1320 Mendez St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$242,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Home needs repair, excellent location, elevation to flood line.
Key facts
- Built 1965
- Listed 40 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1965
- Construction: Original construction completed in 1965
- Exterior features: Located in the Filmore subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $242k).
- Recommended offer: $235k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,846/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.52%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $478,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1349 Prentiss Ave | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,115 (+1%) | 3mo | $475,000 | $225 | 82 |
| 5924 St Bernard Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 2,224 (+6%) | 1mo | $280,600 | $126 | 78 |
| 1448 Aviators St | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 2,207 (+5%) | 1mo | $537,500 | $244 | 70 |
| 4737 Bancroft Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 2,160 (+3%) | 1mo | $223,500 | $103 | 64 |
| 5025 Saint Bernard Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 2,302 (+10%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $159 | 62 |
| 6027 Pratt Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 2,056 (-2%) | 1mo | $511,500 | $249 | 62 |
| 1608 Lisbon St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,019 (-4%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $228 | 59 |
| 1537 Prentiss Ave | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,311 (+10%) | 2mo | $582,000 | $252 | 58 |
| 1373 Madrid St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,356 (+12%) | 2mo | $565,000 | $240 | 55 |
| 1758 Burbank Dr | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,185 (+4%) | 1mo | $548,000 | $251 | 54 |
| 5835 Chamberlain Drive Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,793 (-14%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $178 | 49 |
| 5122 Pratt Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,798 (-14%) | 2mo | $286,800 | $160 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-10,328
- Equity at exit
- $36,158
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $6,912
- Equity at exit
- $20,967
Cash invested: $67,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70122
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,272
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$101
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $585
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $722 | -5% $654 | +0% $585 | +5% $517 | +10% $448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $360 | -5% $473 | +0% $585 | +5% $698 | +10% $810 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $707 | -0.5pp $647 | base $585 | +0.5pp $522 | +1.0pp $458 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,625
- Closing costs
- $7,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5532 Saint Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2907 | $5,000 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5024 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2116 | $3,000 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5900 Chatham Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4727 Saint Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5716 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4815 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1903 Rosary Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd Unit 1940 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6079 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6838 Orleans Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6010 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2010 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6946 Orleans Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,150 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6817 General Haig St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2281 | $3,200 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6749 General Haig St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2650 | $2,600 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6217 Curie St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,500 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 958 Allen Toussaint Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,600 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 808 Allen Toussaint Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $2,550 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6431 Marshal Foch St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $242,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $242,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $242,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $242,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $242,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $242,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $242,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $242,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $242,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $242,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $242,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $242,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $242,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $242,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $242,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$242,500 Active 63-char remark
-
2024-12-26$289,000 Active
-
2024-03-07price $289,000
-
2023-09-22$289,000
-
2021-05-26soldstatus $227,000
-
2014-05-07soldstatus $130,000
-
2014-05-02soldstatus $130,000
-
2014-03-20$149,900
-
2014-03-20$149,900
-
1994-09-23soldstatus $131,500
-
1994-09-23soldstatus $131,500
-
1994-04-22$139,000
-
1994-04-22$139,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,584
- − Property taxes
- −$2,687
- − Insurance
- −$2,010
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,732
- − Management
- −$2,732
- − Depreciation
- −$7,055
- Taxable income
- $3,352
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$805
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,253
- Household income
- $49,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2150.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.37%
- Current HPI
- 231.9921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+74.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $242,500 FSBO.com
- 2024-12-26 Listed $289,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-03-07 Price Changed $289,000 GSREIN
- 2023-09-22 Listed $289,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $227,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-02 Sold (MLS) $130,000 GSREIN
- 2014-03-20 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-03-20 Listed $149,900 GSREIN
- 1994-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $131,500 Public Records
- 1994-09-23 Sold (MLS) $131,500 GSREIN
- 1994-04-22 Listed $139,000 GSREIN
- 1994-04-22 Listed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,687 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…