404 Pike Ave SW · Massillon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment property in SW Massillon, home offers the perfect chance for an investor to start or add to their portfolio. This would be perfect as a rental or even a first home. Home is being sold as is, with some updating this home has a lot of potential. New furnace 2025 and hot water tank. Set up your private showing today, priced to sell!
Key facts
- 3,598 sq ft lot
- Built 1904
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built according to public records; Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 3.9% in Massillon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#306 in OH, #4,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Massillon City (urban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #487 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.73%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,720
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -45.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 Pike Ave SW | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,310 (0%) | 0mo | $62,000 | $47 | 95 |
| 431 5th St SW | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,396 (+7%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $97 | 81 |
| 1290 Patriot Pl SW | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,312 (+0%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $198 | 67 |
| 217 2nd St NE | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,308 (-0%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $107 | 63 |
| 809 12th St SW | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-5%) | 1mo | $117,000 | $94 | 60 |
| 726 Warren St SW | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+1%) | 3mo | $203,500 | $154 | 59 |
| 104 12th St NW | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,236 (-6%) | 0mo | $152,000 | $123 | 54 |
| 1120 Borden Ave SW | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+11%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 741 1st St SE | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 0mo | $43,050 | $38 | 49 |
| 604 Griffith Ave SW | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,456 (+11%) | 3mo | $143,000 | $98 | 45 |
| 621 Geiger Ave SW | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $137 | 45 |
| 121 Chestnut Ave NE | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+11%) | 1mo | $83,000 | $57 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $23,016
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $62,261
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44647
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,198 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,130/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $547 | -5% $530 | +0% $513 | +5% $496 | +10% $479 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $419 | -5% $466 | +0% $513 | +5% $561 | +10% $608 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $543 | -0.5pp $529 | base $513 | +0.5pp $498 | +1.0pp $482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Maple Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 450 South Ave SE Massillon, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 717 15th St SW Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1704 13th St SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1715 Connecticut Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1512 Forest Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $1,050 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 342-char remark
-
2026-05-12price $59,900 342-char remark
-
2026-04-30$74,900 Active 342-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,130 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,130 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,130
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,150
- − Management
- −$1,150
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $5,550
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,332
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Massillon City
- NCES district ID
- 3904435
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,094
- Composite
- 39.54/100
- National rank
- #3941
- State rank
- #487 of 656 in OH
Livability — Massillon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #4928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Massillon, OH
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 65,858
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,117
- Household income
- $67,140
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 231.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.61%
- Current HPI
- 207.6115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-17.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $62,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-16 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $59,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-30 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,130 · +43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…