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481 Lexington Ave
B+ Composite 76.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$119,900

481 Lexington Ave · Rochester, NY 14613
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,771 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1914 3,920 sqft lot Est $184k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 481 Lexington Ave! This 4 Bedroom 2.5 Bath Home Offers 1,771 Sq Ft Of Living Space! The living room has beautiful gum wood trim throughout and original hardwood floors. New stainless steel refrigerator with french doors and brand new gas range oven. The second level has 3 generous sized bedrooms and on the third level has a spacious bedroom with its own full bathroom. Offers Due Tuesday November 22nd at 6pm.

Key facts

  • Modern convenience
  • Private backyard
  • Historic charm

Tags

HISTORIC CHARMMODERN CONVENIENCEGUM WOOD TRIMORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGPRIVATE BACKYARDFULLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story property; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 124

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Includes an in-law suite
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in pantry; In-law floorplan; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.98%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,184
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
416 Augustine St 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,764 (-0%) 1mo $202,000 $115 73
309 Emerson St 0.45mi 4/1.5 1,725 (-3%) 4mo $65,000 $38 67
507 Driving Park Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,602 (-10%) 3mo $215,000 $134 67
128 Bryan St 0.39mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,740 (-2%) 3mo $160,000 $92 67
505 Augustine St 0.49mi 4/1.0 1,678 (-5%) 3mo $160,000 $95 60
460 Glenwood Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,524 (-14%) 4mo $65,000 $43 58
170 Otis St 0.69mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,830 (+3%) 0mo $190,000 $104 55
515 Emerson St 0.38mi 4/1.5 1,536 (-13%) 4mo $129,900 $85 53
200 Albemarle St 0.71mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,672 (-6%) 2mo $195,000 $117 49
174 Alameda St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,658 (-6%) 3mo $175,000 $106 47
541 Birr St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,514 (-14%) 1mo $142,000 $94 45
232 Alameda St 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,542 (-13%) 3mo $160,000 $104 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$14,363
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$55,928
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14613

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,604 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $691/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $932
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2012 $1,690 $0.84 3d 1 0.27mi
98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1973 $1,295 $0.66 43d 1 0.35mi
1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 43d 1 0.70mi
287 Electric Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1297 $1,500 $1.16 2d 1 0.81mi
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,600 $1.13 23d 1 0.85mi
768 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1995 $1,995 $1.00 10d 1 0.98mi
235 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,360 $0.68 43d 1 1.10mi
248 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 3d 1 1.13mi
649 Jay St Rochester, NY 5.0 2.0 2144 $2,000 $0.93 3d 1 1.39mi
108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,900 $1.49 10d 1 1.39mi
385 Ames St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1738 $1,500 $0.86 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-08
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-01
    status Pending
  5. 2026-03-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2026-03-09
    listed $119,900 Active
  7. 2023-01-11
    soldstatus $75,000
  8. 2023-01-09
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale or Rented 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Welcome to 481 Lexington Ave! This 4 Bedroom 2.5 Bath Home Offers 1,771 Sq Ft Of Living Space! The living room has beautiful gum wood trim throughout and original hardwood floors. New stainless steel refrigerator with french doors and brand new gas range oven. The second level has 3 generous sized bedrooms and on the third level has a spacious bedroom with its own full bathroom. Offers Due Tuesday November 22nd at 6pm.

  9. 2022-12-02
    status Pending Sale 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Welcome to 481 Lexington Ave! This 4 Bedroom 2.5 Bath Home Offers 1,771 Sq Ft Of Living Space! The living room has beautiful gum wood trim throughout and original hardwood floors. New stainless steel refrigerator with french doors and brand new gas range oven. The second level has 3 generous sized bedrooms and on the third level has a spacious bedroom with its own full bathroom. Offers Due Tuesday November 22nd at 6pm.

  10. 2022-11-29
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Welcome to 481 Lexington Ave! This 4 Bedroom 2.5 Bath Home Offers 1,771 Sq Ft Of Living Space! The living room has beautiful gum wood trim throughout and original hardwood floors. New stainless steel refrigerator with french doors and brand new gas range oven. The second level has 3 generous sized bedrooms and on the third level has a spacious bedroom with its own full bathroom. Offers Due Tuesday November 22nd at 6pm.

  11. 2022-11-25
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Welcome to 481 Lexington Ave! This 4 Bedroom 2.5 Bath Home Offers 1,771 Sq Ft Of Living Space! The living room has beautiful gum wood trim throughout and original hardwood floors. New stainless steel refrigerator with french doors and brand new gas range oven. The second level has 3 generous sized bedrooms and on the third level has a spacious bedroom with its own full bathroom. Offers Due Tuesday November 22nd at 6pm.

  12. 2022-11-16
    listed $74,900 Active 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Welcome to 481 Lexington Ave! This 4 Bedroom 2.5 Bath Home Offers 1,771 Sq Ft Of Living Space! The living room has beautiful gum wood trim throughout and original hardwood floors. New stainless steel refrigerator with french doors and brand new gas range oven. The second level has 3 generous sized bedrooms and on the third level has a spacious bedroom with its own full bathroom. Offers Due Tuesday November 22nd at 6pm.

  13. 2002-01-18
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$691 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,359 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$668/yr (+$56/mo · 96.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,251
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$691
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,540
− Management
−$1,540
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$4,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,122
After-tax cash flow
$5,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
City population
432,803
Population (ZIP)
14,740

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
British 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.56%
Current HPI
274.2485
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-01 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-12-02 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-11-29 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-11-25 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2022-11-16 Listed $74,900 UNYREIS
  • 2002-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $691 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…