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9982 164th Dr
B Composite 71.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$298,600

9982 164th Dr · New York, NY 11414
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,200 sqft · Land · 258 Days on market
Built 2026 ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

Key facts

  • Hamilton beach park
  • Garage
  • Built 2026

Tags

HAMILTON BEACH PARKATTACHED APPROVED LOTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: 2025 tax year (tax source: other)

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 garage space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; No utilities specified
  • Home design: Duplex; Approximately 3,200 total building area
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (multi-unit property)
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Other heating type
  • Interior features: Basement (full)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath land listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $299k).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 258 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,542/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 985% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $262,768 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.89%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$21,894
Equity at exit
$44,522
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$110,479
Equity at exit
$25,817

Cash invested: $83,608 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11414

Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,542 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,566
Tax est. 1.5%
$373 /mo · $4,479/yr
Insurance
$124
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$954
Net cashflow
$1,098

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,152
Max offer price $298,600
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,650
Closing costs
$8,958
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $298,600 Active 258 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $298,600 Active 257 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $298,600 Active 255 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $298,600 Active 253 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $298,600 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $298,600 Active 248 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $298,600 Active 243 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $298,600 Active 241 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $298,600 Active 240 DOM
  10. 2026-01-20
    price $298,600
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  11. 2026-01-20
    price $298,600 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  12. 2026-01-14
    price $298,700
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  13. 2026-01-14
    price $298,700 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  14. 2026-01-11
    price $298,800
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  15. 2026-01-11
    price $298,800 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  16. 2026-01-05
    price $298,900
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  17. 2026-01-05
    price $298,900 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  18. 2025-12-08
    price $299,000 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  19. 2025-12-08
    price $299,000
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

  20. 2025-10-03
    listed $349,000 Active
  21. 2025-09-26
    listed $349,000 Active 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,507
− Mortgage interest
−$16,726
− Property taxes
−$4,479
− Insurance
−$6,612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,361
− Management
−$4,361
− Depreciation
−$8,687
Taxable income
$9,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,228
After-tax cash flow
$10,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
31,308
Household income
$95,051
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
985.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.02%
Current HPI
206.6334
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $298,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $298,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $298,700 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $298,700 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $298,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $298,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $298,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $298,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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