CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
14604 SW 169th Ave
B+ Composite 78.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

14604 SW 169th Ave · Indiantown, FL 34956
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,166 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1959 5,000 sqft lot $129/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Vacant residential lot opportunity in growing Indiantown! This spacious parcel offers excellent potential for new construction, investment, or future development. No HOA and plenty of potential in a developing market. Great opportunity for builders, investors, and buyers looking for affordable land in Martin County.

Key facts

  • No hoa
  • Investor opportunity
  • 5,000 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTOR OPPORTUNITYRAPIDLY DEVELOPING AREANO HOA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details listed
  • HOA & community: No HOA information listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Resale property; Faces east
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Composition roof; Built using public records as building area source
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; Unpaved parking area

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: No special interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $855 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 10.9% in Indiantown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#829 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Warfield Elementary School (math 22% / reading 19%, grade F, #2,094 of 2,144 statewide, top 98%, 686 students, 79% FRL); Indiantown Middle School (math 42% / reading 29%, grade F, #414 of 571 statewide, top 73%, 646 students, 75% FRL); South Fork High School (math 36% / reading 48%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,810 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 41% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Martin average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
13.13%
Cash-on-cash
24.42%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$317,749
List price
$150,000
Delta
-52.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$103,633
Equity at exit
$100,538
10-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
7.21×
Total profit
$260,905
Equity at exit
$187,968

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34956

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,764/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$855

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,261
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15817 SW Winter Rd Indiantown, FL 3.0 2.5 1428 $2,300 $1.61 13d 1 1.09mi
15760 SW Hammock Way Indiantown, FL 3.0–4.0 2.0–3.5 1918 $2,420 $1.26 1d 41 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $150,000 Pending 14 DOM
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Vacant residential lot opportunity in growing Indiantown! This spacious parcel offers excellent potential for new construction, investment, or future development. No HOA and plenty of potential in a developing market. Great opportunity for builders, investors, and buyers looking for affordable land in Martin County.

  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Vacant residential lot opportunity in growing Indiantown! This spacious parcel offers excellent potential for new construction, investment, or future development. No HOA and plenty of potential in a developing market. Great opportunity for builders, investors, and buyers looking for affordable land in Martin County.

  3. 2026-05-12
    listed $35,000 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Vacant residential lot opportunity in growing Indiantown! This spacious parcel offers excellent potential for new construction, investment, or future development. No HOA and plenty of potential in a developing market. Great opportunity for builders, investors, and buyers looking for affordable land in Martin County.

  4. 2026-05-12
    listed $150,000 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Vacant residential lot opportunity in growing Indiantown! This spacious parcel offers excellent potential for new construction, investment, or future development. No HOA and plenty of potential in a developing market. Great opportunity for builders, investors, and buyers looking for affordable land in Martin County.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,764 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,764 · $147/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,116
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,764
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,249
− Management
−$2,249
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$8,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,001
After-tax cash flow
$8,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin
NCES district ID
1201290
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,482
Composite
45.1/100
National rank
#2690
State rank
#24 of 73 in FL

Livability — Indiantown

Score
59/100
State rank
#829
US rank
#20298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indiantown, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,639

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
172,383 people
By 2030
180,192 · +4.5%
By 2040
194,114 · +12.6%
By 2050
204,992 · +18.9%
By 2075
229,641 · +33.2%
By 2100
232,146 · +34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 24% White 24% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 42%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.65%
Current HPI
561.896
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+328.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-31 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $35,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,764 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…