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5223 Raven Dr
C- Composite 52.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$35,000

5223 Raven Dr · Rand, WV 25306
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1940 7,492 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Contingent Contract Accepted W/ 72 Hr Kickout, Please Continue To Show. Nice Clean 1 Level Home With Flat Lot, Kitchen Appliances Remain, Den Could Be Used As 3rd Bedroom, Washer Dryer Remain, Storage Building, Carport & Off Street Parking.

Key facts

  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • Listed 55 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Block, plaster, and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Composition/shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.172 acres

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating with forced air; Central air conditioning (heat pump)
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; No basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $908 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#138 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Malden Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #350 of 377 statewide, top 95%, 152 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 1,220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 24 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $33,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.29%
Cap rate
39.70%
Cash-on-cash
119.32%
DSCR
6.31
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,184
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5611 Church Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 (+1) 972 (-14%) 9mo $68,000 $70 44
5904 Starling Dr 0.66mi 2/1.0 964 (-14%) 6mo $99,000 $103 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.99% appreciation · 7.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.27×
Total profit
$71,218
Equity at exit
$17,725
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.73×
Total profit
$183,563
Equity at exit
$28,974

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25306

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $166/yr
Insurance
$15
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$908

Break-even live

Break-even rent $352
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $35,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $39,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,000 Active 36 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $59,000
  19. 2026-04-24
    listed $65,000 Active
  20. 2025-09-26
    listed $86,000 Active
  21. 2015-08-28
    soldstatus $35,000 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Contingent Contract Accepted W/ 72 Hr Kickout, Please Continue To Show. Nice Clean 1 Level Home With Flat Lot, Kitchen Appliances Remain, Den Could Be Used As 3rd Bedroom, Washer Dryer Remain, Storage Building, Carport & Off Street Parking.

  22. 2015-04-04
    listed $39,900 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Contingent Contract Accepted W/ 72 Hr Kickout, Please Continue To Show. Nice Clean 1 Level Home With Flat Lot, Kitchen Appliances Remain, Den Could Be Used As 3rd Bedroom, Washer Dryer Remain, Storage Building, Carport & Off Street Parking.

  23. 1992-08-26
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$166 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$206 · $17/mo
Expected delta
+$40/yr (+$3/mo · 24.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,022
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$166
− Insurance
−$972
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,442
− Management
−$1,442
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$11,021
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,645
After-tax cash flow
$8,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Rand

Score
64/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B- Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rand, WV
County
Kanawha County · 33,502 people
Metro
Charleston, WV
Population (ZIP)
6,040
Household income
$71,654
Rent vs Own
32.4% rent · 67.6% own
Severe rent burden
124.0

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.99%
Current HPI
195.9623
Rent YoY
▲ 7.59%
Metro
Charleston, WV
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+84.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $59,000 KVBOR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $65,000 KVBOR
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $86,000 KVBOR
  • 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $35,000 KVBOR
  • 2015-04-04 Listed $39,900 KVBOR
  • 1992-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $166 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…