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2725 E Fir St #112
C+ Composite 62.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.5

$79,500

2725 E Fir St #112 · Mount Vernon, WA 98273
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 102 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 1978 Fair condition $55/sqft · 20% below area Est $108k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Park Village, a quiet 55+ gated community in Mount Vernon offering a comfortable, low maintenance lifestyle with an active clubhouse and wonderful amenities. Ideally located just half a block from the clubhouse and set along the pond, this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home enjoys a peaceful setting with pond views from select areas of the home. Inside, a centrally located kitchen connects to both the dining room with built ins and a spacious living room, creating an easy, open flow for everyday living. An additional dining nook sits beside sliding glass doors that lead to the covered back deck, and a fully enclosed sunroom provides extra living space to enjoy year-round.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Active clubhouse
  • Pond views

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYACTIVE CLUBHOUSEPOND VIEWSCENTRALLY LOCATED KITCHENCOVERED BACK DECKFULLY ENCLOSED SUNROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $979 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 2.2% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#106 in WA, #2,120 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
  • Mount Vernon School District (urban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 291 in WA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (512 students, 63% FRL); Mount Baker Middle School (628 students, 73% FRL); Mount Vernon High School (1,977 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $80k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $72,345 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
21.08%
Cash-on-cash
52.80%
DSCR
3.35
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,678
List price
$79,500
Delta
-26.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2725 E Fir St #57 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 0mo $148,000 $103 95
2725 E Fir St #106 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 5mo $52,000 $36 89
2901 Schuller Pl 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,504 (+4%) 4mo $480,000 $319 77
2725 E Fir #99 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (+6%) 10mo $82,000 $54 77
2725 E Fir #98 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,578 (+10%) 8mo $78,500 $50 76
2725 E Fir St 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,334 (-7%) 13mo $92,000 $69 72
2725 E Fir St #13 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 15mo $97,500 $73 72
2725 E Fir St #41 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-13%) 2mo $85,000 $68 70
2725 Fir St #22 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,272 (-12%) 11mo $75,500 $59 66
2725 E Fir St #84 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (-11%) 11mo $122,000 $95 66
1905 N 33rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,274 (-12%) 11mo $480,000 $377 42
1915 N 33rd Pl 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,274 (-12%) 5mo $399,000 $313 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.1%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$48,246
Equity at exit
$11,854
10-year hold
IRR
55.3%
Equity multiple
6.27×
Total profit
$117,275
Equity at exit
$6,874

Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active · 7 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$97,475 ($74/sqft)
Median days on market
87 d
This list price
38% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+1.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 98273

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,833 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$417
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$979

Break-even live

Break-even rent $593
Max offer price $79,500
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,024 -5% $1,002 +0% $979 +5% $957 +10% $934
Rent -10% $835 -5% $907 +0% $979 +5% $1,052 +10% $1,124
Rate -1.0pp $1,019 -0.5pp $1,000 base $979 +0.5pp $959 +1.0pp $938

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,875
Closing costs
$2,385
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1521 N 26th St Mount Vernon, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0 807 $1,995 $2.47 70d 8 0.32mi
1115 Nylin Ct Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 1032 $2,500 $2.42 93d 1 0.50mi
3316 E College Way Unit A Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 916 $2,000 $2.18 93d 1 0.53mi
119 N 29th Pl Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 1098 $2,700 $2.46 93d 1 0.62mi
1508 N Waugh Rd Apt B Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 1021 $2,300 $2.25 70d 1 0.74mi
3129 Arbor St Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.0 1244 $2,600 $2.09 70d 1 1.16mi
202 Dallas St Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1582 $1,375 $0.87 70d 1 1.32mi
2430 W Meadow Blvd Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 93d 1 1.33mi
1002 S 12th St Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 1052 $2,575 $2.45 70d 1 1.37mi
1511 Shirley Pl Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 936 $2,250 $2.40 93d 1 1.38mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Suitable for seniors (senior community/exemption)
Financial info
Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
HOA & community
Land lease in a senior community (Park Village); park approved for saleApproximately 125 homes in the parkPark amenities include clubhouse, common area, trails, and high-speed internet availabilityLand lease amount: $1,407

Exterior

Parking
CarportUncovered parking
Utilities
Public water (PUD)Electric water heater (located in main bath closet)Power provided by PSESewer included with HOA duesCable and internet via ComcastEnergy sources: Electric and natural gas
Home design
Manufactured double-wide home (Barrington model 64/24)One levelFaces eastHas viewGood condition
Construction
Metal skirtMetal/vinyl and wood construction materialsTorch down roofPillar/post/pier foundationManufactured after 06/15/1976
Exterior features
Patio/porch/deckLandscapedOpen spaceCurbsPaved areasMetal/vinyl and wood exterior

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherGarbage disposalRefrigeratorStove/Range
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
VinylCarpet
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms (2 tubs, 2 showers)
Heating & cooling
Heat pump for heating and cooling
Interior features
Water heaterWalk-in closetBath off primaryEntry and dining areasKitchen with eating spaceLiving roomUtility room
Laundry & utility
WasherDryerUtility room

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $79,500 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $79,500 Active 101 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $79,500 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $79,500 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $79,500 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $79,500 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $79,500 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $79,500 Active 93 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $79,500 Active 92 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $79,500 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $79,500 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $79,500 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $79,500 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $79,500 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $79,500 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $79,500 Active 81 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $79,500 Active 79 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $79,500 Active 78 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $79,500 Active 77 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $79,500 Active 76 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $79,500 Active 75 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $79,500 Active 74 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $79,500 Active 73 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $79,500 Active 72 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $79,500 Active 71 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $79,500 Active 70 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $79,500 Active 69 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $79,500 Active 68 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $79,500 Active 67 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $79,500 Active 66 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    pricedays on market $79,500 Active 65 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $82,000 Active 64 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $82,000 Active 63 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $82,000 Active 62 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $82,000 Active 61 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $82,000 Active 60 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $82,000 Active 59 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $82,000 Active 58 DOM
  39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 55 DOM
  40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $82,000 Active 54 DOM
  41. 2026-06-19
    days on market $82,000 Active 52 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 51 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 50 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 49 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 48 DOM
  46. 2026-06-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 46 DOM
  47. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 45 DOM
  48. 2026-06-10
    days on market $82,000 Active 43 DOM
  49. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,000 Active 42 DOM
  50. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 41 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$225 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$554/yr (+$46/mo · 246.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥81°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,998
− Mortgage interest
−$4,453
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$398
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,760
− Management
−$1,760
− Depreciation
−$2,313
Taxable income
$11,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,661
After-tax cash flow
$9,091/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,200–$21,600 screening

This manufactured home in a quiet gated community offers a peaceful setting with pond views. While it has a fair condition, it could benefit from some cosmetic updates to its kitchen and bathroom, as well as landscaping improvements to enhance its curb appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn but not damaged, could be refinished.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Older style, could be replaced with modern fixtures.
  • Minor Landscaping — Some areas need trimming and mulching.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance.
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizing the kitchen can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom can enhance the home's overall appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Harriet Rowley Middle Mount Baker Middle School High Mount Vernon High School

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon School District
NCES district ID
5305400
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,829
Composite
40.14/100
National rank
#7848
State rank
#189 of 291 in WA
B Composite livability gradescore 79/100

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
79/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#2120

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, WA
County
Skagit County · 131,498 people
City population
48,861
Metro
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
Population (ZIP)
30,001
Household income
$76,717
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Skagit County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,498 people
By 2030
135,556 · +3.1%
By 2040
141,717 · +7.8%
By 2050
145,714 · +10.8%
By 2075
152,201 · +15.7%
By 2100
147,980 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Skagit

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 52.9% · R 44.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+3.2 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+152.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $82,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-14 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-04 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-10 Listed $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2014): $225 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…