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436 Tullis Ave
B+ Composite 77.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$50,000

436 Tullis Ave · Kansas City, MO 64125
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,074 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1910 0.31 ac lot $47/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity on a double lot in East Kansas City. This property is in a convenient location for commuters and has endless potential. This home is occupied, please do not disturb the occupants. Please refer to the private remarks for additional information regarding this listing.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Convenient location
  • Endless potential

Tags

DOUBLE LOTCONVENIENT LOCATIONENDLESS POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From I-435 exit onto E Winner Road and take a left. Turn right onto Tullis Avenue, the home will be on your left.
  • HOA & community: Association fee assessed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer: unknown
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Faces east
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Approximately 101+ years old; About 1,074 above-grade living area
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Metal fencing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Bungalow/Ranch floor plan; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
19.78%
Cash-on-cash
48.17%
DSCR
3.14
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$112,155
List price
$50,000
Delta
-55.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
716 Lewis Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,062 (-1%) 8mo $49,000 $46 60
8715 E Roberts St 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (-2%) 12mo $20,000 $19 55
702 Utley Ave 0.53mi 2/2.0 926 (-14%) 21mo $44,500 $48 31
8907 E Smart Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-13%) 17mo $115,000 $123 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.1%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$63,044
Equity at exit
$45,044
10-year hold
IRR
55.6%
Equity multiple
12.25×
Total profit
$157,537
Equity at exit
$97,139

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64125

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,148 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $738/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$562

Break-even live

Break-even rent $436
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $590 -5% $576 +0% $562 +5% $548 +10% $534
Rent -10% $471 -5% $517 +0% $562 +5% $607 +10% $653
Rate -1.0pp $587 -0.5pp $575 base $562 +0.5pp $549 +1.0pp $536

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8705 E Smart Ave Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,000 $1.33 44d 1 0.49mi
611 Ewing Ave Unit B Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 24d 1 0.83mi
100 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1141 $1,425 $1.25 45d 1 1.13mi
576 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 1.14mi
600 S Glenwood Ave Unit F Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 20d 1 1.20mi
600 S Glenwood Ave Unit I Independence, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 44d 1 1.20mi
303 White Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1060 $950 $0.90 11d 1 1.26mi
216 N Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,495 $1.01 20d 1 1.28mi
216 N Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,495 $1.01 17d 1 1.29mi
6011 E 11th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 17d 1 1.36mi
1138 S Glenwood Ave Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 1180 $1,095 $0.93 20d 1 1.39mi
9528 E Winner Rd Independence, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0 730 $999 $1.37 44d 1 1.43mi
135 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 920 $1,500 $1.63 8d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $50,000 Active 289-char remark
  16. 2003-11-20
    soldstatus
  17. 1989-01-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$738 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$738 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,770
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$738
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,102
− Management
−$1,102
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,518
After-tax cash flow
$5,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
City population
439,467
Population (ZIP)
2,723

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (61%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 26% Black 10% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 50% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.18%
Current HPI
471.552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $50,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1989-01-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $738 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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