1800 Lakewood Ct #161 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.4
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the community! Located on the newer side of Lakewood Vista, this 2-bed, 2-bath home with 1180 sqft is dialed in and ready for you to pick an interior paint color. New heat pump in 2025 provides for year-round comfort (Lennox with 10-year warranty). New in 2022, roof, water heater, luxury vinyl plank flooring, triple-pane windows and plumbing. The newly landscaped private back yard with deck is perfect for entertaining and bbq's. Rent includes cable, water and trash. Park amenities include an indoor pool, gym, library, great management, meeting room, pool tables and regular events that bring the community together. Pet restriction: under 35 lbs.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1989
- Listed 135 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Malabon Elementary School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #309 of 412 statewide, top 77%, 346 students, 66% FRL); Cascade Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #108 of 128 statewide, top 89%, 342 students, 65% FRL); Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 401 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.89%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,912
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -33.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+1%) | 17mo | $6,000 | $5 | 84 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #158 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+9%) | 1mo | $27,000 | $21 | 79 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #63 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+5%) | 12mo | $134,000 | $107 | 77 |
| 3454 Pattison St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (0%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $253 | 76 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #134 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+13%) | 3mo | $78,900 | $59 | 76 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #33 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-7%) | 16mo | $23,000 | $21 | 75 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #133 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (+7%) | 16mo | $67,500 | $53 | 75 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #122 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-9%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $34 | 74 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #15 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-6%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $36 | 74 |
| 1202 N Park Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+0%) | 6mo | $108,000 | $91 | 66 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #5 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+11%) | 19mo | $13,000 | $10 | 66 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #155 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+14%) | 16mo | $46,500 | $34 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $22,923
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $60,774
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.3 mo (30%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $74,900 ($52/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 122 d
- This list price
- 80% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +93.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97402
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 401
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,416 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $867/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $594
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $640 | -5% $617 | +0% $594 | +5% $572 | +10% $549 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $483 | -5% $539 | +0% $594 | +5% $650 | +10% $706 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $635 | -0.5pp $615 | base $594 | +0.5pp $574 | +1.0pp $553 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 Taft St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,850 | $1.92 | 63d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1246 Hughes St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 63d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3700 Riviera Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 63d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 1190 Taft St Unit 1190 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,650 | $1.48 | 70d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3400 Hawthorne Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,543 | $2.11 | 62d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1071 Fairfield Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,605 | $1.84 | 63d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1161 N Park Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,295 | $2.55 | 70d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4175 Quest Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $1,710 | $1.74 | 62d | 6 | 0.66mi |
| 4075 Aerial Way Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $2,155 | $2.54 | 62d | 24 | 0.68mi |
| 925 Hatton Ave Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $934 | $1.15 | 93d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3358 Richard Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,995 | $1.71 | 93d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4175 Wagner St Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $1,645 | $2.21 | 62d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 910 Westsprings Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,699 | $1.72 | 62d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1642 Zoe Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1395 | $2,695 | $1.93 | 70d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 311 Alva Park Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,895 | $2.53 | 70d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 128 Chase St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1378 | $1,895 | $1.38 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2106 Golden Gardens St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 93d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 543 Hanover St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,725 | $2.43 | 63d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 573 Hanover St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,495 | $1.93 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 394 Rosewood Ave Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,895 | $2.23 | 62d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4478 Fergus Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,695 | $1.51 | 93d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1040 Lamplite Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 93d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $79,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $79,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $79,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $79,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $79,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $79,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $79,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $79,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $79,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $79,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $79,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-18pricedays on market $79,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $87,700 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $87,700 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $87,700 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $87,700 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $87,700 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $87,700 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $87,700 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $87,700 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $87,700 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $87,700 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $87,700 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $87,700 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $87,700 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $87,700 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $87,700 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $87,700 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $87,700 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $87,700 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $87,700 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $87,700 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $87,700 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $87,700 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $87,700 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $87,700 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,700 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,700 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,700 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,700 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,700 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $87,700 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,700 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,700 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,700 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,700 Active 70 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,997
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$867
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,360
- − Management
- −$1,360
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $6,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,643/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathroom, as well as a new roof. The home is located in a community with amenities, but the current condition detracts from its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Major roof — visible wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space ↑
- Both new roof — improves both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel SD 52
- NCES district ID
- 4102040
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,860
- Composite
- 22.62/100
- National rank
- #8066
- State rank
- #52 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 391,933 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,823
- Household income
- $57,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.20%
- Current HPI
- 298.1167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+12.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $87,700 RMLS
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) $75,500 RMLS
- 2022-09-02 Pending — RMLS
- 2022-08-25 Listed $78,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $867 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…