80-870 SE Hwy 111 Hwy #151 · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.3
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Riverdale Estates, a quiet and well-maintained 55+ senior community nestled in the heart of Indio along Highway 111. This charming single-wide mobile home offers comfortable and affordable desert living with spacious interiors, plenty of natural light, and a cozy layout perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy mountain views, wide streets, and access to community amenities like a clubhouse, pool, and resident events. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and medical facilities, Riverdale Estates is ideal for those looking for peace, community, and convenience. This home is part of a caring neighborhood supported by a local nonprofit organization (NGO), promoting resident well-being and community involvement.
Key facts
- Mobile home
- Clubhouse
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 4.1% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: James Madison Elementary (377 students, 85% FRL); Indio Middle (784 students, 89% FRL); Indio High (math 15% / reading 42%, grade F, #774 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 2,143 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 56% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desert Sands Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 59d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 88.84%
- DSCR
- 4.95
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,900
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -46.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80870 California 111 #147 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 840 (0%) | 4mo | $74,900 | $89 | 82 |
| 80870 CA-111 #30 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+24%) | 3mo | $69,997 | $67 | 59 |
| 48255 Monroe St #43 | 1.40mi | 1/1.5 | 857 (+2%) | 6mo | $242,000 | $282 | 55 |
| 47800 Madison | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 900 (+7%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $389 | 51 |
| 80000 Ave 48 #291 | 0.90mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 840 (0%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $155 | 50 |
| 47800 Madison St #79 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $341 | 37 |
| 48255 Monroe St #15 | 1.40mi | 1/1.0 | 669 (-20%) | 6mo | $169,000 | $253 | 35 |
| 47395 Monroe St #259 | 1.10mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 942 (+12%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $260 | 31 |
| 47340 Jefferson St #215 | 0.90mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 658 (-22%) | 6mo | $69,000 | $105 | 30 |
| 48255 Monroe St #59 | 1.40mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 998 (+19%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $245 | 28 |
| 48255 Monroe #9 | 1.40mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 998 (+19%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $240 | 25 |
| 48255 Monroe St #8 | 1.40mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 998 (+19%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $276 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.18×
- Total profit
- $46,828
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 92.9%
- Equity multiple
- 10.90×
- Total profit
- $110,847
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active
- Months of supply
- 10.0 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $35,000 ($45/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 130 d
- This list price
- 60% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +99.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92201
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 601
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $829
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $857 | -5% $843 | +0% $829 | +5% $815 | +10% $801 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $719 | -5% $774 | +0% $829 | +5% $884 | +10% $940 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $849 | -0.5pp $839 | base $829 | +0.5pp $819 | +1.0pp $808 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46725 Clinton St Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 610 | $1,300 | $2.13 | 54d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 46675 Desert Villa St Indio, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 881 | $1,590 | $1.80 | 93d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 47800 Madison St #37 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 46896 Jefferson St Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,875 | $1.97 | 2d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 47395 Monroe St Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,225 | $2.16 | 2d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 47395 Monroe St #286 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $2,300 | $2.25 | 73d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 46745 Monroe St Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 2d | 14 | 1.09mi |
| 45546 Aladdin St Unit D201 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,549 | $1.71 | 93d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 81720 Avenue Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,795 | $1.66 | 93d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 81840 Avenida del Mar Unit A203 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 874 | $1,750 | $2.00 | 73d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 81901 Shadow Palm Ave Unit 92 Indio, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,135 | $1.82 | 93d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 81777 Avenue 48 Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,495 | $1.82 | 2d | 7 | 1.23mi |
| 82165 Doctor Carreon Blvd Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $1,749 | $2.11 | 2d | 11 | 1.27mi |
| 81875 Avenue 48 Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $1,750 | $2.18 | 59d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 81875 Avenue 48 Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,750 | $2.17 | 15d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 81351 Fred Waring Dr Indio, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,595 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 81351 Fred Waring Dr Unit 215 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,595 | $1.69 | 61d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 81351 Fred Waring Dr Apt 218 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,595 | $1.69 | 93d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 48255 Monroe St #20 Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 73d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 48255 Monroe St #2 Indio, CA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 867 | $1,899 | $2.19 | 51d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 48255 Monroe St Indio, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,950 | $2.09 | 93d | 2 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $40,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $40,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $40,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $40,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $40,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $40,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $40,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $40,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $40,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $40,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $40,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $40,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $40,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $40,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $40,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $40,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $40,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $40,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $40,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $40,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $40,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $40,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $40,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $40,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $40,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $40,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $40,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $40,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $40,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $40,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $40,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $40,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $40,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $40,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $40,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $40,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $40,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $40,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $40,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 193 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥114°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,343
- − Management
- −$1,343
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $9,902
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-wide mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the exterior siding, kitchen and bathroom cabinets, and HVAC units.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Severe weathering
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — Dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom cabinets — Dated and worn
- Minor HVAC units — Basic units
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the kitchen and increases appeal ↑
- Both Replace bathroom cabinets — Modernizes the bathroom and increases appeal ↑
- Both Replace HVAC units — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,825
- Household income
- $66,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.46%
- Current HPI
- 348.6605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-27.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $40,000 GPSMLS
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $49,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-11-22 Listed $55,000 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…