15018 Tacoma St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Make an offer. This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick bungalow would make a great addition to your rental portfolio. Rents in the neighborhood are as high as $1,200/month and ARVs in the $110-125K range. Long term tenant in place paying below market rate at $750/mo. Some updating and TLC needed. Subject to probate approval. BATVAI. Two additional properties for sale - 14996 Tacoma and 14772 Tacoma.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1947
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.75%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,333
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- 7.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14788 Rossini Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,099 (+4%) | 1mo | $82,000 | $75 | 82 |
| 14910 Fairmount Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+6%) | 1mo | $15,000 | $13 | 80 |
| 15275 Eastburn St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+4%) | 2mo | $56,000 | $51 | 78 |
| 19953 Regent Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,038 (-2%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $53 | 72 |
| 14076 Rossini Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (-0%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 15644 Carlisle St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (-0%) | 0mo | $129,900 | $123 | 71 |
| 15011 Bringard Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (+14%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $103 | 59 |
| 16209 Tacoma St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-8%) | 1mo | $62,900 | $65 | 53 |
| 16107 Manning St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-13%) | 2mo | $61,000 | $66 | 47 |
| 16277 Liberal St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 945 (-11%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $26 | 46 |
| 16092 Manning St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+13%) | 0mo | $20,000 | $17 | 46 |
| 15260 Faircrest St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 942 (-11%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $37 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $29,602
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $69,602
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $639
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15604 Coram St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 15503 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 14504 Coram St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,266 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 16225 Manning St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 16031 E 7 Mile Rd #5 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 16242 Bringard Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 16446 E State Fair St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1396 | $1,375 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1269 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 11d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12716 Riad St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-01-05$55,000 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Make an offer. This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick bungalow would make a great addition to your rental portfolio. Rents in the neighborhood are as high as $1,200/month and ARVs in the $110-125K range. Long term tenant in place paying below market rate at $750/mo. Some updating and TLC needed. Subject to probate approval. BATVAI. Two additional properties for sale - 14996 Tacoma and 14772 Tacoma.
-
2026-01-05$55,000 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Make an offer. This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick bungalow would make a great addition to your rental portfolio. Rents in the neighborhood are as high as $1,200/month and ARVs in the $110-125K range. Long term tenant in place paying below market rate at $750/mo. Some updating and TLC needed. Subject to probate approval. BATVAI. Two additional properties for sale - 14996 Tacoma and 14772 Tacoma.
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-09-26$55,000 Active
-
2025-09-25$55,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,168 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,168 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,168
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $7,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-05 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-05 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-26 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-25 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,168 · -21.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…