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3934 Red Valley Rd
C- Composite 53.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$220,000

3934 Red Valley Rd · Remlap, AL 35133
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1941 1.29 ac lot $122/sqft · 25% below area Est $293k · 25% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss your chance to own a beautiful 1.29 acre slice of peaceful country living in Remlap, Alabama! Nestled in a private, serene setting, this 1,800 sq ft home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and opportunity situated on unrestricted land, giving you the freedom to truly make it your own. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths, the home welcomes you with a bright and spacious sunroom filled with natural light perfect for relaxing or entertaining year round. Step outside to a very spacious back porch where you can sit, unwind, and enjoy your morning coffee while taking in the quiet country views. The property also includes a double carport, an attached garage, and additional storage, giving you plenty of room for vehicles, hobbies, or equipment. With its peaceful surroundings, added flexibility of unrestricted land, and endless potential, this property is ideal for anyone looking to enjoy the charm of country living while still having room to make it their own.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Double carport
  • Spacious sunroom

Tags

PRIVATE SERENE SETTINGSPACIOUS SUNROOMVERY SPACIOUS BACK PORCHUNRESTRICTED LANDDOUBLE CARPORTATTACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-529/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (3.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (25.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Remlap — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,002 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$292,556
List price
$220,000
Delta
-24.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Easter Rd 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,626 (-10%) 15mo $271,625 $167 65
126 Robinwood Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,940 (+8%) 18mo $325,000 $168 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$116,922
Equity at exit
$198,193
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$346,353
Equity at exit
$427,412

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35133

Home prices YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,640 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,132/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$-44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,696
Max offer price $212,206
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $80 -5% $18 +0% $-44 +5% $-106 +10% $-169
Rent -10% $-174 -5% $-109 +0% $-44 +5% $21 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $12 base $-44 +0.5pp $-101 +1.0pp $-159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $220,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $220,000 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $220,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-04-11
    price $220,000 992-char remark
    Show marketing remark (992 chars)

    Don’t miss your chance to own a beautiful 1.29 acre slice of peaceful country living in Remlap, Alabama! Nestled in a private, serene setting, this 1,800 sq ft home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and opportunity situated on unrestricted land, giving you the freedom to truly make it your own. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths, the home welcomes you with a bright and spacious sunroom filled with natural light perfect for relaxing or entertaining year round. Step outside to a very spacious back porch where you can sit, unwind, and enjoy your morning coffee while taking in the quiet country views. The property also includes a double carport, an attached garage, and additional storage, giving you plenty of room for vehicles, hobbies, or equipment. With its peaceful surroundings, added flexibility of unrestricted land, and endless potential, this property is ideal for anyone looking to enjoy the charm of country living while still having room to make it their own.

  16. 2026-03-17
    listed $230,000 Active 992-char remark
    Show marketing remark (992 chars)

    Don’t miss your chance to own a beautiful 1.29 acre slice of peaceful country living in Remlap, Alabama! Nestled in a private, serene setting, this 1,800 sq ft home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and opportunity situated on unrestricted land, giving you the freedom to truly make it your own. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths, the home welcomes you with a bright and spacious sunroom filled with natural light perfect for relaxing or entertaining year round. Step outside to a very spacious back porch where you can sit, unwind, and enjoy your morning coffee while taking in the quiet country views. The property also includes a double carport, an attached garage, and additional storage, giving you plenty of room for vehicles, hobbies, or equipment. With its peaceful surroundings, added flexibility of unrestricted land, and endless potential, this property is ideal for anyone looking to enjoy the charm of country living while still having room to make it their own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥105°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,680
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$1,132
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,574
− Management
−$1,574
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$4,424
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,062
After-tax cash flow
$532/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blount County
NCES district ID
0100420
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,961
Composite
27.79/100
National rank
#6891
State rank
#54 of 129 in AL

Livability — Remlap

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Remlap, AL
City population
2,793
Population (ZIP)
2,793

Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,983 people
By 2030
57,405 · -1.0%
By 2040
55,602 · -4.1%
By 2050
53,393 · -7.9%
By 2075
48,248 · -16.8%
By 2100
44,190 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blount

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.0) · D 9.2% · R 90.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.5pp toward R · 2008: -69.5pp · 2024: -81.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.0 2020: R+80.0 2016: R+81.4 2012: R+74.1 2008: R+69.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.26%
Current HPI
255.0421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $220,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $230,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,132 · +30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…