15906 + Main St · Millfield, OH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
"THE MILLFIELD OPPORTUNITY". When was the last time you can remember being able to purchase 3 houses, plus 5 vacant lots ALL FOR ONLY $ 99,500.00???? The answer is NEVER!! Total of 16 rooms, 3 bathrooms, public water, flat/level 2 plus acres. WOW!! Property is being sold "AS IS - WHERE IS" and must be sold as one entire tract - or course a buyer could split it up after purchase - AGAIN 3 houses & 5 vacant lots - very reasonable. yearly real estate taxes $ 1500 +/- for the 3 houses and 5 lots total. Did I mention only $ 99,500.00. Check flood map, insurability and taxes/assessments.
Key facts
- 2.11 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum, vinyl, and wood siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Laminate counters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (20.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $79k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,033 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D.
- Athens City (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #393 of 656 in OH (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Athens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Athens County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $100k implies a 374% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.49%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $7,457
- Equity at exit
- $47,562
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $33,578
- Equity at exit
- $75,573
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45761
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $826 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $936/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $-114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-57 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-114 | +5% $-142 | +10% $-170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-146 | +0% $-114 | +5% $-81 | +10% $-48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-64 | -0.5pp $-88 | base $-114 | +0.5pp $-140 | +1.0pp $-166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$99,500 Active
-
1998-09-25soldstatus $21,000
-
1996-08-29soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $936 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,244 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$308/yr (+$26/mo · 32.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,915
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$936
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$793
- − Management
- −$793
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable loss
- −$3,076
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $-627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens City
- NCES district ID
- 3904352
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,360
- Composite
- 45.43/100
- National rank
- #2620
- State rank
- #393 of 656 in OH
Livability — Millfield
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1033
- US rank
- #20520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millfield, OH
- County
- Athens · 60,466 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,323
- Household income
- $60,398
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Athens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,867 people
- By 2030
- 73,556 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 74,528 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 74,947 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 77,996 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 81,619 · +13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Athens
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 54.9% · R 44.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: 35.3pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.0 2016: D+16.9 2012: D+35.0 2008: D+35.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.50%
- Current HPI
- 178.8788
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+397.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $99,500 ACBOR
- 1998-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $936 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…