6016 Sussex Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome is bursting with potential and ready for its next chapter. With solid bones already in place, this home simply needs a cosmetic refresh to truly shine again. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to add your personal touch, this property offers incredible value in an unbeatable location. Situated on a quiet dead-end street in a charming neighborhood, you'll enjoy both privacy and convenience. Located within walking distance to South and surrounded by plentiful shopping and dining options, the location alone makes this property a standout. Inside, the home features a spacious great room, galley-style kitchen, and adj
Key facts
- Office space
- Covered parking area
- Private courtyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse (residential); Built in 1993
- Construction: Brick veneer construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Courtyard; Privacy fencing; View available (unspecified)
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances listed as other
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace with gas log in the family room; Separate dining room; No basement; Other interior features noted
- Laundry & utility: Utilities available: cable, electricity, natural gas, water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Er Dickson Elementary School (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #409 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 1,038 students, 67% FRL); Denton Magnet School of Technology (math 26% / reading 69%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 314 students, 94% FRL); Murphy High School (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,254 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $175k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.73%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,470
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 West Dr #11 | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,991 (-4%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $121 | 74 |
| 211 West Dr #4 | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,072 (+0%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 211 West Dr #10 | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,189 (+6%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $112 | 68 |
| 211 West Dr #8 | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,903 (-8%) | 16mo | $246,500 | $130 | 63 |
| 518 Highland Woods Dr W | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,060 (-0%) | 14mo | $229,000 | $111 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,642
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $37,977
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36608
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,777 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,148/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $284 | +0% $234 | +5% $184 | +10% $135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $164 | +0% $234 | +5% $304 | +10% $374 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $279 | base $234 | +0.5pp $189 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6016 Magnolia Pl E Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 112 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1472 | $1,810 | $1.23 | 15d | 5 | 0.51mi |
| 6474B Cedar Bend Ct Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 304 N University Blvd Unit 1043721P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $4,148 | $2.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 316 Syracuse St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,875 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6427 Airport Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1214 | $1,537 | $1.27 | 45d | 10 | 0.94mi |
| 1056 Linlen Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1975 | $2,300 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-10status $175,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,148 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,148 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,148
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,706
- − Management
- −$1,706
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$7
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,810/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,890
- Household income
- $61,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1823.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -224.52%
- Current HPI
- 198.9469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.15%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+52.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $175,000 GCMLS AL
- 2005-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,148 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…