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16803 Marlowe St
B- Composite 69.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

16803 Marlowe St · Detroit, MI 48235
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,212 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1936 5,227 sqft lot Est $76k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

Key facts

  • Solid brick colonial
  • Spacious corner lot
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

SOLID BRICK COLONIALCOMPLETE REHAB OPPORTUNITYSPACIOUS CORNER LOT2-CAR DETACHED GARAGEWELL-MAINTAINED BLOCK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.38%
Cash-on-cash
32.46%
DSCR
2.44
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,356
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16183 Freeland Street St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+1%) 3mo $150,000 $123 79
16863 Tracey St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-1%) 2mo $165,000 $138 69
16562 Tracey St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,244 (+3%) 2mo $60,000 $48 68
15748 Freeland St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,243 (+3%) 4mo $78,000 $63 64
16265 Ardmore St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,333 (+10%) 4mo $49,000 $37 64
16174 Lauder St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,084 (-11%) 3mo $102,900 $95 62
16176 Tracey St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+5%) 0mo $70,000 $55 60
15868 Whitcomb St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,332 (+10%) 2mo $95,000 $71 58
16246 Snowden St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,153 (-5%) 3mo $58,500 $51 53
15770 Stansbury St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-9%) 1mo $50,000 $45 52
17531 Ardmore St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (+8%) 2mo $195,000 $150 52
15476 Strathmoor St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,041 (-14%) 4mo $55,000 $53 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$24,426
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$69,502
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48235

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 15d 1 0.31mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 11d 1 0.43mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 24d 1 0.46mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 17d 1 0.54mi
15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 0.69mi
17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,400 $2.26 2d 1 0.69mi
18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 0.72mi
18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,507 $1.27 17d 1 0.74mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 24d 1 0.75mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 17d 1 0.79mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 18d 1 0.81mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 24d 1 0.81mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 13d 1 0.81mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 24d 1 0.81mi
15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,425 $1.08 24d 1 0.84mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.86mi
17201 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 3d 1 0.86mi
15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,386 $1.18 5d 1 0.87mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 13d 1 0.87mi
18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 952 $980 $1.03 5d 1 0.91mi
15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 860 $1,350 $1.57 17d 1 0.93mi
18481 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 0.93mi
15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 44d 1 0.94mi
16535 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,450 $1.26 24d 1 0.95mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 907 $1,300 $1.43 17d 1 0.98mi
16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1493 $1,750 $1.17 4d 1 0.98mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 44d 1 1.01mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 17d 1 1.03mi
18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 17d 1 1.03mi
18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 4d 1 1.04mi
18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 1.08mi
15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 762 $1,175 $1.54 44d 1 1.08mi
18964 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 3d 1 1.10mi
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 17d 1 1.12mi
18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,225 $1.02 5d 1 1.13mi
15736 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.15mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 1.15mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 1.18mi
15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1294 $1,275 $0.99 22d 1 1.18mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2025-11-03
    status Pending 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

  2. 2025-11-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

  3. 2025-10-28
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

  4. 2025-10-28
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

  5. 2025-10-24
    listed $75,000 Active 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

  6. 2025-10-24
    listed $75,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    Investors Dream - Solid Brick Colonial with Huge Potential! Complete rehab opportunity, great for Fix & Flip or renovated rental. Sited on a spacious corner lot w/ 2-car detached garage. 3 bedroom, 1.1 baths. Located on a well-maintained block, this property is surrounded by beautiful homes and recent sales, ensuring excellent upside and neighborhood stability. Don't miss the opportunity to take a solid foundation and transform it into something remarkable. Sold as-is. AVR up to 200k in this neighborhood. Enjoy convenient access to M-10, M-39, DMC Sinai-Grace Hospital, schools, shops, and restaurants, putting everything you need just minutes away. Multiple offers received - Seller requests highest and best by 5PM on 10/27/2025

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,017
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,532
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$6,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,441
After-tax cash flow
$5,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
45,600
Household income
$39,265
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
3064.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.02%
Current HPI
263.6326
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-28 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,532 · -54.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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