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276 Halifax Ln
D- Composite 39.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

276 Halifax Ln · Chelsea, AL 35043
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,774 sqft · SingleFamily · 72 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 6,969 sqft lot Est $334k · at est. $38/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ask about our interest rates, paid closing cost and easily added options. The one-level Cali plan provides an efficient, four-bedroom, two-bath design in 1,774 square feet. One of the unique features is the integration of the kitchen, breakfast area and great room in an open concept design perfect for entertaining. Enjoy early morning coffee or quiet evenings under the shaded covered patio. The bedroom on-suite is your private getaway with a shower, double vanity and large walk-in closet. A two-car garage, laundry room and pantry provide utility and storage. Quality materials and workmanship throughout, with superior attention to detail, plus a one-year builders' warranty. Your new home als

Key facts

  • Private getaway
  • Shaded covered patio
  • Open concept design

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT DESIGNSHADED COVERED PATIOPRIVATE GETAWAYLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETSMART HOME TECHNOLOGY PACKAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Energy-efficient features including double-paned windows, insulated door, LED lighting, programmable thermostat, ridge vent, SEER 15+ AC, solar board, and radiant barrier decking
  • Financial info: Down payment assistance available
  • HOA & community: HOA with annual fee ($450/year); HOA fees cover common grounds maintenance, management fee, and utilities for common areas

Exterior

  • Parking: Front garage entry; Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Driveway parking; Parking on main level
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Gas tankless water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: New construction (new complete); Siding finished in Hardiplank; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Hardiplank siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Community in-ground pool with cleaning system and perimeter fencing; Garden/patio area; No patio or decks listed; Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stone countertops; Eating area with island and pantry; Dishwasher (built-in), built-in microwave, gas stove; Some stainless appliances
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main level; Walk-in closets; Bedroom layout includes a master bedroom and multiple secondary bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Features include separate shower, tub/shower combo, shared bath, and linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating with gas heat; Central electric cooling with zoned controls
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.1% in Chelsea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#52 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Oaks Elementary School (math 44% / reading 63%, grade C, #99 of 627 statewide, top 16%, 683 students, 27% FRL); Chelsea High School (math 43% / reading 42%, grade F, #27 of 305 statewide, top 9%, 1,400 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $277,401 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.64%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$333,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
271 Halifax Ln 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,774 (0%) 3mo $332,400 $187 96
284 Halifax Ln 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,774 (0%) 4mo $338,965 $191 96
296 Halifax Ln 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,774 (0%) 1mo $344,900 $194 88
509 Foggy Brook Loop 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,734 (-2%) 2mo $334,900 $193 87
500 Foggy Brook Loop 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,734 (-2%) 4mo $325,900 $188 85
311 Halifax Ln 0.03mi 4/2.5 1,885 (+6%) 2mo $339,900 $180 84
505 Foggy Brook Loop 0.06mi 4/3.0 1,941 (+9%) 2mo $359,900 $185 76
280 Halifax Ln 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,028 (+14%) 3mo $345,000 $170 74
501 Foggy Brook Loop 0.06mi 4/2.0 2,025 (+14%) 3mo $358,900 $177 71
288 Halifax Ln 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,618 (-9%) 1mo $329,900 $204 70
295 Halifax Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,618 (-9%) 1mo $328,900 $203 68
292 Halifax Ln 0.23mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,012 (+13%) 2mo $366,400 $182 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-61,443
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-63,605
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35043

Home prices YoY
-15.6%
Active inventory
287
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,774 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax est. 1.5%
$412 /mo · $4,948/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$583
Net cashflow
$-126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,934
Max offer price $311,610
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
283 Halifax Ln Chelsea, AL 4.0 2.0 2250 $2,950 $1.31 44d 1 0.19mi
24 Autry Dr Chelsea, AL 4.0 2.0 1856 $1,770 $0.95 2d 1 1.34mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    price $358,350
  2. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  3. 2025-12-08
    status Pending
  4. 2025-11-11
    price $329,900
  5. 2025-10-01
    listed $342,400 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,288
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$4,948
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,663
− Management
−$2,663
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$7,169
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,720
After-tax cash flow
$204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The home has a good resale and rental value with high-ROI updates such as painting, window treatments, smart home devices, outdoor lighting, and kitchen appliances.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace window treatments — Modern window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase home value and appeal to buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace window treatments — Modern window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase home value and appeal to buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelby County
NCES district ID
0103030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$66,672
Composite
39.29/100
National rank
#3995
State rank
#16 of 129 in AL

Livability — Chelsea

Score
69/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#8363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chelsea, AL
City population
15,068
Population (ZIP)
15,068

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,024 people
By 2030
249,868 · +5.4%
By 2040
272,778 · +15.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +22.8%
By 2075
326,049 · +37.6%
By 2100
335,870 · +41.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.08%
Current HPI
205.463
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $358,350 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-12-08 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $329,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $342,400 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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