17 Hoon St · Carroll, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3 Bedroom w/ Lots of Updates! New Metal Roof & A/C March 2026, Furnace appx 3 yrs, Hot Water Tank appx 5 yrs. Newer Life Proof Flooring on Main Floor & Newer Carpeting upstairs in Bedroom. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertop space in Eat-in Kitchen! Updated Bathrooms, Freshly Painted & Some New Windows. Lot of Cabinets in Eat-in Kitchen plus Separate Formal Dining Room. Convenient 1st Floor Laundry and Powder Room. Nice Side & Back Yard. Covered Front Porch w/ additional Patio area perfect for BBQs! Big Basement w/ Multiple Rooms, great for extra storage space! Absolute Move-in Condition!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New metal roof
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Public transportation nearby; Lot dimensions approx. 55x48x54x34
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 12x10); Stove; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two upper-level bedrooms (approx. 11x10 and 11x11); Additional upper-level room (approx. 13x9)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Interior entry basement; Bonus room in the basement; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 9x5); Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($577/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ringgold SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #452 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $120k implies a 627% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.70%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,510
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Hoon St | 0.01mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,020 (-4%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $142 | 83 |
| 1930 Route 2023 | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,004 (-6%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $159 | 55 |
| 92 3rd Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,148 (+8%) | 0mo | $131,500 | $115 | 52 |
| 911 4th St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 978 (-8%) | 4mo | $67,000 | $69 | 46 |
| 201 4th Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-4%) | 17mo | $50,000 | $49 | 44 |
| 629 Shelby St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (+12%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $105 | 44 |
| 106 1st Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 903 (-15%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $42 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-16,381
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-10,313
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15063
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $852/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 610-char remark
-
2026-06-13$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,374 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$522/yr (+$43/mo · 61.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$852
- − Insurance
- −$1,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,436
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$345
- After-tax cash flow
- $922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ringgold SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220400
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,754
- Composite
- 23.75/100
- National rank
- #7819
- State rank
- #452 of 539 in PA
Livability — Carroll
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,479
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.31%
- Current HPI
- 261.0334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+627.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $120,000 West Penn MLS
- 1998-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $852 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…