CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
10643 Balfour Rd
C+ Composite 60.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

10643 Balfour Rd · Detroit, MI 48224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 148 Days on market
Built 1951 5,227 sqft lot $89/sqft · 19% above area Est $77k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $90k implies a 683% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.33%
Cash-on-cash
21.56%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,968
List price
$90,000
Delta
55.91%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10319 Mckinney St 0.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 990 (-3%) 1mo $25,000 $25 85
10830 Mckinney St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,066 (+5%) 1mo $40,199 $38 80
11545 Roxbury St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,003 (-1%) 1mo $65,000 $65 77
11017 Worden St 0.56mi 3/1.0 961 (-5%) 0mo $47,500 $49 64
11640 Somerset Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,028 (+1%) 0mo $70,000 $68 63
10945 Peerless St 0.60mi 3/1.0 964 (-5%) 2mo $54,000 $56 62
9771 Mckinney St 0.39mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,112 (+9%) 2mo $100,000 $90 59
6106 Oldtown St 0.67mi 3/1.5 961 (-5%) 1mo $132,000 $137 57
9369 Sanilac St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,124 (+11%) 1mo $65,000 $58 55
10318 Beaconsfield St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,146 (+13%) 1mo $78,000 $68 55
6230 Oldtown St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,149 (+13%) 2mo $76,000 $66 50
11960 Rossiter St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,164 (+15%) 2mo $84,000 $72 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$11,252
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$35,164
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,351 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,259/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$453

Break-even live

Break-even rent $778
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.15mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 0.18mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 0.20mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 0.21mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.23mi
9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1329 $1,200 $0.90 17d 1 0.25mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.27mi
9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 43d 1 0.28mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 0.31mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 0.31mi
9635 Everts St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,650 $1.14 43d 1 0.32mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 17d 1 0.44mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 0.44mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 0.45mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 43d 1 0.49mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 0.54mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 43d 1 0.56mi
6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1330 $1,199 $0.90 17d 1 0.57mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 0.62mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.63mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 43d 1 0.64mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 43d 1 0.66mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 5d 1 0.67mi
9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 797 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 0.68mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 5d 1 0.68mi
10870 Marne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,100 $0.95 17d 1 0.69mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 0.70mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.70mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 15d 1 0.71mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.72mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 2d 1 0.72mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 0.74mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 0.74mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 0.74mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 17d 1 0.75mi
6154 Woodhall St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1136 $1,000 $0.88 43d 1 0.75mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 17d 1 0.76mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 0.77mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 17d 1 0.78mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 136-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    price $90,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 142 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-04-13
    status Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

  16. 2026-04-13
    status Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

  17. 2026-03-05
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

  18. 2026-03-05
    historical Active Under Contract 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

  19. 2026-01-21
    listed $120,000 Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

  20. 2026-01-21
    listed $120,000 Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!

  21. 2026-01-12
    historical
  22. 2026-01-12
    historical
  23. 2025-12-03
    listed $120,000 Active
  24. 2025-12-03
    listed $120,000 Active
  25. 2008-09-12
    soldstatus $11,500
  26. 2008-06-10
    listed $10,500
  27. 2007-10-22
    soldstatus $120,000
  28. 1997-06-04
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,259 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,323 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$63/yr (+$5/mo · 5.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,211
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,259
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,297
− Management
−$1,297
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,019
After-tax cash flow
$4,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+445.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-05 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-12 Sold (MLS) $11,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-10 Listed $10,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 1997-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,259 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…