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2725 Pierce Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 75.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

2725 Pierce Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,920 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1915 3,990 sqft lot Est $109k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investors and home owners alike: Low maintenance, both units rented and ready for you to take ownership or live in one unit and let the other pay for your mortgage. Get this home before it to, is gone.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Off street parking
  • Newer roof

Tags

TWO FAMILY HOMEFUNCTIONAL KITCHENSNEWER ROOFNEW FURNACEHOT WATER TANKSOFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property contains 2 total units with separate gas and electric meters (2 each); Units are rented month-to-month; Current reported actual rent $700 for each unit; Owner pays water; tenants pay all utilities; Operating expenses include water

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story multifamily building; Residential resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Covered and open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a dining area with kitchen and an eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies through the property
  • Bathrooms: Unit breakdown: one unit with 1 full bathroom; one unit with 2 full bathrooms; total of 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $935 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $467/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,475/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $120k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
15.65%
Cash-on-cash
33.42%
DSCR
2.49
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2459 La Salle Ave 0.19mi 4/2.0 1,920 (0%) 2mo $160,000 $83 90
2463 South Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,016 (+5%) 3mo $137,500 $68 73
2449 Grand Ave 0.42mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,918 (-0%) 4mo $135,000 $70 72
2443 Pierce Ave 0.18mi 4/2.0 2,112 (+10%) 4mo $120,000 $57 71
2208 Weston Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,016 (+5%) 1mo $55,000 $27 69
2455 La Salle Ave 0.20mi 4/2.0 2,152 (+12%) 3mo $112,000 $52 68
609 24th St 0.58mi 4/2.0 2,000 (+4%) 4mo $140,000 $70 62
1867 Michigan Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,100 (+9%) 2mo $87,000 $41 60
1623 Linwood Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,994 (+4%) 3mo $100,000 $50 59
2615 Ferry Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,848 (-4%) 6mo $115,000 $62 56
1535 Pierce Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,724 (-10%) 2mo $35,000 $20 47
1635 South Ave 0.72mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,208 (+15%) 2mo $85,000 $38 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.5%
Equity multiple
5.11×
Total profit
$138,083
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
12.69×
Total profit
$392,517
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,475 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,099/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$935

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,292
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 57%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,475

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 16d 1 0.49mi
784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,350 $0.98 3d 1 0.85mi
3225 Belden Pl Niagara Falls, NY 5.0 1.5 1344 $1,750 $1.30 1d 1 0.89mi
2420 Mackenna Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,390 $1.07 1d 1 1.11mi
642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,100 $0.89 3d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    price $119,900
  3. 2026-04-11
    price $129,900
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $139,900
  5. 2026-04-03
    price $144,900
  6. 2026-03-24
    price $149,900
  7. 2026-03-19
    price $154,900
  8. 2026-03-13
    price $159,900
  9. 2026-03-09
    price $164,500
  10. 2026-03-03
    price $167,000
  11. 2026-02-22
    listed $174,900 Active
  12. 2020-11-02
    historical
  13. 2020-10-19
    price $106,900
  14. 2020-10-01
    listed $96,900 Active
  15. 2020-03-31
    soldstatus $42,000
  16. 2020-03-30
    soldstatus $42,000 Closed Sale or Rented 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Investors and home owners alike: Low maintenance, both units rented and ready for you to take ownership or live in one unit and let the other pay for your mortgage. Get this home before it to, is gone.

  17. 2020-02-11
    status Pending Sale 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Investors and home owners alike: Low maintenance, both units rented and ready for you to take ownership or live in one unit and let the other pay for your mortgage. Get this home before it to, is gone.

  18. 2019-12-27
    listed $62,900 Active 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Investors and home owners alike: Low maintenance, both units rented and ready for you to take ownership or live in one unit and let the other pay for your mortgage. Get this home before it to, is gone.

  19. 2015-03-30
    soldstatus $40,000
  20. 2015-03-25
    soldstatus $40,000
  21. 2014-06-07
    listed $44,900
  22. 2013-07-05
    listed $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,099 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,099 · $342/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,700
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$4,099
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,376
− Management
−$2,376
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$10,045
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,411
After-tax cash flow
$8,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $139,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $144,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $154,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $164,500 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $167,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $174,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-11-02 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2020-10-19 Price Changed $106,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-10-01 Listed $96,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-30 Sold (MLS) $42,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-02-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-12-27 Listed $62,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-03-30 Sold (MLS) $40,000 WNYREIS
  • 2015-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2014-06-07 Listed $44,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-07-05 Listed $54,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+14.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,099 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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