10424 Count Dr · Castle Point, MO 63136

$74,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market

Built 1961 5,201 sqft lot Est $101k · 27% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +6.9/10.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.4/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

DON'T miss this opportunity to OWN a 3 bedroom home in Unincorporated St. Louis County. Your mortgage could be LESS than your rent!!! You choose: Starter home for YOU or purchase as a READY TO GO rental. ***HOUSE HAS ALREADY PASSED RESIDENTIAL OCCUPANCY INSPECTION.***MOVE-IN READY**Several Updates: Eat-in kitchen with newer stainless appliances & newer vinyl plank floor. Plenty of cabinet space & pantry. Bathroom with newly glazed tub, white vanity, new mirror. Updated 100 amp service electrical panel. Newer white vinyl windows, hardwood floors, neutral paint, newer light fixtures & new miniblinds thru-out. Very clean, full unfinished basement with washer/dryer hookups. Newer sewer stack & cast iron main line under basement floor has been replaced. Level fenced back yard. Seller used as a rental during ownership. Last tenant just moved out & was paying $850 in rent! Wireless ADT security system. LOCATION!!LOCATION!!LOCATION!! Close to highways,shopping,restaurants,MORE! Owner/Broker.

Key facts

• Full basement
• Major thoroughfares
• Off-street parking

Tags

• FULL BASEMENT
• OFF-STREET PARKING
• PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
• MAJOR THOROUGHFARES

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area reported as 912 (assessor); Lot size reported as approximately 0.1194 acres
• Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Property listed as auction

Exterior

• Parking: No designated parking spaces reported
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Frame construction
• Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 130; Lot contains other landscaping/features (per public records)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Full basement; One-level living

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $74,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$101,232) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
• Recommended offer: $73k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#313 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Lewis And Clark Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 145 students, 98% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($512 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $35k; list at $74k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $72,890 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.72% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.76%
• DSCR: 2.32
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $101,232
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
10501 Baron Dr	0.13mi	3/1.0	888 (-3%)	2mo	$99,000	$111	88
10512 Count Dr	0.12mi	3/1.0	888 (-3%)	4mo	$105,000	$118	86
10365 Lord Dr	0.07mi	3/1.0	864 (-5%)	4mo	$87,000	$101	85
10228 Viscount Dr	0.32mi	3/1.5	925 (+1%)	2mo	$155,000	$168	79
10236 Monarch Dr	0.26mi	3/1.5	850 (-7%)	1mo	$35,000	$41	74
10117 Royal Dr	0.48mi	3/1.0	864 (-5%)	1mo	$35,000	$41	68
10117 Duke Dr	0.46mi	3/1.0	864 (-5%)	4mo	$119,900	$139	66
10417 Prince Dr	0.27mi	3/1.5	1,040 (+14%)	2mo	$120,000	$115	61
10127 Monarch Dr	0.41mi	3/1.5	1,015 (+11%)	1mo	$155,000	$153	59
9984 Duke Dr	0.67mi	3/1.0	960 (+5%)	1mo	$54,000	$56	59
10557 Castle Dr	0.39mi	3/1.5	1,023 (+12%)	1mo	$110,000	$108	59
10067 Prince Dr	0.62mi	2/2.0 (-1)	945 (+4%)	3mo	$25,000	$26	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 38.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.29×
• Total profit: $47,373
• Equity at exit: $36,614

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.7%
• Equity multiple: 6.94×
• Total profit: $123,123
• Equity at exit: $59,175

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63136

• Home prices YoY: 0.9%
• Rents YoY: 5.0%
• Active inventory: 372
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,276 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$388
• Tax from tax record: −$75 /mo · $905/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$268
• Net cashflow: $514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $626

Max offer price $74,000

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,500
• Closing costs: $2,220
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,075	$1.24	2d	1	0.05mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,100	$1.21	21d	1	0.06mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	770	$1,100	$1.43	4d	1	0.09mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	888	$1,195	$1.35	14d	1	0.14mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,300	$1.30	7d	1	0.15mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1073	$1,728	$1.61	23d	1	0.18mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	900	$1,040	$1.16	21d	1	0.24mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1023	$1,275	$1.25	23d	1	0.24mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1023	$1,300	$1.27	14d	1	0.38mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1016	$900	$0.89	43d	1	0.42mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$1,000	$1.26	7d	1	0.43mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	882	$775	$0.88	43d	1	0.43mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	770	$1,325	$1.72	43d	1	0.45mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1056	$1,050	$0.99	23d	1	0.63mi
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1062	$1,200	$1.13	23d	1	0.67mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.5	912	$1,250	$1.37	23d	1	0.74mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	975	$1,320	$1.35	23d	1	0.75mi
2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	3.0	1073	$1,495	$1.39	23d	1	0.77mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$1,000	$1.26	23d	1	0.86mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$1,000	$1.26	43d	1	0.86mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1014	$1,395	$1.38	23d	1	0.89mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	795	$1,295	$1.63	17d	1	0.94mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	795	$1,295	$1.63	14d	1	0.94mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	900	$1,325	$1.47	7d	1	0.96mi
10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$1,400	$1.77	3d	1	0.97mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1014	$1,345	$1.33	43d	1	1.00mi
1230 Roxton Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,400	$1.54	21d	1	1.02mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1071	$1,575	$1.47	10d	1	1.08mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1014	$1,450	$1.43	7d	1	1.10mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO	4.0	1.0	1095	$995	$0.91	14d	1	1.14mi
1208 Rapid Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	992	$1,375	$1.39	4d	1	1.16mi
1115 Bakewell Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	916	$1,300	$1.42	43d	1	1.17mi
10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,450	$1.59	16d	1	1.18mi
10367 Coburg Lands Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,270	$1.39	43d	1	1.21mi
2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	858	$1,175	$1.37	23d	1	1.22mi
10508 Druid Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1122	$1,475	$1.31	16d	1	1.25mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.5	1030	$1,100	$1.07	43d	1	1.28mi
9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,450	$1.68	7d	1	1.28mi
9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	788	$900	$1.14	43d	1	1.29mi
1009 Bliss Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,400	$1.54	43d	1	1.30mi

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $74,000 Active 25 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $74,000 Active 24 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $74,000 Active 23 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $74,000 Active 22 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $74,000 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $74,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $74,000 Active 16 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $74,000 Active 15 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $74,000 Active 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,000 Active 11 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,000 Active 10 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,000 Active 9 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,000 Active 8 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,000 Active 7 DOM
15. 2026-05-24
    listed $74,000 Active
16. 2020-04-09
    soldstatus $34,550
17. 2020-03-19
    soldstatus Closed 1018-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    DON'T miss this opportunity to OWN a 3 bedroom home in Unincorporated St. Louis County. Your mortgage could be LESS than your rent!!! You choose: Starter home for YOU or purchase as a READY TO GO rental. ***HOUSE HAS ALREADY PASSED RESIDENTIAL OCCUPANCY INSPECTION.***MOVE-IN READY**Several Updates: Eat-in kitchen with newer stainless appliances & newer vinyl plank floor. Plenty of cabinet space & pantry. Bathroom with newly glazed tub, white vanity, new mirror. Updated 100 amp service electrical panel. Newer white vinyl windows, hardwood floors, neutral paint, newer light fixtures & new miniblinds thru-out. Very clean, full unfinished basement with washer/dryer hookups. Newer sewer stack & cast iron main line under basement floor has been replaced. Level fenced back yard. Seller used as a rental during ownership. Last tenant just moved out & was paying $850 in rent! Wireless ADT security system. LOCATION!!LOCATION!!LOCATION!! Close to highways,shopping,restaurants,MORE! Owner/Broker.

18. 2020-02-15
    status Pending 1018-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    DON'T miss this opportunity to OWN a 3 bedroom home in Unincorporated St. Louis County. Your mortgage could be LESS than your rent!!! You choose: Starter home for YOU or purchase as a READY TO GO rental. ***HOUSE HAS ALREADY PASSED RESIDENTIAL OCCUPANCY INSPECTION.***MOVE-IN READY**Several Updates: Eat-in kitchen with newer stainless appliances & newer vinyl plank floor. Plenty of cabinet space & pantry. Bathroom with newly glazed tub, white vanity, new mirror. Updated 100 amp service electrical panel. Newer white vinyl windows, hardwood floors, neutral paint, newer light fixtures & new miniblinds thru-out. Very clean, full unfinished basement with washer/dryer hookups. Newer sewer stack & cast iron main line under basement floor has been replaced. Level fenced back yard. Seller used as a rental during ownership. Last tenant just moved out & was paying $850 in rent! Wireless ADT security system. LOCATION!!LOCATION!!LOCATION!! Close to highways,shopping,restaurants,MORE! Owner/Broker.

19. 2020-02-13
    listed $34,900 Active 1018-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    DON'T miss this opportunity to OWN a 3 bedroom home in Unincorporated St. Louis County. Your mortgage could be LESS than your rent!!! You choose: Starter home for YOU or purchase as a READY TO GO rental. ***HOUSE HAS ALREADY PASSED RESIDENTIAL OCCUPANCY INSPECTION.***MOVE-IN READY**Several Updates: Eat-in kitchen with newer stainless appliances & newer vinyl plank floor. Plenty of cabinet space & pantry. Bathroom with newly glazed tub, white vanity, new mirror. Updated 100 amp service electrical panel. Newer white vinyl windows, hardwood floors, neutral paint, newer light fixtures & new miniblinds thru-out. Very clean, full unfinished basement with washer/dryer hookups. Newer sewer stack & cast iron main line under basement floor has been replaced. Level fenced back yard. Seller used as a rental during ownership. Last tenant just moved out & was paying $850 in rent! Wireless ADT security system. LOCATION!!LOCATION!!LOCATION!! Close to highways,shopping,restaurants,MORE! Owner/Broker.

20. 2015-05-07
    soldstatus $13,000
21. 2009-05-14
    soldstatus $16,000
22. 2009-05-14
    soldstatus $25,000
23. 2003-05-27
    soldstatus $56,200
24. 2000-09-06
    soldstatus $49,000
25. 1998-05-13
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $905 · $75/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $905 · $75/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,315
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,145
• − Property taxes: −$905
• − Insurance: −$370
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,225
• − Management: −$1,225
• − Depreciation: −$2,153
• Taxable income: $5,291
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,270
• After-tax cash flow: $4,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Riverview Gardens
• NCES district ID: 2926670
• Math proficiency: 2% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 9% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $32,759
• Composite: 4.22/100
• National rank: #10058
• State rank: #324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Castle Point

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #313
• US rank: #14373

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Castle Point, MO
• County: Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 40,929
• Household income: $41,154
• Rent vs Own: 53.1% rent · 46.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,025,227 people
• By 2030: 1,028,023 · +0.3%
• By 2040: 1,020,940 · -0.4%
• By 2050: 1,007,280 · -1.8%
• By 2075: 987,277 · -3.7%
• By 2100: 921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.79%
• Current HPI: 420.28
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.97%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+722.2% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-24 Listed $74,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $34,550 Public Records
• 2020-03-19 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-02-15 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-02-13 Listed $34,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
• 2009-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
• 2009-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
• 2003-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $56,200 Public Records
• 2000-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
• 1998-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2022): $905 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.