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8441 Southfield Fwy Multi-family
D+ Composite 49.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

8441 Southfield Fwy · Detroit, MI 48228
None bd · 2.0 ba · 3,827 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 619 Days on market
Built 1963 4,356 sqft lot Est $8k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

This is a land-based site. Zoned B4. The DLBA is seeking proposals to support the activation and stewardship of vacant land sites, including urban agriculture, gardening, or beautification, whether for profit or community activation. Interested buyers should consult our proposal guidelines for land-based sites and DLBA Guide to Plot Plan, Site Design, and Maintenance. The DLBA also recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. BATVAI. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds (funds should meet or exceed development costs). Please note that the Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Listed 619 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a ?-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $5k).
  • Recommended offer: $4k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 209.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 619 days — a 12% lower offer ($4k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $850; list at $5k implies a 488% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $4,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 619 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
22.25%
Cap rate
208.97%
Cash-on-cash
723.85%
DSCR
33.21
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$7,880
List price
$5,000
Delta
-36.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
36.52×
Total profit
$49,731
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
72.45×
Total profit
$100,029
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$844

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 19%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $5,000 Active 619 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $5,000 Active 618 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $5,000 Active 616 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,000 Active 614 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,000 Active 613 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,000 Active 610 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,000 Active 609 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,000 Active 608 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $5,000 Active 605 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $5,000 Active 604 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,000 Active 602 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,000 Active 601 DOM
  13. 2024-10-07
    listed $5,000 Active 1053-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1047 chars)

    This is a land-based site. Zoned B4. The DLBA is seeking proposals to support the activation and stewardship of vacant land sites, including urban agriculture, gardening, or beautification, whether for profit or community activation. Interested buyers should consult our proposal guidelines for land-based sites and DLBA Guide to Plot Plan, Site Design, and Maintenance. The DLBA also recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. BATVAI. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds (funds should meet or exceed development costs). Please note that the Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests.

  14. 2024-10-07
    listed $5,000 Active 1047-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1047 chars)

    This is a land-based site. Zoned B4. The DLBA is seeking proposals to support the activation and stewardship of vacant land sites, including urban agriculture, gardening, or beautification, whether for profit or community activation. Interested buyers should consult our proposal guidelines for land-based sites and DLBA Guide to Plot Plan, Site Design, and Maintenance. The DLBA also recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. BATVAI. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds (funds should meet or exceed development costs). Please note that the Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests.

  15. 2012-02-01
    soldstatus $850
  16. 2012-01-16
    soldstatus $800
  17. 2012-01-16
    soldstatus $800
  18. 2011-12-14
    historical
  19. 2011-12-14
    historical
  20. 2011-12-05
    listed $1,620
  21. 2011-12-05
    listed $1,620
  22. 2011-12-05
    historical
  23. 2011-10-24
    historical
  24. 2011-10-05
    historical
  25. 2011-10-04
    listed $1,800
  26. 2011-02-23
    listed $1,800
  27. 2011-02-23
    listed $2,000
  28. 2011-02-23
    listed $1,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 64% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,353
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,068
− Management
−$1,068
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$10,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,566
After-tax cash flow
$7,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $850 Public Records
  • 2012-01-16 Sold (MLS) $800 REALCOMP
  • 2012-01-16 Sold (MLS) $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-12-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-12-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-12-05 Listed $1,620 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-05 Listed $1,620 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-04 Listed $1,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-02-23 Listed $1,800 REALCOMP
  • 2011-02-23 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-02-23 Listed $1,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-37.6%/yr

Latest (2016): $340 · -61.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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