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620 Smith Waldrop Rd
D Composite 42.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0

$249,999

620 Smith Waldrop Rd · Columbus, NC 28722
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,031 sqft · SingleFamily · 33 Days on market
Built 1950 2.80 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 1950s hobby farm is nestled on 2.80 acres in Polk County, NC and offers the perfect blend of peaceful country living and convenient access to town and major highways. Perched atop a gentle hill, this 1,031 sf farmhouse enjoys year-round mountain views, while overlooking a picturesque horse farm. The classic wraparound porch invites you to sit a spell and enjoy the quiet surroundings before stepping inside this cozy home! The living room is complete with warm cedar paneling and a propane glass-rocks fireplace. From there, the home flows easily into the updated kitchen and dining area or toward the 2 small bedrooms, both bedrooms maintaining the home’s original charm (with

Key facts

  • 2.80 acres
  • Fenced yard
  • Wood-burning stove

Tags

2.80 ACRESYEAR-ROUND MOUNTAIN VIEWSCLASSIC WRAPAROUND PORCHUPDATED KITCHENWOOD-BURNING STOVEFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property classified as residential single-family; Accessibility ramp to main level; Horse amenities noted (see remarks)
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces) with garage door opener; garage faces side; Attached carport (2 spaces); Circular driveway and additional driveway parking; RV access/parking; tandem parking available; Ample parking around the driveway, side and rear near the sheds
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Shared well / private well (see remarks); Septic system installed; Electric service connected; Propane available
  • Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Metal roof; Basement and crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front, side and wrap-around porch; Storage buildings including barn(s), outbuilding(s), shed(s), and tractor shed; Generator on property; Fenced front and back yard with chain link fencing; Cleared areas, orchards, level and rolling terrain with wooded sections and views; Publicly maintained paved roads (asphalt/concrete)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric and propane heating options; Heat pump; Wood stove; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Attic with fixed stairs and walk-in access; Breakfast bar; 6 total rooms; Basement shop, storage space, partial unfinished basement with dirt floor and both interior and exterior entry; Walk-out / walk-up basement access; Ceiling fan(s) in at least one room; Gas/propane fireplace in the living room (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-279 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (19.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (33.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.5% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#53 in NC, #4,439 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk County Schools (rural): math 58% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 178 in NC (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Tryon Elementary School (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #147 of 1,410 statewide, top 11%, 407 students, 99% FRL); Polk County Middle School (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C+, #94 of 475 statewide, top 20%, 475 students, 56% FRL); Polk County High School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade B, #121 of 535 statewide, top 24%, 579 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 50% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $250k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,290 (33.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.95%
Cash-on-cash
-4.79%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$118,303
Equity at exit
$225,219
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
6.18×
Total profit
$362,276
Equity at exit
$485,693

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28722

Home prices YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,231/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$-279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,027
Max offer price $200,626
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-138 -5% $-209 +0% $-279 +5% $-350 +10% $-421
Rent -10% $-412 -5% $-346 +0% $-279 +5% $-213 +10% $-147
Rate -1.0pp $-154 -0.5pp $-216 base $-279 +0.5pp $-344 +1.0pp $-410

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $249,999 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,999 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,999 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,999 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,999 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,999 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,999 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,999 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,999 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,999 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,999 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,999 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,999 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,999 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $249,999 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $249,999 Active
  17. 2026-02-02
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-16
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2025-10-14
    price $525,000
  20. 2025-10-13
    status Active
  21. 2025-10-09
    status Pending
  22. 2025-07-02
    status Active
  23. 2025-05-14
    price $550,000
  24. 2025-04-14
    price $665,000
  25. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $85,000
  26. 2025-01-07
    listed $695,000 Active
  27. 2024-08-14
    price $989,000
  28. 2024-07-23
    price $1,100,000
  29. 2024-07-13
    listed $1,500,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,231 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,231 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,075
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$2,231
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,606
− Management
−$1,606
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$7,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,895
After-tax cash flow
$-1,459/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk County Schools
NCES district ID
3703720
Math proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,641
Composite
50.56/100
National rank
#1847
State rank
#32 of 178 in NC

Livability — Columbus

Score
74/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#4439

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,998

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,043 people
By 2030
19,764 · -1.4%
By 2040
18,836 · -6.0%
By 2050
17,529 · -12.5%
By 2075
14,741 · -26.5%
By 2100
11,461 · -42.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 37.0% · R 62.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+28.2 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.76%
Current HPI
336.4252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-83.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $249,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $525,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-13 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-09 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-02 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $550,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $665,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-07 Listed $695,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-14 Price Changed $989,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-23 Price Changed $1,100,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-13 Listed $1,500,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,231 · +21.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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