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12 Humason Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$126,000

12 Humason Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,083 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1918 3,000 sqft lot $116/sqft · 28% below area Est $174k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 12 Humason Street! This well maintained four bedroom, two full bath home is located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. The functional layout offers two bedrooms and one full bathroom on each level, along with a spacious living room and kitchen that provide comfortable everyday living. Recent updates include a newer roof, a hot water tank installed in 2022, and newer windows. The dry basement features a sump pump, and the home also offers low maintenance vinyl siding and a generously sized backyard. Great for an owner occupant or add it to your portfolio. Home was previously rented for $1350/mo.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Sump pump
  • Newer roof

Tags

NEWER ROOFHOT WATER TANKNEWER WINDOWSDRY BASEMENTSUMP PUMPLOW MAINTENANCE VINYL SIDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $126,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$174,081) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $126k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,364/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($871 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $126k implies a 1226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,440 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.04%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,081
List price
$126,000
Delta
-27.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
59 Fisher St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+2%) 1mo $195,000 $177 79
74 Domedion Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,196 (+10%) 4mo $120,000 $100 72
76 Humason Ave 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,212 (+12%) 4mo $125,000 $103 71
87 Hagen St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,121 (+4%) 4mo $120,000 $107 69
1003 Walden Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,130 (+4%) 0mo $70,000 $62 68
54 Andrews Ave 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,062 (-2%) 4mo $70,000 $66 64
40 Hedwig Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,029 (-5%) 2mo $162,000 $157 62
49 Erb St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+12%) 6mo $155,000 $127 57
42 Carol Dr 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,112 (+3%) 5mo $220,000 $198 55
98 E End Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,217 (+12%) 2mo $160,000 $131 50
64 Westchester Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,194 (+10%) 2mo $190,000 $159 47
47 Hedwig Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 940 (-13%) 1mo $133,250 $142 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$22,163
Equity at exit
$50,033
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$68,517
Equity at exit
$72,307

Cash invested: $35,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$661
Tax est. 1.5%
$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $126,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,500
Closing costs
$3,780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 16d 1 0.37mi
24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 43d 1 0.44mi
56 Hagen St #2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 0.45mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 43d 1 0.56mi
61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.60mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 3d 1 0.62mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 23d 1 0.62mi
1202 Walden Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 43d 1 0.62mi
1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 16d 1 0.62mi
143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,600 $1.40 11d 1 0.63mi
249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 43d 1 0.68mi
11 Kaufman Dr Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 0.73mi
160 Courtland Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 810 $1,025 $1.27 14d 1 0.80mi
103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 882 $1,300 $1.47 3d 1 0.84mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.09mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 43d 1 1.17mi
1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 1.24mi
2935 Genesee St Unit Up Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 10d 1 1.38mi
14 Rutland Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1430 $2,200 $1.54 10d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Humason Street! This well maintained four bedroom, two full bath home is located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. The functional layout offers two bedrooms and one full bathroom on each level, along with a spacious living room and kitchen that provide comfortable everyday living. Recent updates include a newer roof, a hot water tank installed in 2022, and newer windows. The dry basement features a sump pump, and the home also offers low maintenance vinyl siding and a generously sized backyard. Great for an owner occupant or add it to your portfolio. Home was previously rented for $1350/mo.

  2. 2026-03-02
    listed $126,000 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Humason Street! This well maintained four bedroom, two full bath home is located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. The functional layout offers two bedrooms and one full bathroom on each level, along with a spacious living room and kitchen that provide comfortable everyday living. Recent updates include a newer roof, a hot water tank installed in 2022, and newer windows. The dry basement features a sump pump, and the home also offers low maintenance vinyl siding and a generously sized backyard. Great for an owner occupant or add it to your portfolio. Home was previously rented for $1350/mo.

  3. 2026-03-02
    historical
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Humason Street! This well maintained four bedroom, two full bath home is located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. The functional layout offers two bedrooms and one full bathroom on each level, along with a spacious living room and kitchen that provide comfortable everyday living. Recent updates include a newer roof, a hot water tank installed in 2022, and newer windows. The dry basement features a sump pump, and the home also offers low maintenance vinyl siding and a generously sized backyard. Great for an owner occupant or add it to your portfolio. Home was previously rented for $1350/mo.

  4. 2025-12-31
    listed $126,000 Active
  5. 2009-11-05
    soldstatus $9,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,372
− Mortgage interest
−$7,058
− Property taxes
−$1,890
− Insurance
−$630
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,310
− Management
−$1,310
− Depreciation
−$3,665
Taxable income
$509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$122
After-tax cash flow
$2,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1226.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-02 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $126,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $126,000 WNYREIS
  • 2009-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $196 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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