3627 Ohio Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This delightful 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers cozy living with 820 square feet of well-designed space. From the moment you step inside, the warmth and character of the hardwood floors will welcome you in and make you feel right at home. A standout feature of this home is the large basement, offering plentiful storage space and potential for a workshop, office or home gym. Outside, the nice backyard is an oasis for outdoor activities and gardening, with partial fencing providing a sense of privacy. You'll love the proximity to fun shops and restaurants near Cherokee Street, where you can enjoy unique dining experiences, local boutiques, and a lively arts scene. Don't miss the opportunity to make this stylish and conveniently located home your own. Schedule a showing today and discover the charm and potential of your future home! Agent Owned
Key facts
- Double closets
- Great stove
- Large fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area and above-grade finished area recorded in public records; Neighborhood: Gravois Park
- Financial info: Lease not considered; Home warranty included
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Ameren electric; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Private ownership; One level; House structure type
- Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Year built (public records); Basement: 8 ft+ pour, concrete, daylight/lookout
- Exterior features: Front porch; Back yard; City lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (2 on the main level, 2 upper level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Pantry; Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Concrete perimeter foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meramec Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 202 students, 98% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $130k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.52%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,540
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3342 Iowa Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 872 (+6%) | 17mo | $84,900 | $97 | 54 |
| 4031 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+4%) | 10mo | $20,000 | $24 | 53 |
| 3159 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 808 (-2%) | 13mo | $149,900 | $186 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $15,920
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $70,863
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63118
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,653 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $475/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $531
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2641 Keokuk St Unit 1R St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3450 Wisconsin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1219 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 2d | 15 | 0.48mi |
| 3179 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,585 | $2.44 | 2d | 3 | 1.07mi |
| 4416 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2327 Texas Ave Unit 211 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,945 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4455 S 38th St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 505-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$785/yr (+$65/mo · 165.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$475
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,587
- − Management
- −$1,587
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $4,483
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,913
- Household income
- $57,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1495.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.51%
- Current HPI
- 171.5963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.89%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+147.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-23 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-23 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-21 Listed $119,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-20 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-07 Price Changed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-01 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1992-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-06-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2024): $475 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…