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4441 Heartwood Trl
B Composite 71.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

4441 Heartwood Trl · Port Salerno, FL 34997
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to peaceful easy living on the Treasure Coast! This lovely, spacious, clean and well-maintained, furnished home is at the back of the community and sits on a spacious lot that backs up to quiet and serene nature. New roof is being installed in 2 weeks! Experience a private screened lanai backing onto the preserve, which is perfect for grilling, dining, and relaxing with a cocktail. Additionally, this shaded area provides gentle breezes allowing for year-round enjoyment. This home features 3 bedrooms/2 full bathrooms. The substantial primary bedroom has a walk-in closet with space for all your clothes and more. The ensuite bathroom is large and has lots of cabinets and shelving for

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Pickleball courts
  • Whirlpool spas

Tags

PRIVATE SCREENED LANAIFITNESS CENTERSPARKLING SWIMMING POOLSWHIRLPOOL SPASPICKLEBALL COURTSTENNIS COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $769 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.1% in Port Salerno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#440 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 588 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.50%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$435,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4222 SE Satinleaf Pl 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,574 (+0%) 3mo $435,000 $276 84
6883 SE Raintree Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,518 (-3%) 3mo $489,000 $322 81
6690 SE Raintree Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,518 (-3%) 3mo $450,000 $296 78
6691 SE Raintree Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,518 (-3%) 10mo $480,500 $317 72
7225 SE Magellan Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,579 (+1%) 10mo $410,000 $260 65
6785 SE Warwick Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,541 (-2%) 3mo $373,000 $242 63
7770 SE Spicewood Cir 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-1%) 3mo $432,500 $278 58
7814 SE Spicewood Cir 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-1%) 4mo $475,000 $306 56
6892 SE Warwick Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,541 (-2%) 11mo $385,000 $250 54
7789 SE Spicewood Cir 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-1%) 10mo $368,750 $237 54
4251 SE Dixie Ross St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-10%) 7mo $345,000 $245 50
6354 SE Vista Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-13%) 12mo $405,000 $296 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$20,915
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$78,519
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34997

Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
588
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,452 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$769

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,478
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7073 SE Birchwood Ln Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 14d 1 0.24mi
3882 SE Canvas Back Pl Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,200 $1.40 23d 1 0.28mi
7960 SE Peppercorn Ct Hobe Sound, FL 2.0 2.0 1541 $2,950 $1.91 23d 1 0.80mi
4421 SE Village Rd Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,100 $1.94 23d 1 0.84mi
6531 SE Federal Hwy Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 14d 2 0.84mi
4987 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1434 $2,650 $1.85 23d 1 0.90mi
5176 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1554 $2,400 $1.54 23d 1 0.94mi
5064 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,400 $1.57 23d 1 0.94mi
5156 SE Mariner Garden Cir Stuart, FL 3.0 2.5 1434 $2,400 $1.67 23d 1 0.95mi
4939 SE Salvatori Rd Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1334 $2,500 $1.87 23d 1 1.01mi
8357 SE Double Tree Dr Hobe Sound, FL 2.0 2.0 1510 $2,950 $1.95 14d 1 1.03mi
6532 SE Broadmoor Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1972 $3,300 $1.67 14d 1 1.05mi
6532 SE Broadmoor Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1972 $3,300 $1.67 23d 1 1.05mi
5881 SE Windsong Ln Stuart, FL 2.0 2.5 1288 $2,100 $1.63 14d 1 1.05mi
5152 SE Club Way #104 Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1358 $7,500 $5.52 14d 1 1.11mi
5688 SE Pine Ave Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,510 $2.00 14d 1 1.21mi
8392 SE Paurotis Ln Hobe Sound, FL 2.0 2.0 1526 $2,750 $1.80 23d 1 1.21mi
5968 SE Avalon Dr Stuart, FL 2.0 2.0 1176 $2,800 $2.38 14d 1 1.24mi
5601 SE Laguna Ave Stuart, FL 2.0 1.0 1080 $2,200 $2.04 14d 1 1.30mi
5795 SE Mitzi Ln Stuart, FL 3.0 2.0 1315 $3,000 $2.28 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $169,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,421
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,354
− Management
−$2,354
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$6,951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,668
After-tax cash flow
$7,560/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin
NCES district ID
1201290
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,482
Composite
45.1/100
National rank
#2690
State rank
#24 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port Salerno

Score
70/100
State rank
#440
US rank
#7873

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Martin County · 165,223 people
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,075
Household income
$78,136
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
1323.0

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
172,383 people
By 2030
180,192 · +4.5%
By 2040
194,114 · +12.6%
By 2050
204,992 · +18.9%
By 2075
229,641 · +33.2%
By 2100
232,146 · +34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -319.78%
Current HPI
336.7717
Rent YoY
▲ 2.71%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $169,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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