3551 Saint Christopher Ln · St. Ann, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks at 3551 Saint Christopher Lane in St. Ann, Missouri! This versatile 7-room layout offers 2 main-level bedrooms plus 3 bonus rooms on the second floor—perfect for extra sleeping space, a home office, or creative use. With approximately 1,098 sq ft of living space, this charming home features hardwood floors throughout, adding warmth and character. Located in a great neighborhood, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're searching for your next rental property or a fix-and-flip project, the potential here is undeniable. Property is being sold AS-IS, offering a fantastic chance to customize and add value. Don’t miss o
Key facts
- Main-level bedrooms
- Bonus rooms
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approx. 1,098 above-grade living area (public records); Lot approx. 0.1389 acres; Seller may consider concessions; No pool
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard; Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Partially finished walk-out basement; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $708 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 6.5% in St. Ann — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Buder Elem. (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #941 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 406 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $64k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.97%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,697
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -30.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3555 Saint Christopher Ln | 0.01mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,199 (+9%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $113 | 65 |
| 10330 Saint Arthur Ln | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,084 (-1%) | 22mo | $179,900 | $166 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $31,823
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $94,621
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63074
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,774 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $708
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $762 | -5% $735 | +0% $708 | +5% $681 | +10% $654 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $568 | -5% $638 | +0% $708 | +5% $778 | +10% $848 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $756 | -0.5pp $732 | base $708 | +0.5pp $683 | +1.0pp $658 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4204 Beauty Ln Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1299 | $1,690 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 777-char remark
-
2026-04-26$94,900 Active 777-char remark
-
2003-01-21soldstatus $64,500
-
2003-01-21soldstatus $64,500
-
1994-08-25soldstatus $35,000
-
1993-10-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,873 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,873 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,873
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,703
- − Management
- −$1,703
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $7,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,789
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ritenour
- NCES district ID
- 2926640
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,410
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #9125
- State rank
- #304 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Ann
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Ann, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 16,237
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,793
- Household income
- $51,610
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 782.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -242.89%
- Current HPI
- 210.6588
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.14%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+171.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-26 Listed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 2003-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1994-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1993-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,873 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…