10090 N Citrus Springs Blvd · Citrus Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3/2 home is in need of a few minor repairs. Home is perfect for the first time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Located in nice friendly neighborhood on beautifuly treed corner lot. Close to 2 golf courses and schools, within walking distance to paved nature trail and tennis courts.
Key facts
- Galley-style kitchen
- Outdoor space
- Scenic bike trails
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.31 acres (about 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details reported
- HOA & community: No HOA or association reported
Exterior
- Parking: No specific parking details provided
- Security: No security features reported
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No notable built-in interior features reported
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.1% in Citrus Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#521 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1242 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $179k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.41%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,224
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 W Sorrento Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+1%) | 5mo | $179,000 | $149 | 78 |
| 9953 N Sandree Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,062 (-10%) | 15mo | $200,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 1062 W Priscilla Pl | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-3%) | 12mo | $214,000 | $186 | 50 |
| 9791 N Loretta Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (+14%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $174 | 43 |
| 1676 W Alexander Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (+14%) | 21mo | $249,000 | $184 | 36 |
| 10576 N Athenia Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,033 (-13%) | 24mo | $239,000 | $231 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-17,283
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-6
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34434
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 1242
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,709 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,825/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9995 N Sandree Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9676 N Jourden Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9543B N Travis Dr Unit A Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9545 N Travis Dr Unit A Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9437 N Travis Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,325 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 9337 N Mendoza Way Citrus Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,275 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1924 W Roseboro Dr Dunnellon, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9298 N Mendoza Way Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9271 N Peachtree Way Unit 9271 Citrus Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9262 N Travis Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1150 W G Martinelli Blvd Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9018 N Mendoza Way Citrus Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,499 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 754 W Deacon Pl Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9924 N Country Club Way Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10872 N Frantz Ave Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,815 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2330 W Juan Vega Ln Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,675 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 904 W Rum Pl Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,699 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $179,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $186,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $186,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $186,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $186,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $186,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $186,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $186,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $186,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $186,900
-
2026-05-18price $192,499
-
2026-04-18price $194,499
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2026-04-14$194,500 Active
-
2012-12-31soldstatus $49,000
-
2012-09-21soldstatus $35,977 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
This 3/2 home is in need of a few minor repairs. Home is perfect for the first time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Located in nice friendly neighborhood on beautifuly treed corner lot. Close to 2 golf courses and schools, within walking distance to paved nature trail and tennis courts.
-
2012-04-16$39,900 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
This 3/2 home is in need of a few minor repairs. Home is perfect for the first time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Located in nice friendly neighborhood on beautifuly treed corner lot. Close to 2 golf courses and schools, within walking distance to paved nature trail and tennis courts.
-
2007-10-10soldstatus $115,000
-
2006-06-02soldstatus $100,000
-
2006-05-31soldstatus $100,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom , 2 bath home close in Citrus Springs. Close to bike trail, tennis courts, and golf courses. This split bedroom plan offers a great room, screened lanai, and sit on a corner lot. New carpet being installed the first week of May.
-
2006-04-26$125,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom , 2 bath home close in Citrus Springs. Close to bike trail, tennis courts, and golf courses. This split bedroom plan offers a great room, screened lanai, and sit on a corner lot. New carpet being installed the first week of May.
-
2005-09-15soldstatus $150,000
-
1977-09-01soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,825 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,825 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,502
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,825
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,640
- − Management
- −$1,640
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$733
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$176
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Citrus Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #9598
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citrus Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 17,281
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,074
- Household income
- $68,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 171.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.70%
- Current HPI
- 328.2164
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+484.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $186,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $192,499 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $194,499 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $194,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-21 Sold (MLS) $35,977 RACC
- 2012-04-16 Listed $39,900 RACC
- 2007-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-31 Sold (MLS) $100,000 RACC
- 2006-04-26 Listed $125,000 RACC
- 2005-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1977-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,825 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…