207 Marshall Ave · Hooks, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming cottage is situated on a 0.75-acre fenced corner lot. It has been thoughtfully remodeled, featuring updated bathrooms and fresh paint throughout. The home includes three bedrooms that are bathed in natural light, along with two bathrooms. Notable amenities comprise multiple ceiling fans, a storm door at the entrance, and a spacious utility room at the rear that provides access to a brick patio. The kitchen is well-appointed, offering ample cabinet space, a pantry, a designated microwave area, and a built-in desk. The expansive fenced backyard contains a workshop with a concrete floor, comparable in size to a double garage. Adjacent to the workshop is a dirt floor area, ideal for storing yard equipment. The front yard is adorned with mature crepe myrtle trees and features a circular driveway leading to the residence. Directly across the street, there is a small park, perfect for walking dogs, allowing children to play, or simply providing a space for leisurely strolls. Owner does not know age of home.
Key facts
- Brick patio
- Updated bathrooms
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#819 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hooks ISD (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #226 of 826 in TX (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.05%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,194
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 58.09%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $228
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $21,383
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75561
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,197 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,471/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $257
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$99,900 Active 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
This charming cottage is situated on a 0.75-acre fenced corner lot. It has been thoughtfully remodeled, featuring updated bathrooms and fresh paint throughout. The home includes three bedrooms that are bathed in natural light, along with two bathrooms. Notable amenities comprise multiple ceiling fans, a storm door at the entrance, and a spacious utility room at the rear that provides access to a brick patio. The kitchen is well-appointed, offering ample cabinet space, a pantry, a designated microwave area, and a built-in desk. The expansive fenced backyard contains a workshop with a concrete floor, comparable in size to a double garage. Adjacent to the workshop is a dirt floor area, ideal for storing yard equipment. The front yard is adorned with mature crepe myrtle trees and features a circular driveway leading to the residence. Directly across the street, there is a small park, perfect for walking dogs, allowing children to play, or simply providing a space for leisurely strolls. Owner does not know age of home.
-
2015-03-20soldstatus
-
1993-09-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,471 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$357/yr (+$30/mo · 24.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,471
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,592
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hooks ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823490
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,354
- Composite
- 40.38/100
- National rank
- #3734
- State rank
- #226 of 826 in TX
Livability — Hooks
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #819
- US rank
- #14861
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hooks, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,954
Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,699 people
- By 2030
- 94,824 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 94,870 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 93,686 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 90,082 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 76,579 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% European 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.29%
- Current HPI
- 154.9243
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $99,900 TBOR
- 2015-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-09-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,471 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…