115 Randall Rd · Blytheville, AR 72315

$165,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1977 0.76 ac lot Est $151k · 9% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.2/30.0
• DSCR +4.7/10.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• ARV discount +3.3/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.76 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1977

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
• Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Covered porch; Outbuilding; Wooded lot; Paved road access; Composition roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven; Trash compactor; Electric water heater
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Window treatments; Wood-burning fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($705/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (16.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $137k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
• Blytheville School District (town): math 8% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #233 of 238 in AR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Blytheville Primary School (431 students, 97% FRL); Blytheville Middle School (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #195 of 201 statewide, top 97%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Blytheville High School (math 5% / reading 14%, grade F, #280 of 292 statewide, top 96%, 460 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 99% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mississippi County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $137,166 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.53%
• DSCR: 1.07
• GRM: 10.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $151,008
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
220 Shaw St	0.28mi	3/2.0	1,762 (-9%)	14mo	$138,250	$78	60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.50×
• Total profit: $-23,046
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.67×
• Total profit: $-15,454
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72315

• Home prices YoY: -32.5%
• Active inventory: 135
• Price-to-rent: 10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,372 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax from tax record: −$91 /mo · $1,090/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$288
• Net cashflow: $59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,297

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    listed $165,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,090 · $91/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,090 · $91/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,460
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$1,090
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,317
• − Management: −$1,317
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable loss: −$2,131
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$512
• After-tax cash flow: $1,216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Blytheville School District
• NCES district ID: 0503320
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 12% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $33,356
• Composite: 8.02/100
• National rank: #9922
• State rank: #233 of 238 in AR

Livability — Blytheville

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #168
• US rank: #14094

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 20,100
• Population (ZIP): 20,100

Population outlook (Mississippi County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 38,959 people
• By 2030: 36,401 · -6.6%
• By 2040: 31,526 · -19.1%
• By 2050: 27,058 · -30.5%
• By 2075: 17,847 · -54.2%
• By 2100: 11,024 · -71.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Mississippi

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.4% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+22.2 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.32%
• Current HPI: 175.5603
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $165,000 EARA

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,090 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.