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2021 W Overbrook Dr
C- Composite 54.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

2021 W Overbrook Dr · Peoria, IL 61604
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,266 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1950 $86/sqft · at area comps Est $110k · at est. ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CONVENIENTLY LOCATED 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATH RANCH ON A FULL BASEMENT. HAS SUNKEN FAMILY ROOM, WALK-IN PANTRY, ATTACHED GARAGE AND FINISHABLE BASEMENT. WITH A FEW COSMETIC UPDATES THIS WOULD MAKE A GREAT HOME. SOLD "AS IS". LETTER OF PREQUALIFICATION OR PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. ALL MEASUREMENTS APPROXIMATE +-, NOT GUARANTEED. MINIMUM EARNEST MONEY OF $1000 REQUIRED.

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • Main floor laundry
  • Built 1950

Tags

MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYBASEMENT UNDER ORIGINAL HOUSELARGE FAMILY ROOM ADDITIONFENCED BACK YARDWATER HEATER 3 YEARS OLD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 82% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $109k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $107,365 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.76%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,132
List price
$109,000
Delta
-1.03%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3014 N Renwood Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,254 (-1%) 2mo $139,000 $111 80
2928 N Renwood Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,238 (-2%) 1mo $129,500 $105 80
2214 W Overbrook Dr 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-9%) 2mo $140,000 $122 76
3021 N Mission Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+9%) 5mo $88,000 $64 66
2202 W Tripp Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (+2%) 5mo $31,000 $24 66
3421 N Rockwood Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,332 (+5%) 3mo $145,900 $110 56
3423 N EL Vista Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,183 (-7%) 5mo $100,000 $85 54
1514 W Margaret Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (-10%) 1mo $122,250 $107 54
1217 W Gilbert Ave 0.72mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,165 (-8%) 0mo $95,000 $82 48
1413 W Gilbert Ave 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+13%) 3mo $58,000 $41 43
1324 W Circle Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,095 (-14%) 4mo $72,500 $66 43
3510 N Elmcroft Ter 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-14%) 1mo $136,000 $125 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-7,547
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,173
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,304 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,892/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,086
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2610 N Renwood Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,300 $1.44 13d 1 0.30mi
1413 W Gilbert Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1428 $1,500 $1.05 13d 1 0.57mi
3629 N Leroy Ave Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.69mi
2523 W Nebraska Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,450 $0.91 21d 1 0.86mi
3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.5 967 $1,750 $1.81 44d 1 0.91mi
2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 13d 1 0.99mi
913 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 21d 1 1.01mi
3601 N Kingston Dr Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,420 $1.38 13d 3 1.03mi
1801 N Gentry Ln West Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 13d 1 1.03mi
4010 N Brandywine Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 797 $1,082 $1.36 13d 17 1.05mi
814 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,100 $0.96 44d 1 1.10mi
903 W Brons Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 971 $995 $1.02 44d 1 1.13mi
2600 N Lavalle Ct Peoria, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 803 $1,150 $1.43 13d 26 1.21mi
3444 W Dorchester Rdg Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1089 $1,275 $1.17 13d 1 1.25mi
2109 N Abbey Cir Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,009 $0.93 13d 1 1.26mi
W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 13d 4 1.45mi
1019 N Farmington Rd Unit 1017 Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $109,000 Active 310-char remark
  2. 2010-05-26
    soldstatus $55,500 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    CONVENIENTLY LOCATED 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATH RANCH ON A FULL BASEMENT. HAS SUNKEN FAMILY ROOM, WALK-IN PANTRY, ATTACHED GARAGE AND FINISHABLE BASEMENT. WITH A FEW COSMETIC UPDATES THIS WOULD MAKE A GREAT HOME. SOLD "AS IS". LETTER OF PREQUALIFICATION OR PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. ALL MEASUREMENTS APPROXIMATE +-, NOT GUARANTEED. MINIMUM EARNEST MONEY OF $1000 REQUIRED.

  3. 2010-02-12
    listed $59,960 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    CONVENIENTLY LOCATED 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATH RANCH ON A FULL BASEMENT. HAS SUNKEN FAMILY ROOM, WALK-IN PANTRY, ATTACHED GARAGE AND FINISHABLE BASEMENT. WITH A FEW COSMETIC UPDATES THIS WOULD MAKE A GREAT HOME. SOLD "AS IS". LETTER OF PREQUALIFICATION OR PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. ALL MEASUREMENTS APPROXIMATE +-, NOT GUARANTEED. MINIMUM EARNEST MONEY OF $1000 REQUIRED.

  4. 2006-10-12
    soldstatus $87,900
  5. 2006-10-11
    soldstatus $87,900
    Show marketing remark (188 chars)

    Great Family Home with Sunken Family Room & Gas Heater marble Fireplace. Convenient Location, Easy access to I-74. Roof Appears in Good Shape. Nice Rear Yard, Newer Windows throughout.

  6. 2006-04-01
    listed $84,900
    Show marketing remark (188 chars)

    Great Family Home with Sunken Family Room & Gas Heater marble Fireplace. Convenient Location, Easy access to I-74. Roof Appears in Good Shape. Nice Rear Yard, Newer Windows throughout.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,892 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,892 · $241/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,643
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$2,892
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,251
− Management
−$1,251
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$102
After-tax cash flow
$1,960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,313
Household income
$52,414
Rent vs Own
32.0% rent · 68.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.15%
Current HPI
165.8838
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2010-05-26 Sold (MLS) $55,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-12 Listed $59,960 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $87,900 Public Records
  • 2006-10-11 Sold (MLS) $87,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-01 Listed $84,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,892 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…