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2626 Gordon St
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,500

2626 Gordon St · Brunswick, GA 31520
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1955 3,484 sqft lot ↓ 52% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR SPECIAL! Here is a great renovation project! This home offers 3-4 bedroom 2 bath potential. Interior and exterior renovations are needed. The home features approx. 1276 sq ft. Bring your creative minds and your best offer! The property is being sold as-is, the seller has never occupied the home, so no seller disclosure is offered. Proof of funds are required with all offers.

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 73 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $946 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 33.0% vs local median 3.8% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,556/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,950 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.66%
Cap rate
32.99%
Cash-on-cash
95.36%
DSCR
5.24
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,740
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2626 Gordon St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,276 (0%) 0mo $32,000 $25 95
2606 Johnston St 0.07mi 2/1.0 1,148 (-10%) 15mo $159,000 $139 68
2308 Albany St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,140 (-11%) 7mo $95,000 $83 57
2627 Cleburne St 0.13mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,452 (+14%) 11mo $169,000 $116 55
2611 Albany St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,142 (-10%) 7mo $110,000 $96 54
2302 Bartow St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,430 (+12%) 5mo $165,000 $115 52
1203 M St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (-10%) 0mo $55,000 $48 51
2112 Egret St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,337 (+5%) 11mo $185,500 $139 50
1009 K St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (+5%) 3mo $196,000 $146 50
2501 Wolfe St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,184 (-7%) 14mo $100,000 $84 50
3404 Lee St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,328 (+4%) 4mo $75,000 $56 47
3215 Wesley Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,428 (+12%) 6mo $205,000 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
98.6%
Equity multiple
5.76×
Total profit
$56,686
Equity at exit
$6,337
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.87×
Total profit
$141,223
Equity at exit
$3,675

Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31520

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$223
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $516/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$946

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359
Max offer price $42,500
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $970 -5% $958 +0% $946 +5% $934 +10% $922
Rent -10% $823 -5% $884 +0% $946 +5% $1,007 +10% $1,069
Rate -1.0pp $967 -0.5pp $957 base $946 +0.5pp $935 +1.0pp $923

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,625
Closing costs
$1,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2408 Gordon St Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 44d 1 0.21mi
3220 Altama Ave Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 44d 1 0.70mi
1501 G St Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 44d 1 0.91mi
3518 Hardee Ave Brunswick, GA 3.0 1.0 948 $1,550 $1.64 44d 1 0.97mi
3602 Norwich St Brunswick, GA 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,550 $1.53 44d 1 0.99mi
900 Pointe Grand Way Brunswick, GA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,520 $1.30 3d 10 1.41mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2025-08-29
    status Pending
  2. 2025-06-17
    listed $42,500 Active
  3. 2025-05-31
    historical
  4. 2025-03-10
    price $45,000
  5. 2025-01-24
    price $59,995
  6. 2024-12-04
    price $79,995
  7. 2024-11-29
    listed $89,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$516 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$516 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,673
− Mortgage interest
−$2,381
− Property taxes
−$516
− Insurance
−$212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,494
− Management
−$1,494
− Depreciation
−$1,236
Taxable income
$11,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,721
After-tax cash flow
$8,627/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glynn County
NCES district ID
1302400
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,554
Composite
33.83/100
National rank
#5359
State rank
#47 of 174 in GA

Livability — Brunswick

Score
59/100
State rank
#401
US rank
#19832

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brunswick, GA
County
Glynn County · 69,019 people
City population
51,239
Metro
Brunswick, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,313
Household income
$40,071
Rent vs Own
54.5% rent · 45.5% own
Severe rent burden
1406.0

Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,404 people
By 2030
94,806 · +3.7%
By 2040
100,060 · +9.5%
By 2050
103,258 · +13.0%
By 2075
107,970 · +18.1%
By 2100
103,363 · +13.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Glynn

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.83%
Current HPI
180.4581
Rent YoY
▲ 5.08%
Metro
Brunswick, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-52.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-29 Pending GIAR
  • 2025-06-17 Listed $42,500 GIAR
  • 2025-05-31 Listing Removed GIAR
  • 2025-03-10 Price Changed $45,000 GIAR
  • 2025-01-24 Price Changed $59,995 GIAR
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $79,995 GIAR
  • 2024-11-29 Listed $89,000 GIAR

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $516 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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