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15906 + Main St
D+ Composite 48.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,500

15906 + Main St · Millfield, OH 45761
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1900 2.11 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

"THE MILLFIELD OPPORTUNITY". When was the last time you can remember being able to purchase 3 houses, plus 5 vacant lots ALL FOR ONLY $ 99,500.00???? The answer is NEVER!! Total of 16 rooms, 3 bathrooms, public water, flat/level 2 plus acres. WOW!! Property is being sold "AS IS - WHERE IS" and must be sold as one entire tract - or course a buyer could split it up after purchase - AGAIN 3 houses & 5 vacant lots - very reasonable. yearly real estate taxes $ 1500 +/- for the 3 houses and 5 lots total. Did I mention only $ 99,500.00. Check flood map, insurability and taxes/assessments.

Key facts

  • 2.11 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 24 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Aluminum, vinyl, and wood siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate counters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (20.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (17.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,033 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D.
  • Athens City (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #393 of 656 in OH (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Athens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
  • Athens County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $100k implies a 374% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,410 (20.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.49%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,457
Equity at exit
$47,562
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$33,578
Equity at exit
$75,573

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45761

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$826 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $936/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$-114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $970
Max offer price $79,410
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-57 -5% $-86 +0% $-114 +5% $-142 +10% $-170
Rent -10% $-179 -5% $-146 +0% $-114 +5% $-81 +10% $-48
Rate -1.0pp $-64 -0.5pp $-88 base $-114 +0.5pp $-140 +1.0pp $-166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-05-14
    listed $99,500 Active
  7. 1998-09-25
    soldstatus $21,000
  8. 1996-08-29
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$936 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$308/yr (+$26/mo · 32.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,915
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$936
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$793
− Management
−$793
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable loss
−$3,076
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$738
After-tax cash flow
$-627/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens City
NCES district ID
3904352
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$30,360
Composite
45.43/100
National rank
#2620
State rank
#393 of 656 in OH

Livability — Millfield

Score
59/100
State rank
#1033
US rank
#20520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millfield, OH
County
Athens · 60,466 people
Population (ZIP)
1,323
Household income
$60,398
Rent vs Own
17.7% rent · 82.3% own

Population outlook (Athens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,867 people
By 2030
73,556 · +2.4%
By 2040
74,528 · +3.7%
By 2050
74,947 · +4.3%
By 2075
77,996 · +8.5%
By 2100
81,619 · +13.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Athens

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 54.9% · R 44.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.5pp toward R · 2008: 35.3pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.0 2016: D+16.9 2012: D+35.0 2008: D+35.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.50%
Current HPI
178.8788
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+397.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $99,500 ACBOR
  • 1998-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 1996-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $936 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…