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B+ Composite 76.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,000

307 Ann St · Rome, NY 13440
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,360 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1909 4,792 sqft lot Est $60k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1909
  • Listed 111 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,680 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
20.53%
Cash-on-cash
50.83%
DSCR
3.26
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$59,840
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
409 Louisa 0.04mi 2/1.0 1,368 (+1%) 22mo $60,000 $44 75
304 Mohawk St 0.60mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,402 (+3%) 5mo $50,000 $36 56
117 E Embargo St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,458 (+7%) 1mo $70,000 $48 50
209 Jasper St 0.15mi 2/1.0 1,168 (-14%) 20mo $73,179 $63 49
105 5th St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,442 (+6%) 22mo $60,000 $42 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.7%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$28,532
Equity at exit
$7,157
10-year hold
IRR
54.3%
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$71,736
Equity at exit
$4,150

Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13440

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$252
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,315/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $483
Max offer price $48,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,000
Closing costs
$1,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
183 W Dominick St Rome, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 845 $904 $1.07 43d 1 0.43mi
149 River St Unit 2 Rome, NY 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,500 $1.29 44d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2025-10-31
    soldstatus $38,000
  2. 2025-04-24
    status Pending
  3. 2025-01-03
    listed $48,000 Active
  4. 2023-05-08
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed Sale or Rented 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.

  5. 2023-02-08
    status Pending Sale 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.

  6. 2023-02-08
    price $25,000 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.

  7. 2023-02-01
    listed $30,000 Active 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    This 4 bedroom home is a vision waiting to happen. Home has been gutted in places ready to be remodeled and come back to life. The home was used as a two family but is zoned single family. At this time there are two kitchens, two bedrooms and bathroom down and 2 bedrooms and bathroom up.

  8. 2003-04-15
    soldstatus $29,498
  9. 2000-02-17
    soldstatus $25,000
  10. 1999-12-03
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,315 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,315 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,441
− Mortgage interest
−$2,689
− Property taxes
−$1,315
− Insurance
−$240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$1,396
Taxable income
$6,490
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,558
After-tax cash flow
$5,275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rome City School District
NCES district ID
3624900
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$46,406
Composite
34.52/100
National rank
#5178
State rank
#516 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome, NY
City population
41,418
Population (ZIP)
41,273

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.58%
Current HPI
339.3589
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+322.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2025-04-24 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-01-03 Listed $48,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-05-08 Sold (MLS) $20,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-02-08 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-02-08 Price Changed $25,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-02-01 Listed $30,000 CNYIS
  • 2003-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $29,498 Public Records
  • 2000-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,315 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…