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7965 Elm St
C Composite 56.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

7965 Elm St · Taylor, MI 48180
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,075 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1957 5,663 sqft lot $144/sqft · 14% below area Est $181k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

Key facts

  • Manageable yard
  • Spacious living room
  • 5,663 sq ft lot

Tags

DETACHED 2-CAR GARAGEMANAGEABLE YARDSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMWARM WOOD ACCENT WALL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 24 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $155k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $152,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.65%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,895
List price
$155,000
Delta
-14.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8248 Birch St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,123 (+4%) 0mo $181,900 $162 83
8339 Birch St 0.26mi 3/1.0 994 (-8%) 1mo $142,000 $143 74
23628 Champaign St 0.22mi 3/1.0 949 (-12%) 4mo $174,000 $183 67
8003 Roosevelt St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,029 (-4%) 1mo $195,000 $190 66
8278 Westpoint St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,001 (-7%) 6mo $95,000 $95 65
9255 Syracuse St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-4%) 4mo $169,000 $163 58
23760 Mary St 0.55mi 4/1.0 (+1) 990 (-8%) 2mo $240,000 $242 54
8019 Roosevelt St 0.57mi 3/1.0 957 (-11%) 3mo $175,100 $183 53
6587 Elm St 0.70mi 3/1.0 949 (-12%) 1mo $165,000 $174 47
22324 Wohlfeil St 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 948 (-12%) 5mo $190,000 $200 47
7866 Dudley St 0.73mi 3/1.0 957 (-11%) 5mo $172,900 $181 43
6516 Oak St 0.74mi 3/1.0 949 (-12%) 6mo $126,000 $133 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-11,338
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$16,999
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48180

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,564 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,351
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $212 +0% $168 +5% $124 +10% $80
Rent -10% $45 -5% $106 +0% $168 +5% $230 +10% $292
Rate -1.0pp $246 -0.5pp $208 base $168 +0.5pp $128 +1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7873 Syracuse St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 728 $1,400 $1.92 44d 1 0.20mi
24268 Haskell St Taylor, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 880 $1,570 $1.78 0d 7 0.67mi
9620 Elm St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,470 $1.84 0d 3 0.96mi
23060 Bernard St Unit Upper Unit Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 922 $1,400 $1.52 0d 1 1.50mi
23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 836 $1,400 $1.67 2d 1 1.50mi
23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI 3.0 1.0 1086 $1,600 $1.47 0d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

  2. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

  3. 2026-05-04
    historical Active Under Contract 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

  4. 2026-05-04
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

  5. 2026-04-20
    listed $155,000 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

  6. 2026-04-20
    listed $155,000 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    3-bedroom ranch offering a functional layout and great everyday living. The home features a spacious living room with a warm wood accent wall that adds character and creates a natural separation between living and bedroom areas. Kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, with convenient access to the laundry area. All three bedrooms are comfortably sized with a centrally located full bathroom. Outside, enjoy a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard, perfect for low-maintenance living. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike.

  7. 2026-01-01
    historical
  8. 2025-12-31
    historical
  9. 2025-10-02
    price $164,000
  10. 2025-10-02
    price $164,000
  11. 2025-10-02
    price $164,000
  12. 2025-06-16
    listed $169,000 Active
  13. 2025-06-16
    listed $169,000 Active
  14. 2020-03-28
    historical
  15. 2020-03-28
    historical
  16. 2020-03-11
    status Active
  17. 2020-03-11
    status Pending
  18. 2019-10-30
    price $98,500
  19. 2019-10-30
    price $98,500
  20. 2019-09-26
    listed $104,000 Active
  21. 2019-09-26
    listed $104,000 Active
  22. 2019-08-01
    historical
  23. 2019-07-31
    historical
  24. 2019-04-26
    listed $92,000 Active
  25. 2019-04-26
    listed $92,000 Active
  26. 2018-12-29
    historical
  27. 2018-12-29
    historical
  28. 2018-09-30
    listed $89,000 Active
  29. 2018-09-30
    listed $89,000 Active
  30. 2018-09-30
    historical
  31. 2018-09-29
    historical
  32. 2018-09-15
    listed $99,500 Active
  33. 2018-09-15
    listed $99,500 Active
  34. 2012-03-10
    historical
  35. 2012-02-06
    historical
  36. 2011-10-17
    listed $56,000
  37. 2011-10-17
    listed $56,000
  38. 2003-05-07
    historical
  39. 2003-04-02
    historical
  40. 2003-02-07
    listed $108,900
  41. 2003-02-07
    listed $108,900
  42. 2003-02-03
    listed $108,900
  43. 2002-05-15
    historical
  44. 2002-04-16
    listed $95,900
  45. 1999-07-07
    historical
  46. 1999-04-08
    listed $85,700
  47. 1999-01-14
    historical
  48. 1998-12-03
    listed $87,500
  49. 1998-12-03
    historical
  50. 1998-10-26
    listed $87,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,276 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,331 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$56/yr (+$5/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,763
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,276
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,501
− Management
−$1,501
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$115
After-tax cash flow
$2,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor School District
NCES district ID
2633540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,062
Composite
17.62/100
National rank
#9034
State rank
#462 of 540 in MI

Livability — Taylor

Score
76/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#3684

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
62,081
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
62,081
Household income
$61,081
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
1957.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.33%
Current HPI
228.921
Rent YoY
▲ 4.90%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.9% since first listed
55 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $164,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $164,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $164,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $169,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $169,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-11 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2019-10-30 Price Changed $98,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-10-30 Price Changed $98,500 REALCOMP
  • 2019-09-26 Listed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-09-26 Listed $104,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-07-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-04-26 Listed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-04-26 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-12-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-30 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-30 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-15 Listed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-15 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-02-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-10-17 Listed $56,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-10-17 Listed $56,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-05-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-04-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-07 Listed $108,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-07 Listed $108,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-02-03 Listed $108,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-05-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-04-16 Listed $95,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-07-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-04-08 Listed $85,700 REALCOMP
  • 1999-01-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1998-12-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1998-12-03 Listed $87,500 REALCOMP
  • 1998-10-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1998-10-26 Listed $87,900 REALCOMP
  • 1998-10-07 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 1998-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records
  • 1997-11-07 Sold (MLS) $75,900 REALCOMP
  • 1997-08-12 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,276 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…