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6458 Piney Woods Rd
D Composite 41.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.7/30.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$452,500

6458 Piney Woods Rd · Snowville, VA 24149
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1940 1.16 ac lot $140/sqft · 13% below area Est $541k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.

Key facts

  • Large patio area
  • Converted barn
  • Whole-home generator

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSCONVERTED BARNLARGE PATIO AREADETACHED STORAGE BUILDINGWHOLE-HOME GENERATORPEACEFUL COUNTRY SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $452k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (52.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (60.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (60.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#507 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$78k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $180k; list at $452k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $178,960 (60.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.40%
Cap rate
2.76%
Cash-on-cash
-12.61%
DSCR
0.44
GRM
21.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$541,083
List price
$452,500
Delta
-16.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6266 Piney Woods Rd 0.47mi 3/3.0 (-1) 3,196 (-1%) 7mo $476,000 $149 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$161,423
Equity at exit
$407,648
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
5.28×
Total profit
$541,648
Equity at exit
$879,108

Cash invested: $126,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24149

Home prices YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
21.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,790 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,373
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,207/yr
Insurance
$189
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$-1,332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,475
Max offer price $217,261
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$113,125
Closing costs
$13,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $452,500 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $452,500 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $452,500 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $452,500 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $452,500 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $452,500 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $452,500 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $462,500 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $462,500 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $462,500 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $462,500 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $462,500 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $462,500 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $462,500 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $462,500 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $462,500 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $462,500 Active 71 DOM
  18. 2026-04-15
    price $472,500 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.

  19. 2026-03-19
    listed $487,500 Active 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.

  20. 2026-03-12
    listed $487,500 Active 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.

  21. 2006-10-16
    soldstatus $180,000
  22. 2004-05-26
    soldstatus $165,000
  23. 2004-05-26
    soldstatus $165,000
  24. 2003-08-29
    soldstatus $121,000
  25. 2003-08-29
    soldstatus $121,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,207 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,711 · $309/mo
Expected delta
+$1,503/yr (+$125/mo · 68.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,475
− Mortgage interest
−$25,347
− Property taxes
−$2,207
− Insurance
−$2,262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,718
− Management
−$1,718
− Depreciation
−$13,164
Taxable loss
−$24,941
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,986
After-tax cash flow
$-9,994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102520
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,618
Composite
53.6/100
National rank
#1440
State rank
#47 of 131 in VA

Livability — Snowville

Score
56/100
State rank
#507
US rank
#22589

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,935

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,748 people
By 2030
110,301 · +4.3%
By 2040
115,652 · +9.4%
By 2050
119,651 · +13.1%
By 2075
126,005 · +19.2%
By 2100
129,771 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 47.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+1.3 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+4.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.40%
Current HPI
299.9381
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+290.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $472,500 NRVMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $487,500 MLSRV
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $487,500 NRVMLS
  • 2006-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2003-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
  • 2003-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,207 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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