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3912 Juniper St
C- Composite 50.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$189,900

3912 Juniper St · Moss Point, MS 39563
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,712 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1966 10,454 sqft lot Est $171k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.

Key facts

  • Two kitchens
  • Private den
  • New cabinetry

Tags

TWO KITCHENSDUAL LIVING SPACESPRIVATE DENTWO ENTRY DOORSUPDATED KITCHENSNEW CABINETRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces; Gravel and paved parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Brick, brick veneer, and HardiPlank-type siding; Brick/mortar and slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Back yard chain link fence; Open lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric range; Convection oven; Electric range; Free-standing electric range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; ENERGY STAR qualified dishwasher; Free-standing refrigerator; ENERGY STAR qualified refrigerator
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; In-law floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Soaking tub; Storage; Low-flow plumbing fixtures; ENERGY STAR qualified windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Washer/Dryer (in kitchen/inside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,938 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.14%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,200
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5736 Eastwood Dr 0.23mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,464 (-14%) 4mo $146,900 $100 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$53,890
Equity at exit
$103,054
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$152,374
Equity at exit
$174,197

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39563

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,719 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $669/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    price $189,900
  3. 2026-03-25
    listed $195,000 Active
  4. 2022-05-09
    soldstatus
  5. 2022-05-06
    soldstatus Closed 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.

  6. 2022-03-28
    status Pending 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.

  7. 2022-03-24
    status Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.

  8. 2022-03-10
    status Pending 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.

  9. 2022-03-06
    listed $95,000 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    NO FAULT ON THE SELLER** FELL THROUGH DUE TO BUYER FINANCING**This is a spacious home and waiting for you to come in and make it your own with all new white paint through out. very large fenced yard and 4 bedroom 2 1/2 baths. covered parking is a plus. come see the possibilities this home has to offer for a growing family. 2000 sq. ft for under 100k. would also make an excellent investment property as well.

  10. 2022-01-26
    status Active
  11. 2022-01-13
    status Pending
  12. 2021-10-11
    listed $95,000 Active
  13. 2021-10-06
    historical
  14. 2021-03-07
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$669 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,500 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$831/yr (+$69/mo · 124.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,633
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$669
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,651
− Management
−$1,651
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$449
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$108
After-tax cash flow
$2,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moss Point Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803000
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,041
Composite
16.34/100
National rank
#9205
State rank
#94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Point, MS
City population
12,023
Population (ZIP)
12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.60%
Current HPI
155.3138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+99.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $189,900 MLSU
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $195,000 MLSU
  • 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2022-03-28 Pending MLSU
  • 2022-03-24 Relisted MLSU
  • 2022-03-10 Pending MLSU
  • 2022-03-06 Listed $95,000 MLSU
  • 2022-01-26 Relisted MLSU
  • 2022-01-13 Pending MLSU
  • 2021-10-11 Listed $95,000 MLSU
  • 2021-10-06 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-03-07 Listed $95,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $669 · -46.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…