10643 Balfour Rd · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $90k implies a 683% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.56%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,968
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 55.91%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10319 Mckinney St | 0.11mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 990 (-3%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $25 | 85 |
| 10830 Mckinney St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (+5%) | 1mo | $40,199 | $38 | 80 |
| 11545 Roxbury St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,003 (-1%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $65 | 77 |
| 11017 Worden St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (-5%) | 0mo | $47,500 | $49 | 64 |
| 11640 Somerset Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (+1%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $68 | 63 |
| 10945 Peerless St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (-5%) | 2mo | $54,000 | $56 | 62 |
| 9771 Mckinney St | 0.39mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,112 (+9%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $90 | 59 |
| 6106 Oldtown St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 961 (-5%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 9369 Sanilac St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (+11%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $58 | 55 |
| 10318 Beaconsfield St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,146 (+13%) | 1mo | $78,000 | $68 | 55 |
| 6230 Oldtown St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (+13%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $66 | 50 |
| 11960 Rossiter St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+15%) | 2mo | $84,000 | $72 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $11,252
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $35,164
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 484
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,351 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,259/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 10400 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10370 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9635 Everts St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 12d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,199 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,250 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 10870 Marne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6154 Woodhall St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,299 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 136-char remark
-
2026-06-19price $90,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-04-13status Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-04-13status Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-03-05historical Accepting Backup Offers 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-03-05historical Active Under Contract 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-01-21$120,000 Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-01-21$120,000 Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath bungalow on Detroits Eastside, that needs some TLC. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2025-12-03$120,000 Active
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2025-12-03$120,000 Active
-
2008-09-12soldstatus $11,500
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2008-06-10$10,500
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2007-10-22soldstatus $120,000
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1997-06-04soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,259 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,323 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$63/yr (+$5/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,259
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,297
- − Management
- −$1,297
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,248
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+445.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-05 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-05 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-03 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-09-12 Sold (MLS) $11,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-06-10 Listed $10,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,259 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…