3912 Juniper St · Moss Point, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.
Key facts
- Two kitchens
- Private den
- New cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces; Gravel and paved parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick, brick veneer, and HardiPlank-type siding; Brick/mortar and slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Back yard chain link fence; Open lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric range; Convection oven; Electric range; Free-standing electric range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; ENERGY STAR qualified dishwasher; Free-standing refrigerator; ENERGY STAR qualified refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; In-law floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Soaking tub; Storage; Low-flow plumbing fixtures; ENERGY STAR qualified windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Washer/Dryer (in kitchen/inside)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.14%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,200
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5736 Eastwood Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,464 (-14%) | 4mo | $146,900 | $100 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $53,890
- Equity at exit
- $103,054
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $152,374
- Equity at exit
- $174,197
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39563
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,719 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $669/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-07price $189,900
-
2026-03-25$195,000 Active
-
2022-05-09soldstatus
-
2022-05-06soldstatus Closed 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.
-
2022-03-28status Pending 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.
-
2022-03-24status Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.
-
2022-03-10status Pending 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.
-
2022-03-06$95,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.
-
2022-01-26status Active
-
2022-01-13status Pending
-
2021-10-11$95,000 Active
-
2021-10-06historical
-
2021-03-07$95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $669 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$831/yr (+$69/mo · 124.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,633
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$669
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,651
- − Management
- −$1,651
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$449
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moss Point Separate School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803000
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,041
- Composite
- 16.34/100
- National rank
- #9205
- State rank
- #94 of 130 in MS
Livability — Moss Point
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #10398
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moss Point, MS
- City population
- 12,023
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,023
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Current HPI
- 155.3138
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+99.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $189,900 MLSU
- 2026-03-25 Listed $195,000 MLSU
- 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-03-28 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-03-24 Relisted — MLSU
- 2022-03-10 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-03-06 Listed $95,000 MLSU
- 2022-01-26 Relisted — MLSU
- 2022-01-13 Pending — MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listed $95,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-06 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-03-07 Listed $95,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $669 · -46.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…