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Avas Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$159,999

Avas Plan · San Antonio, TX 78264
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily · 496 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • Secondary bedrooms

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSECONDARY BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $159,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $177,184.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-132 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 329 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 496 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $138,229 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 496 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$177,184
List price
$159,999
Delta
-9.70%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2706 Jasper Stone 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,380 (0%) 1mo $141,999 $103 89
20626 Andalusite Way 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,360 (-1%) 0mo $146,999 $108 88
2721 Morganite Ring 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+2%) 1mo $181,999 $130 86
2717 Morganite Ring 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,411 (+2%) 1mo $177,999 $126 85
2722 Jasper Stone 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+9%) 0mo $150,999 $101 70
2702 Jasper Stone 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+9%) 2mo $166,999 $111 69
20606 Andalusite Way 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,189 (-14%) 1mo $135,999 $114 68
20572 Andalusite Way 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,535 (+11%) 1mo $159,999 $104 68
20503 Andalusite Way 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,189 (-14%) 1mo $137,999 $116 68
20536 Andalusite Way 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,535 (+11%) 1mo $159,999 $104 68
20511 Andalusite Way 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,189 (-14%) 1mo $137,999 $116 67
20642 Andalusite Way 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,189 (-14%) 1mo $157,999 $133 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$21,949
Equity at exit
$89,267
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$79,309
Equity at exit
$145,552

Cash invested: $49,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78264

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,382 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$929
Tax est. 1.5%
$221 /mo · $2,658/yr
Insurance
$74
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$-132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,550
Max offer price $158,015
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,296
Closing costs
$5,316
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2906 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,550 $1.14 43d 1 0.04mi
3008 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,195 $1.01 2d 1 0.04mi
20447 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,320 $1.07 24d 1 0.05mi
20356 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.5 1013 $1,199 $1.18 17d 1 0.06mi
20448 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1129 $1,500 $1.33 24d 1 0.08mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,400 $1.16 16d 1 0.11mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,350 $1.12 43d 1 0.11mi
20618 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,450 $1.23 4d 1 0.12mi
20622 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1535 $1,550 $1.01 43d 1 0.12mi
20642 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,450 $1.22 22d 1 0.13mi
20511 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,450 $1.22 17d 1 0.14mi
2807 Ruby Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,400 $1.10 24d 1 0.15mi
20335 Campbellton Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,450 $1.04 43d 1 0.49mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 2d 1 0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $995 $0.82 2d 1 0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $995 $0.82 24d 1 0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 24d 1 0.52mi
20823 Pinon Grv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,650 $1.18 43d 1 1.02mi
19230 FM 1937 #4 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1316 $1,450 $1.10 24d 1 1.12mi
20414 Deets Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1858 $1,750 $0.94 3d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,999 Active 496 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $159,999 Active 495 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $162,999 Active 494 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,999 Active 493 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,999 Active 491 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,999 Active 490 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,999 Active 487 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,999 Active 486 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,999 Active 485 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $162,999 Active 482 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $163,999 Active 481 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $163,999 Active 480 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $163,999 Active 479 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $163,999 Active 478 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $163,999 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  16. 2026-05-09
    price $166,999 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  17. 2026-05-06
    price $167,999 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  18. 2026-04-09
    price $170,999 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  19. 2026-03-24
    price $185,999 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  20. 2026-02-13
    price $190,999 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  21. 2025-02-08
    listed $202,999 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,587
− Mortgage interest
−$9,925
− Property taxes
−$2,658
− Insurance
−$886
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,327
− Management
−$1,327
− Depreciation
−$5,154
Taxable loss
−$4,690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,126
After-tax cash flow
$-464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It offers a spacious open floorplan and a private owner's suite. The property is ready for immediate occupancy and would benefit from minor aesthetic updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southside ISD
NCES district ID
4840920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,526
Composite
17.68/100
National rank
#9027
State rank
#771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
11,702

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 35% White 17% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Greek 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 51% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.94%
Current HPI
298.8446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $163,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $166,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $167,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $170,999 Zillow
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $185,999 Zillow
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $190,999 Zillow
  • 2025-02-08 Listed $202,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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