6458 Piney Woods Rd · Snowville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Cash flow +3.7/30.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$452,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.
Key facts
- Large patio area
- Converted barn
- Whole-home generator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $452k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (52.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (60.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (60.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#507 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$78k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $180k; list at $452k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.40% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.61%
- DSCR
- 0.44
- GRM
- 21.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $541,083
- List price
- $452,500
- Delta
- -16.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6266 Piney Woods Rd | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 3,196 (-1%) | 7mo | $476,000 | $149 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $161,423
- Equity at exit
- $407,648
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $541,648
- Equity at exit
- $879,108
Cash invested: $126,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24149
- Home prices YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 21.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,790 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,373
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,207/yr
- Insurance
- −$189
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $-1,332
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $113,125
- Closing costs
- $13,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $452,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $452,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $452,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $452,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $452,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $452,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $452,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $462,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $462,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $462,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $462,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $462,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $462,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $462,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $462,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $462,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $462,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $472,500 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.
-
2026-03-19$487,500 Active 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.
-
2026-03-12$487,500 Active 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
A truly unique Riner property offering character, space, and stunning mountain views. Originally constructed as a barn and thoughtfully converted into a spacious residence, this distinctive home offers over 3,200 sq ft of living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 updated full baths. A primary bedroom on both levels. New flooring through most of the home. The property sits on over 1 acre, providing privacy and beautiful surroundings in the highly desirable Riner community and Auburn School District. Outdoor living is a highlight with a large patio area, deck, and balcony perfectly positioned to take in the scenic views. Additional features include a detached storage building, attached storage area, double carport, and a whole-home generator for added peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a one-of-a-kind home with space, character, and a peaceful country setting while still being convenient to Blacksburg, Christiansburg, Radford, Floyd and area amenities.
-
2006-10-16soldstatus $180,000
-
2004-05-26soldstatus $165,000
-
2004-05-26soldstatus $165,000
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2003-08-29soldstatus $121,000
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2003-08-29soldstatus $121,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,207 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,711 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,503/yr (+$125/mo · 68.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,347
- − Property taxes
- −$2,207
- − Insurance
- −$2,262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,718
- − Management
- −$1,718
- − Depreciation
- −$13,164
- Taxable loss
- −$24,941
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,986
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102520
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,618
- Composite
- 53.6/100
- National rank
- #1440
- State rank
- #47 of 131 in VA
Livability — Snowville
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #22589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,935
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,748 people
- By 2030
- 110,301 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 115,652 · +9.4%
- By 2050
- 119,651 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 126,005 · +19.2%
- By 2100
- 129,771 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 47.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+1.3 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+4.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.40%
- Current HPI
- 299.9381
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+290.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $472,500 NRVMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $487,500 MLSRV
- 2026-03-12 Listed $487,500 NRVMLS
- 2006-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,207 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…