213 Kinder St · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2-story home offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a 1-car carport! This property features a large living room, separate dining area and a roomy kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space. The main floor offers flexible living space, while the full basement is partially finished for additional storage or in-law living space as it has a separate entrance and kitchenette. Exterior features include a covered front porch, vinyl siding and driveway with carport parking. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor looking for space and potential. Cash or conventional loan only. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Separate entrance
- Roomy kitchen
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property estimated to be 71–80 years old; Built before 1978; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 84 x 83.18; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (Master bedroom on second level; other bedrooms on main and second levels)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement with walk-out access; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $671 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wirth/Parks Middle School (617 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,791/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $99k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.06%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,040
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Walnut St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+3%) | 1mo | $154,000 | $103 | 68 |
| 444 Chaudet Ave | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,448 (+1%) | 17mo | $77,500 | $54 | 63 |
| 3919 White St | 0.37mi | 5/1.0 | 1,529 (+6%) | 9mo | $89,500 | $59 | 61 |
| 614 Cooper Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,363 (-5%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $66 | 53 |
| 496 Garrison Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,565 (+9%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $70 | 52 |
| 794 Mildred Ave | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,480 (+3%) | 4mo | $77,500 | $52 | 52 |
| 715 Sparks Ave | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,407 (-2%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $78 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $26,782
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $78,640
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,791 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,199/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $671
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $727 | -5% $699 | +0% $671 | +5% $643 | +10% $615 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $530 | -5% $601 | +0% $671 | +5% $742 | +10% $813 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $721 | -0.5pp $697 | base $671 | +0.5pp $646 | +1.0pp $620 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 Donald St East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1794 | $1,550 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-24$99,000 Active
-
1990-10-26soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,223 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- +$24/yr (+$2/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,199
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,720
- − Management
- −$1,720
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $6,936
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,665
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+296.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2024): $2,199 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…