7965 Elm St · Taylor, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
Key facts
- Manageable yard
- Spacious living room
- 5,663 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 24 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $155k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.65%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,895
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -14.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8248 Birch St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (+4%) | 0mo | $181,900 | $162 | 83 |
| 8339 Birch St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 994 (-8%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $143 | 74 |
| 23628 Champaign St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 949 (-12%) | 4mo | $174,000 | $183 | 67 |
| 8003 Roosevelt St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,029 (-4%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $190 | 66 |
| 8278 Westpoint St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (-7%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 9255 Syracuse St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-4%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $163 | 58 |
| 23760 Mary St | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 990 (-8%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $242 | 54 |
| 8019 Roosevelt St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-11%) | 3mo | $175,100 | $183 | 53 |
| 6587 Elm St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 949 (-12%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $174 | 47 |
| 22324 Wohlfeil St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 948 (-12%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $200 | 47 |
| 7866 Dudley St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-11%) | 5mo | $172,900 | $181 | 43 |
| 6516 Oak St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 949 (-12%) | 6mo | $126,000 | $133 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,338
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $16,999
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48180
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,564 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $256 | -5% $212 | +0% $168 | +5% $124 | +10% $80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $106 | +0% $168 | +5% $230 | +10% $292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $208 | base $168 | +0.5pp $128 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7873 Syracuse St Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,400 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 24268 Haskell St Taylor, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,570 | $1.78 | 0d | 7 | 0.67mi |
| 9620 Elm St Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,470 | $1.84 | 0d | 3 | 0.96mi |
| 23060 Bernard St Unit Upper Unit Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 922 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
-
2026-05-04historical Accepting Backup Offers 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
-
2026-04-20$155,000 Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
-
2026-04-20$155,000 Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-10-02price $164,000
-
2025-10-02price $164,000
-
2025-10-02price $164,000
-
2025-06-16$169,000 Active
-
2025-06-16$169,000 Active
-
2020-03-28historical
-
2020-03-28historical
-
2020-03-11status Active
-
2020-03-11status Pending
-
2019-10-30price $98,500
-
2019-10-30price $98,500
-
2019-09-26$104,000 Active
-
2019-09-26$104,000 Active
-
2019-08-01historical
-
2019-07-31historical
-
2019-04-26$92,000 Active
-
2019-04-26$92,000 Active
-
2018-12-29historical
-
2018-12-29historical
-
2018-09-30$89,000 Active
-
2018-09-30$89,000 Active
-
2018-09-30historical
-
2018-09-29historical
-
2018-09-15$99,500 Active
-
2018-09-15$99,500 Active
-
2012-03-10historical
-
2012-02-06historical
-
2011-10-17$56,000
-
2011-10-17$56,000
-
2003-05-07historical
-
2003-04-02historical
-
2003-02-07$108,900
-
2003-02-07$108,900
-
2003-02-03$108,900
-
2002-05-15historical
-
2002-04-16$95,900
-
1999-07-07historical
-
1999-04-08$85,700
-
1999-01-14historical
-
1998-12-03$87,500
-
1998-12-03historical
-
1998-10-26$87,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,276 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,331 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$56/yr (+$5/mo · 2.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,763
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,276
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,501
- − Management
- −$1,501
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$481
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$115
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylor School District
- NCES district ID
- 2633540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,062
- Composite
- 17.62/100
- National rank
- #9034
- State rank
- #462 of 540 in MI
Livability — Taylor
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #3684
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Taylor, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 62,081
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,081
- Household income
- $61,081
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1957.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.33%
- Current HPI
- 228.921
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+106.9% since first listed55 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $164,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $164,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $164,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-06-16 Listed $169,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-16 Listed $169,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-11 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-10-30 Price Changed $98,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-30 Price Changed $98,500 REALCOMP
- 2019-09-26 Listed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-26 Listed $104,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-26 Listed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-26 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-12-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-09-30 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-30 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-09-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-09-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-15 Listed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-15 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
- 2012-03-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2011-10-17 Listed $56,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-10-17 Listed $56,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-05-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-04-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-02-07 Listed $108,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-02-07 Listed $108,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-02-03 Listed $108,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-05-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-04-16 Listed $95,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-07-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1999-04-08 Listed $85,700 REALCOMP
- 1999-01-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-12-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-12-03 Listed $87,500 REALCOMP
- 1998-10-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-10-26 Listed $87,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-10-07 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records
- 1997-11-07 Sold (MLS) $75,900 REALCOMP
- 1997-08-12 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,276 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…