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201 Ball Ave
B+ Composite 77.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$33,000

201 Ball Ave · Bessemer, AL 35022
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,066 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1920 9,147 sqft lot Est $55k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming fixer-upper located at 201 Ball Avenue Full of historic character and renovation potential, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to restore a classic home. Situated on a quiet street with mature surroundings, this home is ready for your vision and personal touch

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
  • Cap rate 33.4% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mcadory Elementary School (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 61% FRL); Mcadory Middle School (math 2% / reading 33%, grade F, #199 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 854 students, 74% FRL); Mcadory High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #237 of 305 statewide, top 78%, 1,162 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 33% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $33,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.66%
Cap rate
33.37%
Cash-on-cash
96.70%
DSCR
5.30
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$55,432
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
104 Raimund Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,145 (+7%) 22mo $60,000 $52 44
912 Avenue I 0.70mi 2/1.0 926 (-13%) 13mo $25,500 $28 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.25×
Total profit
$48,474
Equity at exit
$4,920
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.33×
Total profit
$132,395
Equity at exit
$2,853

Cash invested: $9,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,209 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$173
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $289/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $267
Max offer price $33,000
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $763 -5% $754 +0% $745 +5% $735 +10% $726
Rent -10% $649 -5% $697 +0% $745 +5% $792 +10% $840
Rate -1.0pp $761 -0.5pp $753 base $745 +0.5pp $736 +1.0pp $727

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,250
Closing costs
$990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,200 $0.97 26d 1 0.70mi
808 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,050 $1.01 26d 1 0.92mi
810 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,050 $1.01 26d 1 0.92mi
4015 Goodwin Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,211 $1.01 18d 1 1.05mi
931 Dartmouth Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 984 $925 $0.94 46d 1 1.09mi
236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,100 $0.76 46d 1 1.10mi
1600 Holbrook Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 885 $999 $1.13 4d 1 1.12mi
622 Jefferson Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 23d 1 1.16mi
622 Jefferson Ave Unit 622 Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 5d 1 1.16mi
1622 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 2.0 1104 $995 $0.90 4d 1 1.27mi
300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $900 $0.93 14d 1 1.30mi
300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $1,000 $1.04 26d 1 1.30mi
208 9th Ct S Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 784 $650 $0.83 26d 1 1.31mi
3626 Wind Ridge Ln Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,850 $1.42 5d 1 1.33mi
1909 Holbrook Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 1064 $930 $0.87 46d 1 1.33mi
18 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,100 $0.78 46d 1 1.41mi
10 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,000 $0.87 46d 1 1.45mi
1830 Exeter Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 913 $850 $0.93 46d 1 1.48mi
420 19th St S Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 910 $850 $0.93 46d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 318-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    listed $33,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$289 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$289 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 33% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,513
− Mortgage interest
−$1,849
− Property taxes
−$289
− Insurance
−$165
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,161
− Management
−$1,161
− Depreciation
−$960
Taxable income
$8,929
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,143
After-tax cash flow
$6,792/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $33,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $289 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…