9982 164th Dr · New York, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,600
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
Key facts
- Hamilton beach park
- Garage
- Built 2026
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: 2025 tax year (tax source: other)
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; No utilities specified
- Home design: Duplex; Approximately 3,200 total building area
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (multi-unit property)
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Other heating type
- Interior features: Basement (full)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath land listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $263k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 258 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,542/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 985% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.89%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $21,894
- Equity at exit
- $44,522
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $110,479
- Equity at exit
- $25,817
Cash invested: $83,608 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11414
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,542 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,566
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$373 /mo · $4,479/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$954
- Net cashflow
- $1,098
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,650
- Closing costs
- $8,958
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $298,600 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $298,600 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $298,600 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $298,600 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $298,600 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $298,600 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $298,600 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $298,600 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $298,600 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-01-20price $298,600
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-20price $298,600 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-14price $298,700
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-14price $298,700 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-11price $298,800
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-11price $298,800 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-05price $298,900
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2026-01-05price $298,900 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2025-12-08price $299,000 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2025-12-08price $299,000
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
-
2025-10-03$349,000 Active
-
2025-09-26$349,000 Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
It took me over 18 months to this Approved to Build A Nice Two Family with both units having two levels, Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms (in each unit) About 3200 Square Feet in total. Will easily sell for over $1.2 Million. House is one block away from Hamilton Beach Park, effectively a private beach and private park. THIS VACANT LOT WITH APPROVED PLANS IS BEING OFFERED WITH TWO CONTIGUOUS APPROVED LOTS, ONE FOR A SINGLE FAMILY AND ONE FOR A TWO FAMILY, Can be sold separately or together
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,726
- − Property taxes
- −$4,479
- − Insurance
- −$6,612
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,361
- − Management
- −$4,361
- − Depreciation
- −$8,687
- Taxable income
- $9,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,308
- Household income
- $95,051
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 985.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.02%
- Current HPI
- 206.6334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-14.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $298,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $298,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $298,700 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $298,700 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $298,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $298,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $298,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $298,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-03 Listed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…