254 E Bank St · Albion, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.52%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$36,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
House being sold "As-Is" Bring your vision and transform this completely gutted home into something special. The interior has been cleared, offering a rare chance to design every detail to your taste. Significant renovations are needed, making this an ideal project for experienced renovators or investors.
Key facts
- 3,925 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 159 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 4.1% in Albion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,009 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Albion Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #479 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Orleans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $249 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $36k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.43%
- DSCR
- 3.87
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,282
- List price
- $36,000
- Delta
- -74.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Mckinstry St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,331 (+5%) | 12mo | $157,500 | $118 | 71 |
| 331 Wood St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,252 (-1%) | 6mo | $29,000 | $23 | 70 |
| 71 Brown St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,308 (+4%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $115 | 67 |
| 114 S Platt St | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,310 (+4%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $69 | 67 |
| 109 Herrick St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (-13%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $82 | 66 |
| 45 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-0%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $155 | 60 |
| 117 W Academy St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,348 (+7%) | 2mo | $74,000 | $55 | 59 |
| 525 E State | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (-6%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $113 | 52 |
| 214 Linwood Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-15%) | 7mo | $144,833 | $134 | 52 |
| 10 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,430 (+13%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $168 | 44 |
| 33 Caroline St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (+13%) | 16mo | $160,000 | $112 | 40 |
| 227 S Clinton St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-14%) | 13mo | $187,825 | $172 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $28,652
- Equity at exit
- $5,368
- IRR
- 68.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.88×
- Total profit
- $69,396
- Equity at exit
- $3,113
Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14411
- Home prices YoY
- -11.6%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$189
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$45 /mo · $540/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $541
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $566 | -5% $554 | +0% $541 | +5% $529 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $462 | -5% $502 | +0% $541 | +5% $581 | +10% $620 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $559 | -0.5pp $550 | base $541 | +0.5pp $532 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,000
- Closing costs
- $1,080
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 W Bank St Albion, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-25price $36,000 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
House being sold "As-Is" Bring your vision and transform this completely gutted home into something special. The interior has been cleared, offering a rare chance to design every detail to your taste. Significant renovations are needed, making this an ideal project for experienced renovators or investors.
-
2026-01-12price $37,000 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
House being sold "As-Is" Bring your vision and transform this completely gutted home into something special. The interior has been cleared, offering a rare chance to design every detail to your taste. Significant renovations are needed, making this an ideal project for experienced renovators or investors.
-
2025-12-16$39,900 Active 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
House being sold "As-Is" Bring your vision and transform this completely gutted home into something special. The interior has been cleared, offering a rare chance to design every detail to your taste. Significant renovations are needed, making this an ideal project for experienced renovators or investors.
-
2024-03-10historical
-
2023-12-15$69,900 Active
-
2023-12-10historical
-
2023-09-22$69,900 Active
-
2013-01-04soldstatus $11,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 52% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,017
- − Property taxes
- −$540
- − Insurance
- −$180
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$1,047
- Taxable income
- $6,296
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albion Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602520
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,408
- Composite
- 36.91/100
- National rank
- #4541
- State rank
- #479 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albion
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1009
- US rank
- #19661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albion, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,479
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,123 people
- By 2030
- 37,648 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 34,432 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 31,487 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 26,544 · -32.2%
- By 2100
- 22,251 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.5) · D 29.8% · R 70.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -18.7pp · 2024: -40.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.5 2020: R+36.0 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+18.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.68%
- Current HPI
- 302.9236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+206.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $36,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $37,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-03-10 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2023-12-15 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2023-12-10 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2023-09-22 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2013-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $11,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,428 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…