3701 S Cindy Ln · Tucson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Patio in front
- Split bedroom plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Tucson Unified District (4403) (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #190 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $215k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,937
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -8.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3781 S Peggy Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (0%) | 7mo | $274,000 | $175 | 84 |
| 3750 S Cindy Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (0%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $150 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-23,876
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-21,731
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85730
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,959 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $802/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3715 S Escalante Oasis Pl Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 9801 E Domenic Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,791 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 9802 E Stella Rd Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,945 | $1.37 | 11d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3246 S Winona Cir Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1655 | $1,830 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 9960 E Banister Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,575 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10061 E Domenic Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1597 | $1,785 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10055 E Desert Aire Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,680 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10002 E Stella Rd Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3292 S Kristina Park Loop Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10197 E Emily Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,050 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10272 E Sky Castle Way Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1709 | $1,781 | $1.04 | 10d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9202 E 39th St Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,650 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4052 S Ferris Dr Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,125 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4289 S Goodall Pl Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4275 S Mayberry Pl Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9699 E Vendela St Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,800 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8905 E Pantano Bluff Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2013 | $1,950 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9009 E Kinross Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,715 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4778 S Chilean Loop Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,895 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8829 E Eagle Creek Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,830 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9172 E Corte Arroyo Oeste Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,900 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9903 E Rocky Vista Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8763 E Pebble Stone Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9055 E Alderpoint Way Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,695 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8737 E Pebble Stone Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,095 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2342 S Via de Dos Arroyos Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $1,795 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3455 S Magda Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2650 S Brandywine Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4433 S Sunrise Bluff Way Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,895 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8755 E Stone Meadow Cir Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,925 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2217 S Oak Park Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $3,200 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4775 S Wild Rose Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,645 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4775 S Wild Rose Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,695 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10234 E Wasp Spring Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,701 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10258 E Wasp Spring Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1928 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18price $215,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,500 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,500 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,500 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,500 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,500 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $225,500 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,500 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $225,500 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $221,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $221,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $221,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-05-04price $220,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-04-12price $230,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-03-30price $235,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-03-04price $243,500 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-02-10price $244,500 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-01-27price $256,900 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2026-01-11price $257,500 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2025-12-19price $259,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2025-12-03price $265,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2025-10-01price $270,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2025-08-22$274,500 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Seller will contribute $5,000. to buyers closing cost!!! See this 4bedroom split plan!! Lots of room for all your fun vehicles. This home has new paint and carpet. All appliances. stay. Built in China Cabinet. Nice eating area plus bar. Very open floor plan. Roof is one year old, patio in front with cover. Located in cul-de-sac. Storage shed in back, stays. Great buy a must see!! Sit in the front to see beautiful sun sets. No fence in backyard.
-
2005-08-12soldstatus $120,000 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
2001 Redman 4 bedroom/2 full bath home in desireable southeast Tucson. On a quiet cul-de-sac. Another one of Tucson's lovely family oriented neighborhoods. Completely re-modeled, taped & textured throughout. Open floorplan, soaring ceilings & lots of cabinets. Kitchen island with breakfast bar and dining area. New carpet, new vinyl tile installed. Professionally painted and finished inside & outside.
-
2005-08-12soldstatus $120,000
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
2001 Redman 4 bedroom/2 full bath home in desireable southeast Tucson. On a quiet cul-de-sac. Another one of Tucson's lovely family oriented neighborhoods. Completely re-modeled, taped & textured throughout. Open floorplan, soaring ceilings & lots of cabinets. Kitchen island with breakfast bar and dining area. New carpet, new vinyl tile installed. Professionally painted and finished inside & outside.
-
2005-07-13$120,000 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
2001 Redman 4 bedroom/2 full bath home in desireable southeast Tucson. On a quiet cul-de-sac. Another one of Tucson's lovely family oriented neighborhoods. Completely re-modeled, taped & textured throughout. Open floorplan, soaring ceilings & lots of cabinets. Kitchen island with breakfast bar and dining area. New carpet, new vinyl tile installed. Professionally painted and finished inside & outside.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$617/yr (+$51/mo · 77.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$802
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,881
- − Management
- −$1,881
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$428
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tucson Unified District (4403)
- NCES district ID
- 0408800
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,962
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9270
- State rank
- #190 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Tucson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tucson, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 839,336
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,399
- Household income
- $62,090
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1364.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.41%
- Current HPI
- 304.999
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.16%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+84.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $221,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $220,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $230,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $235,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $243,500 MLSSAZ
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $244,500 MLSSAZ
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $256,900 MLSSAZ
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $257,500 MLSSAZ
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $259,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $265,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $270,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-08-22 Listed $274,500 MLSSAZ
- 2005-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MLSSAZ
- 2005-07-13 Listed $120,000 MLSSAZ
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $802 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…