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1320 Riverside Dr
D- Composite 35.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0

$149,000

1320 Riverside Dr · Prestonsburg, KY 41653
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Other public records · 163 Days on market
Built 1960 0.50 ac lot ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Super excited to announce this gem! A completely remodeled 3 bed, 2 bath home, move-in ready! Enjoy a polished interior, with all new flooring and paint. A beautiful gas Fireplace in the Livingroom for cozy nights at home. An attached 1-car garage, and an absolutely great location right in town. Modern finishes, open layout, and move-in ease—everything you want, all in one perfect package. Don't miss this turnkey beauty!

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • New flooring
  • New paint

Tags

REMODELED HOMENEW FLOORINGNEW PAINTGAS FIREPLACEATTACHED GARAGEMODERN FINISHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: Re/Max Freedom; Listing agent: Mary Wright (606-506-4179)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Concrete parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Half-acre lot (0.5 acre); Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate, tile, and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-132 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (15.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (35.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Prestonsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#327 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Floyd County (rural): math 13% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #157 of 165 in KY (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Prestonsburg Elementary School (math 4% / reading 18%, grade F, #645 of 676 statewide, top 96%, 649 students, 80% FRL); Prestonsburg High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #179 of 254 statewide, top 78%, 492 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Floyd County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,449 (35.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.79%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,548
Equity at exit
$51,011
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$12,217
Equity at exit
$67,902

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41653

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$964 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $605/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$-132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,131
Max offer price $125,695
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $149,000 Pending 163 DOM
  2. 2026-05-14
    price $149,000
  3. 2026-05-01
    price $155,000
  4. 2026-04-09
    price $164,000
  5. 2026-03-28
    price $167,000
  6. 2026-02-26
    price $169,000
  7. 2026-01-31
    price $172,000
  8. 2026-01-06
    price $175,000
  9. 2025-12-18
    listed $182,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$605 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,281 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$676/yr (+$56/mo · 111.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,574
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$605
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$926
− Management
−$926
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$4,309
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,034
After-tax cash flow
$-549/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Floyd County
NCES district ID
2101950
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$29,638
Composite
17.97/100
National rank
#8988
State rank
#157 of 165 in KY

Livability — Prestonsburg

Score
63/100
State rank
#327
US rank
#15655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prestonsburg, KY
Population (ZIP)
11,048

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,016 people
By 2030
30,683 · -7.1%
By 2040
25,378 · -23.1%
By 2050
21,013 · -36.4%
By 2075
14,361 · -56.5%
By 2100
10,464 · -68.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.2) · D 19.6% · R 78.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-57.9pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -59.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.2 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+48.3 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.02%
Current HPI
190.4943
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $149,000 EKAR
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $155,000 EKAR
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $164,000 EKAR
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $167,000 EKAR
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $169,000 EKAR
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $172,000 EKAR
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $175,000 EKAR
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $182,000 EKAR

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $605 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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