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5201 Ivanhoe St
D+ Composite 49.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

5201 Ivanhoe St · Duluth, MN 55804
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1912 0.32 ac lot Est $294k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers standout curb appeal with mature trees, a well-kept yard, and effortless access to parks, schools, and everyday amenities. Inside, the bright and inviting main level features a generous living room where large windows flood the space with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Step outside to a private backyard designed for relaxation and play — perfect for gardening, outdoor dining, or quiet evenings at home. A detached garage and additional off-street parking add convenience and functionality. Located just minutes from Lester Park trails, Brighton Beach, and the heart of Duluth’s Lakeside neighborhood, this prope

Key facts

  • Well-kept yard
  • Private backyard
  • Off-street parking

Tags

CORNER LOTMATURE TREESWELL-KEPT YARDPRIVATE BACKYARDDETACHED GARAGEOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; 2 stories
  • Exterior features: 100 x 140 lot (0.32 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($472/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lester Park Elementary (math 73% / reading 77%, grade A, #31 of 857 statewide, top 4%, 575 students, 20% FRL); Ordean East Middle School (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 989 students, 26% FRL); East High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,494 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Duluth Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $221,035 (11.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.67%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5211 Avondale St 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,068 (-9%) 4mo $175,000 $164 67
5323 Wyoming St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+5%) 12mo $295,000 $239 65
5402 Juniata St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,108 (-6%) 8mo $277,000 $250 56
4919 Oakley St 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (+10%) 4mo $165,000 $127 56
4722 Oneida St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,091 (-7%) 2mo $286,000 $262 52
4831 Oneida St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,118 (-5%) 8mo $296,900 $266 52
828 N 54th Ave Ave E 0.25mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,081 (-8%) 22mo $305,000 $282 50
5331 Glenwood St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,284 (+9%) 16mo $225,000 $175 45
5840 Tioga St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,085 (-8%) 9mo $290,000 $267 45
5122 Glenwood St 0.52mi 2/1.5 (-1) 999 (-15%) 1mo $290,000 $290 43
4930 Oneida St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,030 (-12%) 19mo $165,000 $160 33
4621 Oneida St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,021 (-13%) 9mo $250,000 $245 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-37,986
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-29,770
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55804

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,210 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$292 /mo · $3,500/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,161
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $110 +0% $39 +5% $-31 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-135 -5% $-48 +0% $39 +5% $127 +10% $214
Rate -1.0pp $165 -0.5pp $103 base $39 +0.5pp $-25 +1.0pp $-91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5231 Wyoming St Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,250 $1.50 23d 1 0.38mi
5090 London Rd Unit 1 Duluth, MN 2.0 2.0 959 $2,100 $2.19 15d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $250,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-05-27
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,500 · $292/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,500 · $292/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,524
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,500
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,122
− Management
−$2,122
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$3,746
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$899
After-tax cash flow
$1,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
City population
71,097
Population (ZIP)
16,018

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Scottish 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -253.94%
Current HPI
199.4064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $250,000 LSAR

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,500 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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