406 Center St · Bryan, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice big 2 story home with fresh paint throughout the entire home, BRAND NEW ROOF, a lot of the rooms have BRAND NEW CARPET. This house is move in ready and waiting for you! Room sizes are large. 1 car attached garage has large area for workbench. Close to the school.
Key facts
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.1% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in OH, #2,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Bryan City (town): math 60% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #266 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $97k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.91%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,357
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826 Parkview Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,698 (-1%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $130 | 70 |
| 401 Avenue A | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,676 (-3%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $113 | 65 |
| 726 Crestview Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,750 (+2%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $131 | 62 |
| 1104 Fairlawn Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,809 (+5%) | 10mo | $248,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 723 W High St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,526 (-11%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $131 | 55 |
| 215 E Bryan St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,680 (-2%) | 11mo | $100,900 | $60 | 55 |
| 134 N Vine St | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 1,874 (+9%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $112 | 52 |
| 311 W South St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,485 (-14%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $118 | 48 |
| 106 N Cherry St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,583 (-8%) | 8mo | $53,000 | $33 | 47 |
| 917 Wesley Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 1,928 (+12%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $117 | 39 |
| 335 N Cherry St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,510 (-12%) | 11mo | $125,500 | $83 | 36 |
| 209 John St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,528 (-11%) | 9mo | $163,500 | $107 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $7,249
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $35,978
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43506
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-26$97,000
-
2026-05-10price $64,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Nice big 2 story home with fresh paint throughout the entire home, BRAND NEW ROOF, a lot of the rooms have BRAND NEW CARPET. This house is move in ready and waiting for you! Room sizes are large. 1 car attached garage has large area for workbench. Close to the school.
-
2025-10-14price $70,000 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
More than meets the eye - take a look inside - desirable floor plan. 1st floor laundry, walk-in closets, some fresh paint, some newer windows. Furnace new in 1997 and ready for A/C. Newer electrical box and service. Enclosed front porch, pleasant back yard, convenient location.
-
2025-10-13price $58,000
-
2025-10-09price $79,000
-
2015-08-22soldstatus $64,500 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Nice big 2 story home with fresh paint throughout the entire home, BRAND NEW ROOF, a lot of the rooms have BRAND NEW CARPET. This house is move in ready and waiting for you! Room sizes are large. 1 car attached garage has large area for workbench. Close to the school.
-
2015-08-20soldstatus $64,500
-
2015-08-12price $64,500 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Nice big 2 story home with fresh paint throughout the entire home, BRAND NEW ROOF, a lot of the rooms have BRAND NEW CARPET. This house is move in ready and waiting for you! Room sizes are large. 1 car attached garage has large area for workbench. Close to the school.
-
2014-10-24$64,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Nice big 2 story home with fresh paint throughout the entire home, BRAND NEW ROOF, a lot of the rooms have BRAND NEW CARPET. This house is move in ready and waiting for you! Room sizes are large. 1 car attached garage has large area for workbench. Close to the school.
-
2007-01-09soldstatus $79,000
-
2006-10-30$79,900
-
2005-01-25soldstatus $58,000
-
2004-08-23$61,950
-
2002-05-20soldstatus $70,000 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
More than meets the eye - take a look inside - desirable floor plan. 1st floor laundry, walk-in closets, some fresh paint, some newer windows. Furnace new in 1997 and ready for A/C. Newer electrical box and service. Enclosed front porch, pleasant back yard, convenient location.
-
2001-06-21$75,900 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
More than meets the eye - take a look inside - desirable floor plan. 1st floor laundry, walk-in closets, some fresh paint, some newer windows. Furnace new in 1997 and ready for A/C. Newer electrical box and service. Enclosed front porch, pleasant back yard, convenient location.
-
1993-12-21soldstatus $56,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,718
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $2,969
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$713
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan City
- NCES district ID
- 3904367
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,709
- Composite
- 52.34/100
- National rank
- #1587
- State rank
- #266 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, OH
- County
- Williams · 37,585 people
- City population
- 14,691
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,691
- Household income
- $60,705
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,125 people
- By 2030
- 35,264 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 33,264 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 31,072 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 26,553 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 21,318 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.4% · R 73.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.45%
- Current HPI
- 211.2824
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+71.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $97,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $64,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $70,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $58,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $79,000 NORIS
- 2015-08-22 Sold (MLS) $64,500 NORIS
- 2015-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 2015-08-12 Price Changed $64,500 NORIS
- 2014-10-24 Listed $64,000 NORIS
- 2007-01-09 Sold (MLS) $79,000 NORIS
- 2006-10-30 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 2005-01-25 Sold (MLS) $58,000 NORIS
- 2004-08-23 Listed $61,950 NORIS
- 2002-05-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NORIS
- 2001-06-21 Listed $75,900 NORIS
- 1993-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,718 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…