29 SE 895th Ave · Suwannee, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Waterfront Gem in Historic Suwannee, Florida – Affordable Canal-Front Opportunity! Discover an incredible chance to own freshwater canal-front property in the heart of charming, laid-back Suwannee, right in the Nature Coast's premier fishing and boating paradise. This single-wide mobile home sits directly on a serene freshwater canal with an existing seawall, providing seamless access for kayaks, canoes, small boats, and endless waterfront adventures. Step onto the covered porch overlooking peaceful water views, the perfect spot for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or watching the sunset paint the canal gold. Utilities are already connected, so you can move in, start renovations, o
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Old florida charm
- Tranquil boating
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Facing details not provided; Entry level details not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Canal front waterfront with a view; Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Breakfast bar
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-288 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (28.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (0.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $103k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.08%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,840
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 SE 234th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-11%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $73 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $60,886
- Equity at exit
- $130,627
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.79×
- Total profit
- $194,308
- Equity at exit
- $281,703
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32680
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $-288
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-01-29$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$5,844
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$5,811
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,395
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dixie
- NCES district ID
- 1200450
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,799
- Composite
- 42.18/100
- National rank
- #3290
- State rank
- #36 of 73 in FL
Livability — Suwannee
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,445
Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,122 people
- By 2030
- 14,521 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 13,503 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 12,671 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 10,857 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 8,344 · -44.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dixie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.22%
- Current HPI
- 424.0037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Listed $145,000 DGLMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…