307 Ann St · Rome, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1909
- Listed 111 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.83%
- DSCR
- 3.26
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $59,840
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 Louisa | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 1,368 (+1%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $44 | 75 |
| 304 Mohawk St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,402 (+3%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $36 | 56 |
| 117 E Embargo St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,458 (+7%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $48 | 50 |
| 209 Jasper St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,168 (-14%) | 20mo | $73,179 | $63 | 49 |
| 105 5th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+6%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $42 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $28,532
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 54.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.34×
- Total profit
- $71,736
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13440
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,315/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183 W Dominick St Rome, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $904 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 149 River St Unit 2 Rome, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2025-10-31soldstatus $38,000
-
2025-04-24status Pending
-
2025-01-03$48,000 Active
-
2023-05-08soldstatus $20,000 Closed Sale or Rented 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.
-
2023-02-08status Pending Sale 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.
-
2023-02-08price $25,000 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.
-
2023-02-01$30,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.
-
2003-04-15soldstatus $29,498
-
2000-02-17soldstatus $25,000
-
1999-12-03soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,315 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,315 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,441
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$1,315
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,155
- − Management
- −$1,155
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $6,490
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,558
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rome City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624900
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,406
- Composite
- 34.52/100
- National rank
- #5178
- State rank
- #516 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rome, NY
- City population
- 41,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,273
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.58%
- Current HPI
- 339.3589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+322.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-24 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-01-03 Listed $48,000 CNYIS
- 2023-05-08 Sold (MLS) $20,000 CNYIS
- 2023-02-08 Pending — CNYIS
- 2023-02-08 Price Changed $25,000 CNYIS
- 2023-02-01 Listed $30,000 CNYIS
- 2003-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $29,498 Public Records
- 2000-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1999-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,315 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…