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414 Iowa Ave
A- Composite 81.22
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$62,900

414 Iowa Ave · Lake Arthur, LA 70549
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,574 sqft · SingleFamily · 266 Days on market
Built 1910 0.32 ac lot $40/sqft · 31% below area Est $92k · 31% under ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

Key facts

  • Piece of history
  • Pecky cypress
  • 12 foot ceilings

Tags

12 FOOT CEILINGSPECKY CYPRESSPIECE OF HISTORY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($946 rent vs $63k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#99 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Jefferson Davis Parish (town): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 98 in LA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Jefferson Davis Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $176 of equity ($435 loan paydown + $-259 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson Davis County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.95%
Cash-on-cash
23.78%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,745
List price
$62,900
Delta
-31.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Arthur Ave 0.37mi 2/1.5 1,660 (+6%) 9mo $100,000 $60 64
532 Kellogg Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,511 (-4%) 12mo $85,000 $56 59
425 New Orleans Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,349 (-14%) 22mo $185,000 $137 50
226 Arthur Ave 0.36mi 2/3.0 1,772 (+13%) 15mo $75,000 $42 46
716 Arthur Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-14%) 2mo $58,200 $43 41
209 Mill Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (-11%) 16mo $45,000 $32 39
116 Magnolia St 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,384 (-12%) 23mo $105,000 $76 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$14,985
Equity at exit
$16,981
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$43,274
Equity at exit
$19,414

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70549

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$330
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $510/yr
Insurance
$26
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $589
Max offer price $62,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $300 +0% $283 +5% $265 +10% $247
Rent -10% $208 -5% $245 +0% $283 +5% $320 +10% $357
Rate -1.0pp $314 -0.5pp $299 base $283 +0.5pp $266 +1.0pp $250

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,725
Closing costs
$1,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  2. 2026-04-30
    price $62,900 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  3. 2026-03-23
    status Active 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  4. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  5. 2026-01-05
    price $65,990 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  6. 2025-12-04
    price $66,990 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  7. 2025-10-28
    price $67,490 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  8. 2025-09-15
    price $69,000 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  9. 2025-09-09
    price $79,400 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

  10. 2025-08-15
    listed $84,900 Active 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    With its 12-foot ceilings and pecky cypress this home has some wonderful features! Built in 1910, grab a piece of history in the quaint community of Lake Arthur. This home has unlimited potential as a primary residence, an investment property or even a hunting camp! Home is being sold as is, seller will make no repairs. Cash, Conventional or construction loans are the most likely financing options. Schedule your showing today! All measurements are m/l. Seller is offering $2,000 to buyer closing cost with an acceptable offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$510 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$510 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,357
− Mortgage interest
−$3,523
− Property taxes
−$510
− Insurance
−$1,112
− Repairs & maintenance
−$909
− Management
−$909
− Depreciation
−$1,830
Taxable income
$2,564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$615
After-tax cash flow
$2,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Davis Parish
NCES district ID
2200810
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$40,322
Composite
30.21/100
National rank
#6302
State rank
#33 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lake Arthur

Score
68/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#9980

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Arthur, LA
Population (ZIP)
3,580

Population outlook (Jefferson Davis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,015 people
By 2030
30,563 · -1.5%
By 2040
29,639 · -4.4%
By 2050
28,456 · -8.3%
By 2075
25,521 · -17.7%
By 2100
21,787 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 25% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson Davis

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.1) · D 18.8% · R 79.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -61.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.1 2020: R+55.4 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+47.6 2008: R+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.41%
Current HPI
128.4869
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending SWLAR
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $62,900 SWLAR
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted SWLAR
  • 2026-03-11 Pending SWLAR
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $65,990 SWLAR
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $66,990 SWLAR
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $67,490 SWLAR
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $69,000 SWLAR
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $79,400 SWLAR
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $84,900 SWLAR

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $510 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…