerly Blvd Unit 133 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 910 $1,230 $1.35 24d 1 0.55mi
10000 Hammerly Blvd Unit 140 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 910 $1,160 $1.27 24d 1 0.55mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 10242 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 717 $1,032 $1.44 14d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 10278 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,198 $1.20 43d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,367 $1.37 5d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 525 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $2,047 $1.48 2d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 1112 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 708 $1,085 $1.53 2d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 10295 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 708 $1,127 $1.59 10d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,391 $1.39 10d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 10254 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $2,014 $1.45 43d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 3174 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $2,090 $1.51 11d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Unit 2148 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,359 $1.36 2d 1 0.67mi
10221 Centrepark Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 717 $1,027 $1.43 14d 1 0.70mi
10580 Hammerly Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 987 $1,092 $1.11 1d 31 0.72mi
10227 Centrepark Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1148 $1,558 $1.36 43d 1 0.73mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1064 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,399 $1.00 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1436 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,599 $1.10 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,284 $1.43 11d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 2346 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,499 $1.11 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1362 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1011 $1,289 $1.27 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 2523 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,299 $1.20 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1006 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,629 $1.09 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1091 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1006 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1495 $1,629 $1.09 24d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1185 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,249 $1.09 43d 1 0.76mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 1057 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1241 $1,419 $1.14 43d 1 0.76mi
10333 Clay Rd Unit 10370 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1133 $1,804 $1.59 43d 1 0.80mi
10339 Clay Rd Unit 4054 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,808 $1.65 43d 1 0.80mi
10333 Clay Rd Unit 425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1133 $1,771 $1.56 2d 1 0.80mi
10333 Clay Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1133 $1,803 $1.59 10d 1 0.80mi
10333 Clay Rd Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1133 $1,779 $1.57 5d 1 0.80mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1400 $1,749 $1.25 43d 1 0.85mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,249 $1.39 5d 1 0.91mi
3125 Crestdale Dr Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,241 $1.38 2d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-01-09
    historical
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    Property Overview: 19 units- 13:2/2- and 6: 3/2-bedroom apartments for sale in the desirable Spring Branch neighborhood. These apartments feature a new and fresh timeless design, spacious living areas, and top-tier location. Perfect for investors looking for an updated property and a solid investment opportunity. Available Units: 2-Bedroom 2 baths Apartments: Spacious and well-designed, ideal for or professionals looking for extra space. Size: 1,036 sq ft 3-Bedroom Apartments: Perfect for growing families or those in need of more space, with oversized bedrooms and high-end finishes with vinyl wood floors and quartz countertops found throughout the units. Size: 1,271 sq ft Apartment Features: -New roofs throughout complex -New Exterior building paint -New parking lot striping -Newly done landscaping -Individual hot water heaters and HVAC systems Stylish Kitchens: High-quality cabinetry, premium countertops, and energy-efficient appliances

  2. 2026-01-09
    listed $3,399,999 Active 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    Property Overview: 19 units- 13:2/2- and 6: 3/2-bedroom apartments for sale in the desirable Spring Branch neighborhood. These apartments feature a new and fresh timeless design, spacious living areas, and top-tier location. Perfect for investors looking for an updated property and a solid investment opportunity. Available Units: 2-Bedroom 2 baths Apartments: Spacious and well-designed, ideal for or professionals looking for extra space. Size: 1,036 sq ft 3-Bedroom Apartments: Perfect for growing families or those in need of more space, with oversized bedrooms and high-end finishes with vinyl wood floors and quartz countertops found throughout the units. Size: 1,271 sq ft Apartment Features: -New roofs throughout complex -New Exterior building paint -New parking lot striping -Newly done landscaping -Individual hot water heaters and HVAC systems Stylish Kitchens: High-quality cabinetry, premium countertops, and energy-efficient appliances

  3. 2025-04-09
    listed $3,399,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$409,944
− Mortgage interest
−$190,453
− Property taxes
−$51,000
− Insurance
−$17,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$32,796
− Management
−$32,796
− Depreciation
−$98,909
Taxable loss
−$13,009
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,122
After-tax cash flow
$45,018/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring Branch ISD
NCES district ID
4841100
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$60,311
Composite
40.88/100
National rank
#3624
State rank
#215 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
47,638
Household income
$62,134
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2296.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 19% White 18% Asian 5% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
33% English-only · Spanish 62% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -240.33%
Current HPI
266.9663
Rent YoY
▼ -1.57%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $3,399,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $3,399,999 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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