2635 Harlem Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
AGENTS - PLEASE VIEW AGENT REMARKS IN BRIGHT MLS. Beautifully newly remodeled 3-bedroom, 1 full bath home located in the heart of Baltimore in a quiet neighborhood family-friendly neighborhood! This move-in ready home features a stunning brand-new kitchen with ceramic island, new kitchen sink, and brand-new GE Appliances: refrigerator, cooking range, and built-in microwave oven. The home also offers updated flooring throughout, freshly painted interior, new ceiling fans, and a fully renovated bathroom with elegant glass shower door. Bright and spacious living areas with modern finishes make this home perfect for comfortable living. Conveniently located near a kids' park, desirable community
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual ground rent noted
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas heating and hot water; Public water; Municipal sewer (no septic)
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Ground rent exists; Not in a federal flood zone; Public water; No septic system
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans for cooling; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Other interior features; Basement with rear entrance; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $952 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,807/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $75k implies a 782% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.43%
- DSCR
- 3.42
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,260
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2435 Lauretta Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (0%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $36 | 86 |
| 2711 Riggs Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+2%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $104 | 79 |
| 2516 W Fairmount Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (+4%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $23 | 68 |
| 537 Longwood St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-7%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $51 | 66 |
| 2576 W Baltimore St W | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-5%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 1906 W Saratoga St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,273 (+1%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 2544 W Fairmount Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,204 (-4%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $46 | 60 |
| 2216 W Fayette St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (+5%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $58 | 60 |
| 633 N Brice St | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,250 (-1%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 2416 W Franklin St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+14%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $47 | 57 |
| 2141 Vine St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-5%) | 3mo | $20,000 | $17 | 55 |
| 1218 N Longwood St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (-6%) | 2mo | $56,000 | $47 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $54,319
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 62.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.18×
- Total profit
- $150,822
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21216
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $603/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $952
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,675 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,050 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2922 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2301 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 39 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1844 | $1,700 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,875 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $800 | $0.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2800 Presstman St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,799 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1914 Mosher St Unit 1914 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1814 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3423 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,710 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 813 N Fulton Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,590 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,434 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1912 W Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,675 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,295 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1617 Moreland Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$75,000 Active
-
2010-07-15historical Expired
-
2010-07-15historical
-
2010-03-02status Active
-
2010-02-15historical Expired
-
2009-08-23Active
-
2009-08-22$79,500
-
1997-11-12historical
-
1997-05-14
-
1993-02-25soldstatus $8,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $603 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $710 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$107/yr (+$9/mo · 17.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$603
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,734
- − Management
- −$1,734
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $10,850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,604
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,426
- Household income
- $42,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2264.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.42%
- Current HPI
- 164.3933
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.10%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+782.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-07-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-02 Relisted — MRIS
- 2010-02-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-08-23 Listed — MRIS
- 2009-08-22 Listed $79,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-11-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-05-14 Listed — MRIS
- 1993-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $603 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…