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1238 S Judson St
C Composite 57.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1238 S Judson St · Fort Scott, KS 66701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,051 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1928 0.28 ac lot Est $111k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Some electrical and plumbing updates have been made. Newer metal roof. Some plaster wall coverings have been removed for you. Hardwood floors appear to be in good condition. Utility style basement. 2 BR home in established neighborhood with mature shade trees. Bring your own DIY skills and revitalize this craftsman bungalow.

Key facts

  • Updated systems
  • Front porch
  • Modern finishes

Tags

FRONT PORCHOPEN INTERIOR SPACESCOSMETIC UPDATESUPDATED SYSTEMSMODERN FINISHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a flood plain
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Fiber available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Bungalow floor plan; One story; Estimated age: 76–100 years
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Paved road access; Lot roughly 100 x 120 (12,000 sq ft)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Formal dining area; Porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (2.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (2.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Fort Scott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#259 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Scott (town): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 169 in KS (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Bourbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bourbon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $100k implies a 512% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,642 (2.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.35%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$111,406
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
915 S National St 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,180 (+12%) 12mo $135,000 $114 56
715 Burke Street Burke St 0.67mi 2/1.5 1,040 (-1%) 12mo $120,000 $115 55
820 S Margrave St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,060 (+1%) 8mo $149,900 $141 55
410 W 8th St 0.47mi 2/1.0 912 (-13%) 4mo $25,000 $27 53
715 E National Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 944 (-10%) 2mo $99,900 $106 53
841 S Scott St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-13%) 5mo $45,000 $49 50
1315 S Little St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+4%) 6mo $105,000 $96 50
750 S Holbrook St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-12%) 11mo $97,500 $106 42
713 Osbun St 0.64mi 2/2.0 956 (-9%) 12mo $115,000 $120 41
718 S Burke St 0.69mi 2/1.0 924 (-12%) 10mo $87,500 $95 40
1907 S Horton St 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,180 (+12%) 11mo $124,500 $106 39
624 E 10th St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,199 (+14%) 11mo $125,000 $104 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-5,317
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$9,255
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66701

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$976 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $414/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    status $99,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  6. 2026-05-13
    listed $99,900 Active
  7. 2025-12-04
    soldstatus Closed 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Some electrical and plumbing updates have been made. Newer metal roof. Some plaster wall coverings have been removed for you. Hardwood floors appear to be in good condition. Utility style basement. 2 BR home in established neighborhood with mature shade trees. Bring your own DIY skills and revitalize this craftsman bungalow.

  8. 2025-12-04
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Some electrical and plumbing updates have been made. Newer metal roof. Some plaster wall coverings have been removed for you. Hardwood floors appear to be in good condition. Utility style basement. 2 BR home in established neighborhood with mature shade trees. Bring your own DIY skills and revitalize this craftsman bungalow.

  9. 2025-08-05
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Some electrical and plumbing updates have been made. Newer metal roof. Some plaster wall coverings have been removed for you. Hardwood floors appear to be in good condition. Utility style basement. 2 BR home in established neighborhood with mature shade trees. Bring your own DIY skills and revitalize this craftsman bungalow.

  10. 2025-07-07
    price $35,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Some electrical and plumbing updates have been made. Newer metal roof. Some plaster wall coverings have been removed for you. Hardwood floors appear to be in good condition. Utility style basement. 2 BR home in established neighborhood with mature shade trees. Bring your own DIY skills and revitalize this craftsman bungalow.

  11. 2025-06-17
    listed $39,000 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Some electrical and plumbing updates have been made. Newer metal roof. Some plaster wall coverings have been removed for you. Hardwood floors appear to be in good condition. Utility style basement. 2 BR home in established neighborhood with mature shade trees. Bring your own DIY skills and revitalize this craftsman bungalow.

  12. 2021-08-12
    soldstatus
  13. 2021-08-11
    soldstatus Closed 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Bungalow on Judson Street close to Winfield Scott Elementary School and the Fort Scott High School. This home is ready to be renovated to fit the needs of the new owner. Home features jack-and-jill style bathroom, hardwood floors, arched doorways, front porch and is situated on two lots.

  14. 2021-07-19
    status Pending 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Bungalow on Judson Street close to Winfield Scott Elementary School and the Fort Scott High School. This home is ready to be renovated to fit the needs of the new owner. Home features jack-and-jill style bathroom, hardwood floors, arched doorways, front porch and is situated on two lots.

  15. 2021-07-05
    listed $20,000 Active 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Bungalow on Judson Street close to Winfield Scott Elementary School and the Fort Scott High School. This home is ready to be renovated to fit the needs of the new owner. Home features jack-and-jill style bathroom, hardwood floors, arched doorways, front porch and is situated on two lots.

  16. 2012-12-04
    soldstatus
  17. 2004-12-01
    soldstatus $16,323
  18. 1994-01-01
    soldstatus $28,000
  19. 1992-01-01
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$414 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,409 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$994/yr (+$83/mo · 239.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,717
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$414
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$937
− Management
−$937
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$102
After-tax cash flow
$1,954/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Scott
NCES district ID
2006180
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,034
Composite
19.64/100
National rank
#8741
State rank
#150 of 169 in KS

Livability — Fort Scott

Score
66/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#11422

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Scott, KS
Population (ZIP)
11,075

Population outlook (Bourbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,761 people
By 2030
13,139 · -4.5%
By 2040
11,920 · -13.4%
By 2050
10,892 · -20.8%
By 2075
8,645 · -37.2%
By 2100
6,751 · -50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bourbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.0% · R 76.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -54.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.2 2020: R+52.0 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.03%
Current HPI
172.2531
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+263.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $99,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-12-04 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-05 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $35,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-17 Listed $39,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-11 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-19 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-05 Listed $20,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,323 Public Records
  • 1994-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1992-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $414 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…