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4441 Heartwood Trl
B Composite 72.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

4441 Heartwood Trl · Stuart, FL 34997
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 66 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition $108/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to peaceful easy living on the Treasure Coast! This lovely, spacious, clean and well-maintained, furnished home is at the back of the community and sits on a spacious lot that backs up to quiet and serene nature. New roof is being installed in 2 weeks! Experience a private screened lanai backing onto the preserve, which is perfect for grilling, dining, and relaxing with a cocktail. Additionally, this shaded area provides gentle breezes allowing for year-round enjoyment. This home features 3 bedrooms/2 full bathrooms. The substantial primary bedroom has a walk-in closet with space for all your clothes and more.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Pickleball courts
  • Whirlpool spas

Tags

PRIVATE SCREENED LANAIFITNESS CENTERSPARKLING SWIMMING POOLSWHIRLPOOL SPASPICKLEBALL COURTSTENNIS COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $809 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.2% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
  • Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sea Wind Elementary School (math 43% / reading 46%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 501 students, 72% FRL); Murray Middle School (math 45% / reading 43%, grade D, #327 of 571 statewide, top 57%, 616 students, 69% FRL); South Fork High School (math 36% / reading 48%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,810 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 41% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 732 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,860 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.03%
Cash-on-cash
20.50%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$353,487
List price
$169,000
Delta
-52.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4222 SE Satinleaf Pl 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,574 (+0%) 4mo $435,000 $276 82
6883 SE Raintree Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,518 (-3%) 4mo $489,000 $322 80
6690 SE Raintree Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,518 (-3%) 5mo $450,000 $296 77
4401 SE Satinleaf Pl 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,518 (-3%) 1mo $554,900 $366 76
7225 SE Magellan Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,579 (+1%) 12mo $410,000 $260 64
6785 SE Warwick Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,541 (-2%) 5mo $373,000 $242 62
6910 SE Lillian Ct 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-14%) 2mo $308,000 $229 58
7770 SE Spicewood Cir 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-1%) 4mo $432,500 $278 56
7814 SE Spicewood Cir 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-1%) 5mo $475,000 $306 55
3782 SE Canvas Back Pl 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (-14%) 2mo $330,000 $243 53
7789 SE Spicewood Cir 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-1%) 11mo $368,750 $237 52
4251 SE Dixie Ross St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-10%) 9mo $345,000 $245 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$23,419
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$83,885
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
12 active · 14 under contract
Months of supply
2.7 mo (38%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$439,500 ($298/sqft)
Median days on market
83 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-24.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34997

Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
732
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,502 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$809

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,478
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $925 -5% $867 +0% $809 +5% $750 +10% $692
Rent -10% $611 -5% $710 +0% $809 +5% $907 +10% $1,006
Rate -1.0pp $894 -0.5pp $852 base $809 +0.5pp $765 +1.0pp $720

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7073 SE Birchwood Ln Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 64d 1 0.24mi
3882 SE Canvas Back Pl Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,200 $1.40 73d 1 0.28mi
7960 SE Peppercorn Ct Hobe Sound, FL 2.0 2.0 1541 $2,850 $1.85 16d 1 0.80mi
4488 SE Salvatori Rd Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1194 $2,398 $2.01 16d 1 0.83mi
4421 SE Village Rd Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,100 $1.94 73d 1 0.84mi
6531 SE Federal Hwy Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 64d 2 0.84mi
6531 SE Federal Hwy Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,825 $1.66 16d 2 0.84mi
4508 SE Salvatori Rd Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1217 $2,475 $2.03 16d 1 0.85mi
4987 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1434 $2,650 $1.85 73d 1 0.90mi
5176 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1554 $2,400 $1.54 73d 1 0.94mi
5064 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,400 $1.57 73d 1 0.94mi
5156 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1434 $2,400 $1.67 73d 1 0.95mi
4939 SE Salvatori Rd Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1334 $2,500 $1.87 73d 1 1.01mi
8357 SE Double Tree Dr Hobe Sound, FL 2.0 2.0 1510 $2,750 $1.82 16d 1 1.03mi
6532 SE Broadmoor Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1972 $3,300 $1.67 73d 1 1.05mi
6532 SE Broadmoor Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1972 $3,300 $1.67 64d 1 1.05mi
5881 SE Windsong Ln Stuart, FL 2.0 2.5 1288 $2,100 $1.63 64d 1 1.05mi
5152 SE Club Way #104 Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1358 $7,500 $5.52 64d 1 1.11mi
7533 SE Autumn Ln Hobe Sound, FL 3.0 2.0 2017 $4,000 $1.98 16d 1 1.18mi
8485 SE Palm Hammock Ln Hobe Sound, FL 3.0 2.5 1980 $9,500 $4.80 16d 1 1.18mi
5688 SE Pine Ave Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,510 $2.00 64d 1 1.21mi
8392 SE Paurotis Ln Hobe Sound, FL 2.0 2.0 1526 $2,750 $1.80 73d 1 1.21mi
5968 SE Avalon Dr Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1176 $2,800 $2.38 64d 1 1.24mi
3909 SE Lee St Stuart, FL 4.0 2.0 1730 $4,000 $2.31 16d 1 1.29mi
5601 SE Laguna Ave Stuart, FL 2.0 1.0 1080 $2,200 $2.04 64d 1 1.30mi
5794 SE Mitzi Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1653 $2,600 $1.57 16d 1 1.45mi
5795 SE Mitzi Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1315 $3,000 $2.28 73d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-08-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-08-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-08-06
    days on market $169,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-08-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-08-04
    days on market $169,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-08-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-07-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $169,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $169,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $169,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $169,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $169,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $169,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 42 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 41 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 40 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 39 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $169,000 Active 38 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $169,000 Active 37 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 36 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 35 DOM
  24. 2026-07-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 34 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 33 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $169,000 Active 32 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 31 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $169,000 Active 30 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 29 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 28 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 27 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $169,000 Active 26 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $169,000 Active 25 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $169,000 Active 24 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $169,000 Active 23 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $169,000 Active 22 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $169,000 Active 20 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $169,000 Active 18 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,000 Active 17 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 14 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 13 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 12 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
  44. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 9 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 8 DOM
  46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 4 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  50. 2026-06-07
    listed $169,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,022
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,402
− Management
−$2,402
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$7,455
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,789
After-tax cash flow
$7,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,840–$23,520 screening

This well-maintained single-family home is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appearance and value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 44/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sea Wind Elementary School F FL #1,288/2,144 Nat'l #16,061/41,679 Middle Murray Middle School D FL #327/571 Nat'l #4,963/14,009 High South Fork High School F FL #275/667 Nat'l #7,572/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin
NCES district ID
1201290
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,482
Composite
45.1/100
National rank
#2690
State rank
#24 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 84/100

Livability — Stuart

Score
84/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#790

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Martin County · 172,383 people
City population
65,812
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,075
Household income
$78,136
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
172,383 people
By 2030
180,192 · +4.5%
By 2040
194,114 · +12.6%
By 2050
204,992 · +18.9%
By 2075
229,641 · +33.2%
By 2100
232,146 · +34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $169,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…